packfan98 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 18z NAM looks wetter for central NC. Over .25 inches of qpf! Don't know about temps though. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=024ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_024_precip_p24.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_p24&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Just got freezing rain advisory for stokes and yadkin county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Pretty sure CAE will have 34 and sprinkles....lol Currently it's 39/17 and cloudy. The forecasted high was originally 45 but they lowered it to 42 this morning. At any rate......I'll take the sprinkles anytime I can get them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Blacksburg has issued a Freezing Rain Advisory for Watauga County and the counties ENE of there along the Virginia border. http://inws.wrh.noaa.gov/weather/alertinfo/13691954 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 36/9 at 3:00 pm at RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 18z NAM looks wetter for central NC. Over .25 inches of qpf! Don't know about temps though. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=024ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_024_precip_p24.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_p24&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M just like here, it's really warm right off the surface over the nc piedmont per soundings.... even with all that precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Parts of central NC could be in for a big surprise if 18zNAM precip is right. Some places showing over .50 of precip. Of course temps may hold at 33-34 though and it's just a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 CAE...... .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AXIS SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE REGION. UPPERIMPULSES WILL MOVE NE INTO SC AHEAD OF A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGHOVER THE CENTRAL US. ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPING OVER THE FORECASTAREA WILL RESULT IN INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND INCREASING CHANCESFOR PRECIPITATION DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH A DRY OVERALLATMOSPHERE CURRENTLY IN PLACE...IT WILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR THEATMOSPHERE TO MOISTEN ENOUGH FOR PRECIPITATION. SOME LIGHT RAINMAY DEVELOP THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES SHOULD STAY ABOVE FREEZINGOVERNIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Parts of central NC could be in for a big surprise if 18zNAM precip is right. Some places showing over .50 of precip. Of course temps may hold at 33-34 though and it's just a cold rain.Temps go right above freezing as soon as the precip starts. You may start out as freezing drizzle, then it changes over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguysc Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 33-34 (all day)/5 @ 3:30 IMBY North of Gaffney Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 KGSP adds Freezing Rain Advisory for I-40 corridor. http://inws.wrh.noaa.gov/weather/alertinfo/13694968 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 It certainly looks and feels like we could get some wintry precip. Funny thing is these little surprises usually are when we actually get something around here. It rarely pans out if the models show something more than 48 hours out. Just a suggestion, but maybe put that this event is for tonight in the thread title. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ASU2014 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Parts of central NC could be in for a big surprise if 18zNAM precip is right. Some places showing over .50 of precip. Of course temps may hold at 33-34 though and it's just a cold rain. Too warm. Need to be further west closer to the mountains but not too far west to see no moisture. Winston Salem area needs to be included in the advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avianman Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 KGSP adds Freezing Rain Advisory for I-40 corridor. http://inws.wrh.noaa.gov/weather/alertinfo/13694968 Why not just throw Catawba County in there just for consistency? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 It certainly looks and feels like we could get some wintry precip. Funny thing is these little surprises usually are when we actually get something around here. It rarely pans out if the models show something more than 48 hours out. Just a suggestion, but maybe put that this event is for tonight in the thread title. NWS Raleigh has 34 and rain for Raleigh. You have a rain/snow mix in the forecast for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Their have bee NWS Raleigh has 34 and rain for Raleigh. You have a rain/snow mix in the forecast for Monday. We don't need anymore rain. This really has been a pretty miserable winter so far with all the cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Managed to get to 34 today, that will be the max. ceilings are really low now. Also Just got back from town and noticed in several locations that puddles are still frozen over, one was even on the asphalt pavement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Managed to get to 34 today, that will be the max. ceilings are really low now. Also Just got back from town and noticed in several locations that puddles are still frozen over, one was even on the asphalt pavement. Noticed a couple spots like that here today at the side of the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 It certainly looks and feels like we could get some wintry precip. Funny thing is these little surprises usually are when we actually get something around here. It rarely pans out if the models show something more than 48 hours out. Just a suggestion, but maybe put that this event is for tonight in the thread title. Used to be we sweated for 48 hours to bring home a storm , NOW we can't find 12 hours of notice before some kind of event !!! Thinking the sdame thing Brickster.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I guess the temp is going to roar upward tonight in this neck of the woods. 37/10 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 33/ 11. How it rains tonight and doesnt drop into the upper 20's at onset is beyond me. Guess Rah NWS counting on light precip/no precip/late start time/warm surge ? Oh well be interesting to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Looking at the 18z NAM there is just nothing really there. No more than it showed would more than likely be virga with as dry as the air is. but who knows there may be more moisture than modeled so this will be a nowcast watch the radar and see what happens IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 33/ 11. How it rains tonight and doesnt drop into the upper 20's at onset is beyond me. Guess Rah NWS counting on light precip/no precip/late start time/warm surge ? Oh well be interesting to watch.Light precipitation/ warm surge. The places with the freezing rain advisory are the areas that will get the freezing rain. An area or two outside of those areas may have a shot a some light freezing rain/drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 GSO/INT looked to get light freezing rain until 7am tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I guess the temp is going to roar upward tonight in this neck of the woods. 37/10 right now. Dps are slowly coming up... Have been around 10 today now at 12. Guess we can officially say it has started to ice or not to ice is the ?? Light returns showing up on radar south of Columbia, SC http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=clx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 Dps are slowly coming up... Have been around 10 today now at 12. Guess we can officially say it has started to ice or not to ice is the ?? Light returns showing up on radar south of Columbia, SC http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=clx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no just saw someone say it was drizzling in blythewood which is the north side of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ASU2014 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I poured a glass of water outside on the frozen ground. I wasn't too impressed. The areas that have sunshine will begin to take advantage of the clear skies this evening and cool while other areas stay pretty much flat or rise with cloud cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Light precipitation/ warm surge. The places with the freezing rain advisory are the areas that will get the freezing rain. An area or two outside of those areas may have a shot a some light freezing rain/drizzle. I appreciate you weighing in our situation up here responding to my post and a couple of others in this thread. I've noticed you invest a lot every time a threat comes to my region. If precip develops tonight this will be an insutu-cad situation. The only way MBY would warm above freezing would be (A)latent heat release from rain freezing or (B)top-down which would require heavier than forecasted qpf. Both situations could only occur if A or B happened first. Which imo would warrant a freezing rain advisory. So Rah must be banking on lack of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ASU2014 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 So Rah must be banking on lack of qpf. If the latest models hadn't come in warmer there would be an advisory...but all in all it probably just delayed it for the Winston area I still think there could be one. as of 255 PM Saturday... The latest surface analysis shows high pressure over the western Atlantic and a wedge front beginning to develop over the state. Isentropic lift associated with the in situ cad has already begun to help spread stratus clouds over the area from SW to NE. Moisture in the low levels will eventually increase enough to cause light precipitation to break out over the area with the western Piedmont the most favored area due to strongest lift. With low level dry air taking a long time to saturate...this precipitation may take a while to form and is not anticipated to get going until after 6z Sunday. At this time temperatures in The Triad will be hovering around freezing and it is possible that some patchy freezing rain may occur between the hours of 6 and 12z. Confidence in this is low at this time as the latest run of models has come in a degree or two warmer which will hinder freezing rain development even further. Lows tonight in the low 30s northwest to upper 30s southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Looking like I could get a small glaze overnight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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