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January 4-6th Winter Storm Part 3


Whitelakeroy

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Visible satellite tomorrow should be very interesting over Indiana.  The rain/snow line has been stalled on the southeast side of Indy for several hours.  Ripping heavy snow to heavy rain in a few miles.  Should be some dramatic cutoff images from the sat tomorrow.

 

St.Louis is the new Madison of the southern Midwest.  They've been in the cross-hairs of some big snowstorms the last few years.

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LOT

 

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
100 PM CST

A FAIRLY WIDE BAND OF HEAVY SNOWFALL HAS DEVELOPED AND SHOULD
SUSTAIN ITSELF FOR POTENTIALLY AN HOUR OR EVEN LONGER FROM
WATESKA TO KANKAKEE...INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA INCLUDING VALPARAISO
WHERE ONE QUARTER MILE VISIBILITY IS BEING OBSERVED. THIS AREA IS
DIRECTLY AT THE FRONT EDGE OF THE VIGOROUS UPPER SPEED MAXIMA
AND MID-LEVEL DRYING/COOLING RIDING AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH.
THIS INFERRED ELEVATED INSTABILITY AREA IS EVIDENT ON VISIBLE
SATELLITE WHICH INDICATES THE BUMPINESS ACROSS CENTRAL IL RACING
NORTHWARD OVER THIS AREA. MODEL CROSS SECTIONS DEPICT THIS
INSTABILITY BEING RELEASED THROUGH 21Z OR SO BEFORE SHIFTING EAST.
SO SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE-TWO INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED IN
THAT ZONE WITH A QUICK TWO-FOUR ADDITIONAL BEFORE 3 PM...AND
EXTREMELY REDUCED VISIBILITY. A CLAP OR TWO OF THUNDER COULD BE
HEARD AS WELL.

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Going on 7 here. Hoping that defo band will curl in as it moves away. Still, my early call of 9" is looking good.

 

If you look at the Evansville radar, its kinda trying to fill in...but it's patchy. But, it also has some convective looking stuff that could be really fun...if runs through here at some point. 

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LOT

 

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...

100 PM CST

A FAIRLY WIDE BAND OF HEAVY SNOWFALL HAS DEVELOPED AND SHOULD

SUSTAIN ITSELF FOR POTENTIALLY AN HOUR OR EVEN LONGER FROM

WATESKA TO KANKAKEE...INTO NORTHWEST INDIANA INCLUDING VALPARAISO

WHERE ONE QUARTER MILE VISIBILITY IS BEING OBSERVED. THIS AREA IS

DIRECTLY AT THE FRONT EDGE OF THE VIGOROUS UPPER SPEED MAXIMA

AND MID-LEVEL DRYING/COOLING RIDING AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH.

THIS INFERRED ELEVATED INSTABILITY AREA IS EVIDENT ON VISIBLE

SATELLITE WHICH INDICATES THE BUMPINESS ACROSS CENTRAL IL RACING

NORTHWARD OVER THIS AREA. MODEL CROSS SECTIONS DEPICT THIS

INSTABILITY BEING RELEASED THROUGH 21Z OR SO BEFORE SHIFTING EAST.

SO SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE-TWO INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED IN

THAT ZONE WITH A QUICK TWO-FOUR ADDITIONAL BEFORE 3 PM...AND

EXTREMELY REDUCED VISIBILITY. A CLAP OR TWO OF THUNDER COULD BE

HEARD AS WELL.

 

Chicago has got to be nearing a record for snow depth as well. Are they close?

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Over 8 inches in Howell, biggest storm since 2000 in danger of being beat....

I'm guessing 18 inches is very possible, with a total depth around 2 feet by Monday at noon.

Sent from my HTC6435LVW

you should save on gas money for a while :P

Oh, I'm in Wayland right.... We won't head back till late.

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