SnoSki14 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 So I'm assuming 0.45-0.65 QPF is a good range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The .9" contour line touches Monmouth County on the 12Z EURO. Looks a bit wetter overall. What about NE NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I believe a number closer to 4° or 5° is more likely than the 9° figure. I agree with that, snow cover not being considered by the model, if that was a rural spot you probably undercut that number by 10-12 but in an urban area slicing 4-5 off sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 There's certainly a bust potential for higher snowfall amounts. Models have certainly got a little juicer and temps are colder then expected. It's really nowcasting time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The .9" contour line touches Monmouth County on the 12Z EURO. Looks a bit wetter overall. There is a pretty strong signal on many models now that there may be some impressive totals in Monmouth county down into Ocean, perhaps Queens/Bklyn/Nassau/Suffolk...the jury may still be out on Queens/Bklyn to an extent but a heavier corridor may set up there in the 02-06z period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 What about NE NJ? .6 - .7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 There's certainly a bust potential for higher snowfall amounts. Models have certainly got a little juicer and temps are colder then expected. It's really nowcasting time! I'm hoping it continues to trend as the event is ongoing in a positive direction. This is probably one of the few storms where things could only get better rather than worse as the event begins and it's already very cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 .6 - .7". Can you please tell me what it shows for KLGA? TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Can you please tell me what it shows for KLGA? TIA Pretty much the same. Looks closer to .7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 FOK can do really well if the winds go calm for a few hours before sunrise. WESTHAMPTON BEACH KFOK GFS MOS GUIDANCE 1/02/2014 1200 UTC DT /JAN 2/JAN 3 /JAN 4 /JAN 5 HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 N/X 15 18 -6 31 24 TMP 33 32 33 35 35 33 26 15 15 16 9 3 -1 -3 0 23 29 28 26 29 28 DPT 27 26 24 25 24 21 14 8 5 1 -3 -9-10 -9 -5 6 10 14 16 20 22 CLD OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV CL CL CL CL CL SC CL CL CL CL FW CL BK WDR 04 03 03 03 02 01 35 34 33 33 34 34 34 32 00 24 22 21 21 22 23 WSP 12 12 18 20 20 21 24 22 20 15 10 06 03 01 00 06 08 07 07 06 04 Wow, that's impressive. How close are they to the water? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I'm hoping it continues to trend as the event is ongoing in a positive direction. This is probably one of the few storms where things could only get better rather than worse as the event begins and it's already very cold. I definitely think theres going to be some surprises tonight... Whats up with the short range models? What times do they roll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 A question - these pressure falls out to the east of Cape Cod - is that a bad sign? Or is that little spot over Virginia our coastal beginning? I am not even a novice so go easy on me here!!!http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=3p&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 A question - these pressure falls out to the east of Cape Cod - is that a bad sign? Or is that little spot over Virginia our coastal beginning? I am not even a novice so go easy on me here!!! http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php? image=3p&inv=0&t=cur those pressure falls next to cape cod is from the first coastal that's going otS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 A question - these pressure falls out to the east of Cape Cod - is that a bad sign? Or is that little spot over Virginia our coastal beginning? I am not even a novice so go easy on me here!!! http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php? image=3p&inv=0&t=cur those pressure falls next to cape cod is from the first coastal that's going otS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Think the jackpot zones will be monmouth/ocean out towards eastern nassua towards the east of LI. Hi-res models seem to be picking this area for the best action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 those pressure falls next to cape cod is from the first coastal that's going otS Thanks for clearing that up. So that little drop in VA. is our baby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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