Superstorm93 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Ridiculous amount of fog now Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Ewr just went from 34 to 48..amazing how it always happens right before midnight to skew the high temp for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 It's pretty neat how long near or sub freezing air has held out in some places. But it won't for long...we are surrounded. It is 63 in Salisbury, MD and 42 at Saranac Lake as of 11PM. Eroding bubbles of cooler air scattered all around the northeast in a warm environment. When the warm air does move in, it is sudden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 It's pretty neat how long near or sub freezing air has held out in some places. But it won't for long...we are surrounded. It is 63 in Salisbury, MD and 42 at Saranac Lake as of 11PM. Eroding bubbles of cooler air scattered all around the northeast in a warm environment. When the warm air does move in, it is sudden. Pockets in north central nj still holding onto 30s..even though its milder in every direction..I'm still at 37 but I'll probably be in the mid 40s in an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Both the 00Z GFS/NAM have only .2 to .3" of rain through early afternoon for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Temp spiked to 50 degrees. Fog and now rain destroying the snow pack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 You are correct. I'd be amazed if more than 33% of the frozen snowpack is lost today into tomorrow - which is not to say that the snow depth might not shrink by more than 33%, but that will largely be due to compaction, as the ZR and rain will be largely absorbed by the snowpack, collapsing the low bulk density structure of the original snowpack. 18-24 hours above freezing and 0.25-0.50" of rain at this time of year (low sun angle still) will not eliminate most or even half of a 7-10" snowpack (as very little melted/sublimated since Friday given the very cold temps). Was very similar on 12/14, as we had 12-24 hrs above freezing and with maybe 0.5" of rain falling into 5-6" of snowpack and most of the snowpack survived and froze solid and lasted most of the next week until the record warmth. Well, I didn't expect it to get into the upper 50s for 12 or more hours - that'll kill a snowpack really fast (temp is the most important variable in melting - temps being about 15-20F warmer than I expected or about 10C would lead to a doubling in melting rate, assuming Arrhenius kinetics). Snowpack is down by at least half and going fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Snow is all but gone here in Astoria. Only snow left is some piles left over from the plows/people digging themselves out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Wow thats really HEAVY HEAVY rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 I brought this up but has Newark ever dropped 50 degrees in a day before? EWR is at 58 degrees with a forecast low of 7 tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Gusting to 51mph at EWR with the cold front. Had some brief torrential rain and wind here in Lyndhurst. Temp has gone from 53 to 48 in the last 5-10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 I brought this up but has Newark ever dropped 50 degrees in a day before? EWR is at 58 degrees with a forecast low of 7 tonight They wont hit 7 till after midnight, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 They wont hit 7 till after midnight, no?Yeah that's by morning.Probobly upper teens by midnight, according to the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 That squall line was intense. My suit is soaked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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