SnowGoose69 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Rgem is awesome. Upped totals from 6z It pretty much comes down to a 20-40 mile shift tonight, most guidance, even HRRR/RAP show that exactly that distance off the NJ shore will be very heavy snow but not much west of NYC...a similar type scenario to 12/2009 as far as W-E snow gradient north of TTN...if those heavier bands end up further west I see no reason there won't be widespread 6-12 inches, otherwise more along a 4-7 deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 mind posting? The QPF accumulation totals haven't updated yet. But here are the important panels. Better than 00z and 06z but best stuff is just offshore. This run gets LI very good and supports the general 4 - 8 / 6 - 10 for the rest of NJ/NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The QPF accumulation totals haven't updated yet. But here are the important panels. Better than 00z and 06z but best stuff is just offshore. This run gets LI very good and supports the general 4 - 8 / 6 - 10 for the rest of NJ/NYC. many thanks for posting and goes along nicely with my thinking of 4-8" for NYC and 7-12 for much of LI (locally higher amounts further east in a best case scenario) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 New HRRR looks like heavy banding sets up at about 3utc i95 phl to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 New HRRR looks like heavy banding sets up at about 3utc i95 phl to NYC map please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 map please Snowgoose posted it up top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Snowgoose posted it up top Isn't that the 12Z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 gfs hr 9 light snow has come in the from the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 12 light to steady snow is across the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 15 steady snow from long island-pitt hr 18 mod-heavy snow back to the del river.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 wow hr 21 mod snow continues for the area…this is the best run yet for qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 24 7am friday light snow…looks like by 9am its out of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 through hr 24 .50+ for everyone and .75+ on long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Definitely has snow earlier than previous runs. A tenth of an inch by this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 27 idv trough signal…snows still going for the metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Isn't that the 12Z run? Not sure. He posted it fairly recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 How did the GFS initialize based on what's currently happening down south on radars? The NAM was east of where the precip currently is, just wondering if the GFS was the same. I don't have access to models. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 30 snow is moving out.. this looks exactly like the 00z euro..the city is close to .75 and all of long island is over that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Looks like the ecm and recent RGEM. Nice run. Arctic cold blowing snow. Happy New Year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 wow hr 21 mod snow continues for the area…this is the best run yet for qpf Good to see GFS hitting inverted trough banding harder this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 30 snow is moving out.. this looks exactly like the 00z euro..the city is close to .75 and all of long island is over that beautiful run.... looks to be shaping up to be a 8-12 inch storm for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 That inverted trough signal has been there for a good bit now. Those things terrify me as they never seem to set up where modeled, but its been pretty consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 the euro had the same idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Good to see GFS hitting inverted trough banding harder this run. USA_APCPI24_sfc_027.gif another small shift NW and we would be into that heavy band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 30 snow is moving out.. this looks exactly like the 00z euro..the city is close to .75 and all of long island is over that Prints out exactly .66" for both ewr and nyc..wettest run yet..always nice to see last minute upticks instead of the reverse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LnbWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I didn't check previous runs but isn't this run has snow starting early for the city and NNJ? Sometime between 18z and 21z? Wondering because everyone has light snow starting only by 7p. Wondering why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 snow maps are 6-8 for north jersey and 8+ from the city east..this is using 10-1 ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Beautiful. Any more NW and we're 8-12:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I know its a 12z forum but anything new with sunday system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Prints out exactly .66" for both ewr and nyc..wettest run yet..always nice to see last minute upticks instead of the reverse Yes I'm very happy with that…..hopefully banding does not screw us march 09 style..lol thinking 4-8 for us…with perhaps 9-10 over the eastern part of the county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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