nwohweather Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 If anyone was wondering by the way I myself am going with a low passing around Dayton and going to the east of Cleveland at 1000-1002 MBs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Hmm..snow no matter what...but best snows to the west (NAM/RGEM) vs best snows to the east (GFS)...I will take a compromise! Come on, snowfreak, share the snow love! ukie came far enough se to put me back on the edge.... god just let me die Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 ukie throws me a frayed thread (understand my goal is a snowcover before the front I realize a snowstorm is out) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 If anyone has full ukie QPF I beg you to post it. or we wait until that Canadian site has it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Doesn't sound like LOT is too impressed. EDIT: sounds like they came around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Latest Canadian is showing rain for Toronto. I expect the GFS and Euro to cave with their runs today. What a turnaround! Most in the Toronto area are already sick of winter, so they'll likely be happy with this outcome. I expect the incoming cold air to be greatly moderated in my region now that there will not be a fresh snow cover for it to move across. If it rains Im moving to the Arctic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 LOT update AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL956 AM CST SAT JAN 4 2014.DISCUSSION...956 AM CSTWORKING ON A QUICK UPDATE TO THE FORECAST NOW TO MOVE UP STARTTIME AND SIGNIFICANTLY RAISE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FARTHER NORTH IN THECWA. HI-RES MODELS IN GREAT AGREEMENT ON INTENSIFYING A BAND OFMID-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS OVER THE AREA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING WITHFAIRLY STRONG ASCENT IN REGIONS OF WEAKLY NEGATIVE EPV INDICATINGA POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE/MORE INTENSE BANDING TO DEVELOP. THISPROCESS SEEMS TO BE ALREADY QUICKLY EVOLVING WITH BAND OF 30 TONEARLY 40DBZ SNOW BREAKING OUT FROM LEE COUNTY NE INTO THE NWSUBURBS OF CHICAGO. IN ADDITION TO MODERATELY STRONG ASCENT IN THEDENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW FAVORABLE PROFILEFOR LARGE AGGREGATE FLAKE GROWTH INCREASING THE THREAT OF HEAVYSNOW WITHIN THE BAND. CURRENT THINKING THAT 6-10" COULD EASILYFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITHIN THIS BAND AS IT SHIFTS VERYSLOWLY SOUTHWARD AFFECTING THE I-88 CORRIDOR OVER NORTH CENTRALILLINOIS ENE INTO CHICAGO AND FAR NORTHERN SUBURBS.UPDATED WSW WITH EXPANDING WARNING IS BEING WORKED ON NOW ALONGWITH UPDATED GRIDS AND ZFP.IZZI/KJB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Doesn't sound like LOT is too impressed. lol, congrats. WSW coming for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torontonian Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Local Toronto T.V mets are saying 10-20 cm. maybe. Have always watched Don Paul on WIVB in Buffalo for general regional overview. He had a light mixed precip. on his maps. Nothing much for synoptic system in Golden Horseshoe... what he seemed concerned about was wind chills and lake snows after. There isn't an agreed general consensus for this storm in YYZ anywhere. Posted this last night. It really seems hard for any YYZ mets to still have a definite forecast (totals, precip. type, etc..) Strange system still for YYZ less than 48 hrs. out. Heres a closer look. Widespread 4-5" amounts in the GTA. Areas north of newmarket get into the 6"+ snows. image.jpg Hmm its a sharp dividing line, but thanks for that! A general 4-6" is the common theme amongst most models since 12z today expect the 0z Nam. Yup, anywhere from 10-20 cm all snow was common call last night. My favourite met. Don Paul in Buffalo showed little accumulation up this way. It's absolutely insane. The models just don't seem to know what to do with this system!! This is what makes this the oddest synoptic system. Only sure thing is strong winds and bone chilling cold afterwards, for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Nwohweather told me he called IWX and they're going with a NAM/Euro blend with a track thru/near Dayton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Doesn't sound like LOT is too impressed. EDIT: sounds like they came around. lmao....yeah...only 6 to 10 this afternoon? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Southerly winds over performing here so far, gusts to 35 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 lol, congrats. WSW coming for you! They came around. I was reading the old product. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Doesn't sound like LOT is too impressed. Ho hum, 6-10"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 They came around. I was reading the old product. oh...I thought it was just perfectly timed sarcasm...win win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 6-10" with just the frontal snows? Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Before it gets out of hand...last call for Chicago. 14" for Alek...and somehow, someway, 18" for Geos! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Nwohweather told me he called IWX and they're going with a NAM/Euro blend with a track thru/near Dayton. If true, those solutions are far enough apart that they're basically just splitting the difference and probably don't know what the track will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 They came around. I was reading the old product. Did the same thing with that event a few weeks back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Before it gets out of hand...last call for Chicago. 14" for Alek...and somehow, someway, 18" for Geos! Mt Geos, the Valdez of the GLOV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 band is going to dump on north central Illinois for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 New DTX map... This has a classic Lake Orion jackpot written all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Wait 6-10" before the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I am getting something that looks and sounds suspiciously like sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I'm no expert but the deeper solutions kinda make more sense to me given the pretty impressive baroclinicity if nothing else. Anyhow, we're going to know the answer soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Come on, snowfreak, share the snow love! I dont mind sharing...but this is as good a chance as it gets to get me some rarified snowdepth.' Though I have been measuring snow since 1995 when I was 12, I didnt start doing snowdepth since the winter of 1999-00 (It finally occurred to me, back in my novice days, hey, since we had a 2 foot snowpack in Jan 1999...maybe I need to start doing snowdepth AND snowfall, not just snowfall...of course nothing has come close since). So since 1999-00 my peak snow depths: 15" - Feb 2011 (peaked at 16" one evening but for consistency I do 8am obs time) 14" - Jan 2009 13" - Dec 2000 13" - Dec 2008 10-12" - numerous Many times I have had 10-12" depths...as you can see though, its been rare to sneak over the hump of a foot. With a current depth of 9", this is a golden chance to start one hell of a base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 i may be in the screw zone...best snows miss me north today and then SE with the main system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Forget about my ORD call...5.7" total on the tarmac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 12z GGEM came NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I am getting something that looks and sounds suspiciously like sleet 'copter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.