kevlon62 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 band is going to dump on north central Illinois for a while.Yeah baby. Was coming down great a bit ago. Heading out on the sleds. What a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Light sleet here. Maybe a couple flakes mixed in? But this is sleet. We're all in for some surprises with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 anyone call for mixing north of I88? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Little sleet starting now in Elgin IL. This is going to be a very strange storm. So if the 6-10 LOT is forecasting isn't from the storm down south? This could get REALLY interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 All snow so far in Woodstock. Was snowing heavily about 15 minutes ago but it has slowed down since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 anyone call for mixing north of I88? Yeah... Definitely a wtf moment when I heard it. Sone flakes had mixed in, but mostly sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Big flakes falling here. Rates definitely picking up. I would imagine the sleet would mix out pretty quick. Latest HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 12z GGEM at 36 hours. Somehow I have mixed emotions about this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 south edge of band may be sleet ..but i think column will cool as rates intensify...north side snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 14Z RAP brings .44 QPF to ORD through 08Z 05JAN.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 The precip starting off as sleet is not surprising given the narrow "warm" wedge between 750-800mb this morning. It will quickly turn to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I'm no expert but the deeper solutions kinda make more sense to me given the pretty impressive baroclinicity if nothing else. Anyhow, we're going to know the answer soon enough. Bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 12z GGEM at 36 hours. Somehow I have mixed emotions about this map. 610_100.gif Things are looking good for us...now just gotta run out the clock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 12Z NAM/GFS EVALUATION INCLUDING PRELIMINARY MODEL PREFERENCES~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~NAM/GFS INITIALIZATION ERRORS DO NOT SEEM TO DEGRADE THEIR SHORTRANGE FORECASTS.BURGEONING TROUGH MID-CONTINENTSURFACE LOW TRACKING THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES SUN NIGHT~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~PREFERENCE: GENERAL MODEL COMPROMISECONFIDENCE: AVERAGETHE DETERMINISTIC AND 00Z GLOBAL ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS SIMILARSPREAD WITH THE SURFACE LOW POSITION/TRACK THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEYAND EASTERN/LOWER GREAT LAKES. THE 12Z NAM APPEARS TOO DEEP INTHE MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS BETWEEN IA AND MI, BUT THE DEGREE OFCOOLNESS IN THE MID-LEVELS SHOULDN'T IMPACT PRECIPITATION TYPE DUETO THE ARCTIC AIRMASS/SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION. TO DEAL WITHLINGERING DETAIL ISSUES, PREFER A GENERAL MODEL COMPROMISE HEREWITH AVERAGE CONFIDENCE CONSIDERING THE SURFACE LOW'S PROGRESSION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I have a feeling with synoptic snowfall, then lake effect snowfall, and high winds, that western Michigan has quite the storm brewing! I'm pretty excited. Getting the snowblower ready.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 What a headache for offices such as IND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 8-10 per LOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 This escalated quickly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 8-10 per LOT Izzi said that thats thru this evening then what?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 This escalated quickly... Wow. You guys are having quite the winter now. How much on the ground now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Izzi said that thats thru this evening then what?? Map is through sunday evening. I think Izzi still expects most defo snows to miss southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Wow. You guys are having quite the winter now. How much on the ground now? I have about 9", much higher as you go east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I have a feeling with synoptic snowfall, then lake effect snowfall, and high winds, that western Michigan has quite the storm brewing! I'm pretty excited. Getting the snowblower ready.... I'm going to ride this one out in Allegan tomorrow. Looks like LES is in the cards there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 going to dump in LAF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Beautiful banding to my immediate west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I'm going to ride this one out in Allegan tomorrow. Looks like LES is in the cards there. I would think that by midday Monday, the LES flakes will be the size of dust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Here you go!!! ILZ006-010>012-050100-/O.EXB.KLOT.WS.W.0001.140104T1646Z-140106T0000Z/LAKE IL-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKEGAN...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA1046 AM CST SAT JAN 4 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORMWARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL6 PM CST SUNDAY.* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA BY EARLYAFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY.* MAIN IMPACT...THE POTENTIAL FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW TONIGHTINTO SUNDAY COULD RESULT IN 5 TO 10 INCHES OF NEW SNOWACCUMULATION...LEADING TO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.* OTHER IMPACTS...PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW...ALONG WITH BRISKNORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH COULD RESULT IN BLOWING ANDDRIFTING SNOW WITH REDUCED VISIBILITY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Marshall, MI?? Yes. Does it not show in my post location? Good luck to you too Harry! I have a feeling with synoptic snowfall, then lake effect snowfall, and high winds, that western Michigan has quite the storm brewing! I'm pretty excited. Getting the snowblower ready.... Hoping this mornings model projections hold serve. If so you will be 100% on the money with that call. Good Luck Blackrock! We've been waiting for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 -FZRA here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 So 6-10 from this band today, what about tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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