hawkeye_wx Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Congrats to everyone to the east and southeast. My brother in Lake county should do well again. He got 15 inches from the last storm. It's looking like the first half of January may be a big goose egg for most of Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 fgen band is just getting going... yeah....radar trends tell the story over the last 30 minutes or so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 The LAF brothers sweating the dry slot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 The LAF brothers sweating the dry slot? image.jpg Chuck'em deep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 For anyone who didn't catch it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 The LAF brothers sweating the dry slot? image.jpg Wouldn't be any big surprise.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 YYZ 12z model summary. Interesting difference between globals and meso's. Riding the line. 12z GEM: 10-15cm12z UKMET: 15-25cm12z Euro: 15-20cm12z GFS: 15-20cm. Support from GEFS mean which nudged south on the 12z run.12z NAM: Trace-5cm12z RGEM: 5-10cm before change over to ZR and then RN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 For anyone who didn't catch it... 12zEURO_010414.png 1.0" qpf I will take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 The LAF brothers sweating the dry slot? image.jpg Do you have a SLP map from that? From what I can tell on the winds, the surface low would be fairly far north. Gonna hope it's just long range RUC shenanigans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Tim's model of choice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Do you have a SLP map from that? From what I can tell on the winds, the surface low would be fairly far north. Gonna hope it's just long range RUC shenanigans. 1004 west of Indy: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 17Z RAP.... thru 11Z 05JAN .54 ORD .54 DPA .41 MDW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 YYZ 12z model summary. Interesting difference between globals and meso's. Riding the line. 12z GEM: 10-15cm 12z UKMET: 15-25cm 12z Euro: 15-20cm 12z GFS: 15-20cm. Support from GEFS mean which nudged south on the 12z run. 12z NAM: Trace-5cm 12z RGEM: 5-10cm before change over to ZR and then RN Quite the battle between the models. Again temperatures are everything. Majority of models keep the 850s below freezing the entire duration. SFC temps are around freezing and thats where the problem arises. 24 hours out and models still haven't finalized on a proper track. Seeing ice build up over the lakes is a good sign as it would retain less warmth being spread since the Lakes are cooler. With the fine snow cover we may keep low level cold air in place. Lets see. It really pins down to a now casting moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 1004 west of Indy: That model showing a N-S LES band well. Latest microcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 leave it to skilling to keep me on the hook... sporting a chub Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 For anyone who didn't catch it... 12zEURO_010414.png Thanks for posting. I am so pumped for a 3 day long lake effect event across this area. Don't expect much from the synoptic portion but it lays the groundwork for what might be a once every few year storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 YYZ 12z model summary. Interesting difference between globals and meso's. Riding the line. 12z GEM: 10-15cm 12z UKMET: 15-25cm 12z Euro: 15-20cm 12z GFS: 15-20cm. Support from GEFS mean which nudged south on the 12z run. 12z NAM: Trace-5cm 12z RGEM: 5-10cm before change over to ZR and then RN Nice summary. Very finicky setup it seems. Clearly some minute details in play which the short range models are picking up on. We will find out soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 leave it to skilling to keep me on the hook... sporting a chub 1524806_10152082022496760_1960294010_n.png Uhhh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Uhhh... IKR! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Tim's model of choice lol, you've humped that thing for years and years. That's your model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 O, you're map better than mine I posted above! I'll probably hit the normal seasonal snowfall with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 no one has a monopoly on dev RUC weenie shots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 leave it to skilling to keep me on the hook... sporting a chub 1524806_10152082022496760_1960294010_n.png Oh boy if that happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Oh boy if that happens I love him to death but so much of the time he is an off the base geezer anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Uhhh... What is he smoking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 lol, you've humped that thing for years and years. That's your model. I remember looking at one of those prior to the Dec 2004 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 What is he smoking? Hes trolling us. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 SE MI'ers, I wouldn't take that Skilling map too seriously. His focus is naturally going to be on the Chicago area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 17z HRRR Cyclone should get back in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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