Thundersnow12 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Obviously bumping call here big time. 7.5" Won't go fully all in yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 NW gradient is sick on that NAM run. Goes from 12+" to nothing over NC IL in about a 60mi span. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 with windfields and fluffy nature of snow....blizzard conditions look likely for LOT via the 12Z NAM verbatim sunday evening (maybe not enough to meet the criteria for a full blown warning)....FWIW Yeah 925mb winds to 45kts over the area. Gotta check mixing/soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Obviously bumping call here big time. 7.5" Won't go fully all in yet. Agree. SREF plume for DKB and ORD both with a mean of nearly 14". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 with windfields and fluffy nature of snow....blizzard conditions look likely for LOT via the 12Z NAM verbatim sunday evening (maybe not enough to meet the criteria for a full blown warning)....FWIW Yep. 20-25 kt sustained winds it looks like with this run. Deepen this thing another 6-8 mb and blizzard warning criteria could be met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 NW gradient is sick on that NAM run. Goes from 12+" to nothing over NC IL in about a 60mi span. This is what I'm worried about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 defo band is sick on this run. two big dogs in a week. best climo. Followed by coldest wx ever 12hrs later? Something we could never seen again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 ORD could of had a shot at two 12" events in under a week., Speaking of this... Chicago has only seen back-to-back 10"+ snowstorms 3 times on record... 12.4" - 1/25-27/1978 10.3" - 2/6-7/1978 14.3" - 3/25-26/1970 10.7" - 4/1-2/1970 12.5" - 2/3-4/1896 12.0" - 2/12-13/1896 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I love snow, but this may be bad timing for another major storm. If another foot falls, the temps are gonna be far too dangerous to trek out & shovel. Like I said before, a second major winter storm in 5 days teamed up with the cold would shut down the city of Chicago. And probably other places as well since we'll all be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 This is what I'm worried about. Trends are obviously our friend right now. But we'll see soon enough. Take a look at the radar... the event is practically on our doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 with windfields and fluffy nature of snow....blizzard conditions look likely for LOT via the 12Z NAM verbatim sunday evening (maybe not enough to meet the criteria for a full blown warning)....FWIW along the lakefront, easily. And wow at the SREF plumes...if this turns into a major it will be a major coup for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 4km NAM is jacked. That fronto band develops and does not move until the defo band gets there. 30hr+ event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Yeah 925mb winds to 45kts over the area. Gotta check mixing/soundings Yep. 20-25 kt sustained winds it looks like with this run. Deepen this thing another 6-8 mb and blizzard warning criteria could be met along the lakefront, easily Yeah...not really seeing full blown blanket warning criteria....but for sure some locals could see moments of extremely low visibility / blizzard conditions .... again, just verbatim on that one model run...will be interesting to see if the rate/location of strengthening SLP continues the trend or we're just seeing the peak... Either way...this might make for an easier call for LOT to go WSW for most of LOT now....(again, if the trend continues via the models this morning) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 NAM makes love to MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I had a hunch this would come NW but wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I had a hunch this would come NW but wow Looks like nearly another foot to two feet for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I had a hunch this would come NW but wow including LE, this run gives me 12-14" but also has me near adv level system snow which is new to the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Someone needs to bump that TWC map from yesterday with 0" at ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 LAF still looks in pretty good shape.. But down here near IND, precip issues quickly becoming an issue.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 gonna be a lot of snow falling this week in SW lower MI between system snows and LE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 LAF still looks in pretty good shape.. But down here near IND, precip issues quickly becoming an issue.. defo band looks strong enough that it should be snow even on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 aaaaaaand we're back online: http://ustre.am/16Txc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I also like the fact this storm is not complete wrapped up before it starts. The storms already wrapped up as they head into MI seem to fail in this area. THIS X10! This event is almost into now cast time and it looks like my biggest hit since the super clipper in 2004? Josh can varify the exact date I'm sure. Howell picked up 11 inches from that clipper. Sent from my HTC6435LVW Yep! U & me gonna love this one! Would be biggest since living in Marshall 11 yrs. as I briefly moved away and missed the Jan '05 Manitoba Mauler storm. Luvin' this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 aaaaaaand we're back online: http://ustre.am/16Txc Thank you, by the way, for keeping that webcam up during snowstorms. It's fun to see what's going on in places other than home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 aaaaaaand we're back online: http://ustre.am/16Txc you get a flood light for night vision yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 LAF still looks in pretty good shape.. But down here near IND, precip issues quickly becoming an issue.. I'm not able to pull up maps at work, but I have seen a few people on other places say it doesn't appear that the NAM is taking into account the snowcover now with temps? Any idea if that is truely the case? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 you get a flood light for night vision yet? I've had a flood light going for the past two events, but it's pointing up/out so you can see snowfall rates. Maybe I should consider re-positioning it. With so much snow down though, it's hard to find good footing for it (it's on a stake). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Let's just remember that this is one model. Everyone seems to be taking it as gospel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 gonna be a lot of snow falling this week in SW lower MI between system snows and LE Ya, we're gonna be buried! Choices, choices. Get to work and not back home, or stay put and call in a bunch - ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 you get a flood light for night vision yet? might need to prop that camera up about a foot or so as well.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.