Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 First school delay coming in. Buncombe County schools operating on a two hour delay tomorrow(Monday) and mentioned possibility of closing if conditions warranted. If they are already on a delay tomorrow I would imagine closing school Tuesday is very likely. Many schools to follow suit im sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Impressive. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BdOBgNfCYAAj5d0.png NC and SC waiting till 12 hours before the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 First school delay coming in. Buncombe County schools operating on a two hour delay tomorrow(Monday) and mentioned possibility of closing if conditions warranted. If they are already on a delay tomorrow I would imagine closing school Tuesday is very likely. Many schools to follow suit im sure. Ya I think this is a good move by the schools especially concerning the extreme wind chill values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 First school delay coming in. Buncombe County schools operating on a two hour delay tomorrow(Monday) and mentioned possibility of closing if conditions warranted. If they are already on a delay tomorrow I would imagine closing school Tuesday is very likely. Many schools to follow suit im sure. 2-hour delay is interesting because conditions should actually be worse 2-hours later than normal start time. To me, this simply sets up the opportunity to close schools with sufficient advance notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Schools in Montgomery already closed for cold weather on Monday and Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 2-hour delay is interesting because conditions should actually be worse 2-hours later than normal start time. To me, this simply sets up the opportunity to close schools with sufficient advance notice. Well you know how it is. They would have already cancelled but you just can't trust meteorologists. A joke of course, but like many jokes there is a germ of truth. Quite a few times over my career I saw schools cancel based on a forecast and then watched the superintendent catch hell when the forecasted weather didn't occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 The thing that's more impressive is the raw output from the 12z GFS. After early tomorrow morning we will not see 40 degrees here again until sometime on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Impressive. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BdOBgNfCYAAj5d0.png NC and SC waiting till 12 hours before the event. gsp has updated - most at least wind chill advisory event outside the mtns. looks lke low single digits here and possible a "chance" to hit or go under 0 (might as well be -1 rather than 3 lol) may see a few flakes but not the best set up. hopeful after the last arctic passage though. maybe all the moisture in the air/ground can squeeze out a few flakes. been in the 30s all day with pretty heavy fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I spent part of the day insulating pipes in preparation. Anyone else concerned about water breaks or power failures during the cold wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I spent part of the day insulating pipes in preparation. Anyone else concerned about water breaks or power failures during the cold wave? I'm more worried about house fires... saw a couple articles already on fires related to heaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Murray Co. GA schools closed tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Well, kffc has me down for a 7, but I'm just hoping I break the 12 I got 3 years ago. Sometimes I go high down here in the brutal outbreaks, and sometimes low. It's a crap shoot. If the winds die down, and highs in the right place...... T Tony, Actually, the coldest is expected (Tue AM) to be when it is still pretty windy (advective cooling) as opposed to during radiational cooling if that helps you to prognosticate because the extreme cold is in and out so quickly per the model consensus! This windy cold will allow KATL, itself, to be quite representative of the ATL area, especially city southward. In situations like this, KATL is actually often at or even 1-2 colder than KFFC. Nevertheless, places like Marietta and PDK would likely be ~1-2 colder than KATL. Folks, The record low of 10 as well as the record low high of 25 are both in great danger of being broken at KATL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Its hard to believe that tommorow in eastern nc its going to be 60 and tommorow night is going to be 19 talk about a temp swing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BraseltonGAWX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Tony, Actually, the coldest is expected (Tue AM) to be when it is still pretty windy (advective cooling) as opposed to during radiational cooling if that helps you to prognosticate because the extreme cold is in and out so quickly per the model consensus! This windy cold will allow KATL, itself, to be quite representative of the ATL area, especially city southward. In situations like this, KATL is actually often at or even 1-2 colder than KFFC. Nevertheless, places like Marietta and PDK would likely be ~1-2 colder than KATL. Folks, The record low of 10 as well as the record low high of 28 are both in great danger of being broken at KATL. Larry, FFC is showing a record low high of 25 for Tuesday on their afternoon disco. Wouldn't surprise me if this was a typo on their part, as I would put more faith in your data than theirs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Are they closing schools in Charlotte and Atlanta? Or is it too early to know? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Haven't heard anything yet! Still don't think local mets are talking about the real temps yet. I think if they had an idea of how cold it will be , the schools would seriously consider closings. There will be a big strain on the power grid and some pretty gusty winds, I would not want my child sitting in a school without power in these types of conditions. Or having a bus breakdown because of the extreme temps and kids stuck in that type of cold. Tomorrow is the first day back for our schools since Christmas ! Lot of chaos ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Tony, Actually, the coldest is expected (Tue AM) to be when it is still pretty windy (advective cooling) as opposed to during radiational cooling if that helps you to prognosticate because the extreme cold is in and out so quickly per the model consensus! This windy cold will allow KATL, itself, to be quite representative of the ATL area, especially city southward. In situations like this, KATL is actually often at or even 1-2 colder than KFFC. Nevertheless, places like Marietta and PDK would likely be ~1-2 colder than KATL. Folks, The record low of 10 as well as the record low high of 28 are both in great danger of being broken at KATL. From xmacis2... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Suppose to be around 15 here in the Fla panhandle Tuesday morning. 3 straight mornings below freezing. 30, 15, 27 respectively starting Monday morning. Coldest in history was around +5 In Jan of 1985. Doesnt look as though we will approach that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I spent part of the day insulating pipes in preparation. Anyone else concerned about water breaks or power failures during the cold wave? The power outages are a concern especially with the wind and the temps dropping in the single digits and then below zero Tuesday morning. The pipes are going to be a major concern especially the people who live in mobel homes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Braselton, and Isohume. Thanks for correcting my record low high for 1/7 at KATL. I had 28 but that was a typo as it is, indeed, 25. I'll edit my post with a correction to prevent further confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Lots of classrooms these days are mobile/modular units. I'm worried that the pipes are going to burst in the one I teach in. I have a feeling that most school systems will run on a delay Tuesday morning. You can't have kids waiting at the bus stop in single digit weather with below zero wind chills. I can almost guarantee that some of the busses are not going to crank in that type of cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VanillaDream Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I am concerned about power outages. The wind with the Thursday Night front caused the power to flicker at least a dozen times. I expect the winds with this front to be much much stronger. The power outages are a concern especially with the wind and the temps dropping in the single digits and then below zero Tuesday morning. The pipes are going to be a major concern especially the people who live in mobel homes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Its hard to believe that tommorow in eastern nc its going to be 60 and tommorow night is going to be 19 talk about a temp swing.. Yeah but timing wise unless something drastic changes this isn't going to be that cold here, maybe low teens and we might break the daily low max Tues but other than that its not that big of a deal for us IMO its cold but its been colder many times. The one caveat will be the wind prolly be below zero Tues morning till around 9-10 am or so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 TWC just upped our high on Tuesday from 35 to 40 and low from 17 to 23. NWS still at 36/16. I doubt we are going to reach 16 with wind, and the latest 18z Runs down here have come in warmer. We'll see. FWIW TWC busted the high today by 11 degrees and NWS by 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 This attack is focused mainly on the interior SE. Not the eastern Carolina's.No its not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Lots of classrooms these days are mobile/modular units. I'm worried that the pipes are going to burst in the one I teach in. I have a feeling that most school systems will run on a delay Tuesday morning. You can't have kids waiting at the bus stop in single digit weather with below zero wind chills. I can almost guarantee that some of the busses are not going to crank in that type of cold. Good point on the buses. I wonder if how long they will delay though? A 2 hour won't do much good. These days all the kids at the bus stop near my house sit in their parent's running car with the heat blasting and don't get out until the bus rolls up. I feel ancient saying this but back in my day I didn't get that luxury. Not to go on a tangent, but kids are way too spoiled these days in all aspects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Can anyone tell if the cold is underperforming in the Midwest currently or if the timing is just off? I thought the Green Bay game was supposed to kick-off around -3 and instead it's currently 5 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Folks, Based on Bismarck, ND, and the Twin Cities, MN, I'm a bit concerned about a cold bias in the GFS, which MAY mean we shouldn't completely ignore the warmer Euro. I still am leaning to the GFS verifying more closely down in Atlanta at least, especially because of those very cold 850's (~-19 C) being progged there. Btu it is far from a slam dunk imo. Bismarck: The ten GFS runs ending with today's 6Z run all had Bismarck at between -13 and -16 for 12Z today. Today's 6Z run had them at -16, tied for the coldest of any of these ten runs! However, it ended up being a sig. warmer -8. Also, these same runs had them at between -16 and -21 at 21Z today with the last two runs (6Z and 12Z today) at -19. Well, they are only down to -13. The actual drop of 5 at Bismarck between 12Z and 21Z today was about what the GFS progged. Was the Arctic air actually modeled as too cold or if it just delayed about 12 hours. Any opinions? Twin Cities: The GFS has been progressively warming from run to run for both 12Z and 21Z today. For 12Z today, the runs have warmed from -18 on early Friday runs to -11/-12 on today's 0Z and 6Z runs. Nevertheless, the actual was only down to -9 today at 12Z. For 21Z today, it has warmed from -12's on the Friday runs to -8/-7 on today's three runs. Nevertheless, the actual was only down to -5 at 21Z today. The actual warming of 4 between 12Z and 21Z today is actually in line with these GFS progs. Opinions? Do we have a sig. problem with the GFS cold bias? If so, does that mean the actuals will verify warmer than the GFS and closer to the Euro here in the SE? Or is the cold just delayed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 The 18Z NAM now has CLT at 20 FOR A HIGH on Tuesday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 No its not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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