Stormlover74 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:18 AM, WintersGrasp said: I agree...it's a bit too much. From others and myself. But on the opposite end of the spectrum, the "this run is more amped so far through 12 hours" is the same thing. Speculation based on lack of knowledge. And should be looked at just the same as posting that the run is not as good 30 hours through it No..more amped through 12 hours just means more amped through 12 hours..stop trying to assume you know what's going to happen next and let the run finish and someone knowledgeable do the play by play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:19 AM, PB GFI said: 1.5 .75" line is in RI. 1" on the Cape 1.5" over the Atlantic Not sure what you're so amped about. Its .5-.75" for the NJ/NY area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 WB maps 1.5 from Monmouth county through LI 1 inch back to NYC ? have an NCEP MAP ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 It's wrong.....qpf is .50 - .65 area wide... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Sref probabilities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:21 AM, PB GFI said: its on ryan maue s site I cant cut it . if its wrong im gona kill them Its very wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:22 AM, PB GFI said: WB maps 1.5 from Monmouth county through LI 1 inch back to NYC ? have an NCEP MAP ? Total QPF through hour 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Read the increments carefully for the WB site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:22 AM, PB GFI said: WB maps 1.5 from Monmouth county through LI 1 inch back to NYC ? have an NCEP MAP ? Sounds like 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 With this evening's run of the NAM, it appears that the models have fallen into a broad consensus that the greater NYC area will see 0.40"-0.65" qpf with a little more across eastern Long Island. All in all, this should be a good, high-ratio storm. It's certainly a lot more than the worries posted a few days ago that the region would pick up little or no snow. In short, enjoy the snow and its being coupled with a shot of extreme cold. I, for one, am looking forward to the event and the cold that will follow as the storm peaks and winds down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Somehow, the WB maps are incredibly different from SV and NCEP. Ah well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:22 AM, Mohawkvalley said: Sref probabilities That looks like the 15Z run. This is the 21Z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:24 AM, PB GFI said: wow! with some good ratios that looks like 12"+, you believe that map or any reason to believe it paul? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Seems like maybe close to 1 inch liquid NYC on east. Stop going crazy over QPFs. The trend aloft is more important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 those srefs probs are really nice…the ratios after midnight are something we have not seen around here since the 2003 clipper…plus thats the meat of the storm for us…great timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:24 AM, PB GFI said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Those WB maps are definitely wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:25 AM, Superstorm93 said: Somehow, the WB maps are incredibly different from SV and NCEP. Ah well. The WB are 3 hrs later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:25 AM, Superstorm93 said: Somehow, the WB maps are incredibly different from SV and NCEP. Ah well. I'm really confused about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Pb gfi..my wb map shows 1.5 + at hr 48 for eastern nj and LI. 1.4 for nyc..I know its wrong but wth?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The problem lies on both sides of analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:24 AM, donsutherland1 said: With this evening's run of the NAM, it appears that the models have fallen into a broad consensus that the greater NYC area will see 0.40"-0.65" qpf with a little more across eastern Long Island. All in all, this should be a good, high-ratio storm. It's certainly a lot more than the worries posted a few days ago that the region would pick up little or no snow. In short, enjoy the snow and its being coupled with a shot of extreme cold. I, for one, am looking forward to the event and the cold that will follow as the storm peaks and winds down.Absolutely Don. Thanks as always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:24 AM, donsutherland1 said: With this evening's run of the NAM, it appears that the models have fallen into a broad consensus that the greater NYC area will see 0.40"-0.65" qpf with a little more across eastern Long Island. All in all, this should be a good, high-ratio storm. It's certainly a lot more than the worries posted a few days ago that the region would pick up little or no snow. In short, enjoy the snow and its being coupled with a shot of extreme cold. I, for one, am looking forward to the event and the cold that will follow as the storm peaks and winds down. 1 plus. Thank you. I think there's going to be some nice surprises with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:26 AM, jm1220 said: Seems like maybe close to 1 inch liquid NYC on east. Stop going crazy over QPFs. The trend aloft is more important. Yea it trended slightly worse this run aloft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:26 AM, TWCCraig said: Those WB maps are definitely wrong. On 1/2/2014 at 2:26 AM, IntenseBlizzard2014 said: I'm really confused about that. On 1/2/2014 at 2:27 AM, Rjay said: Pb gfi..my wb map shows 1.5 + at hr 48 for eastern nj and LI. 1.4 for nyc..I know its wrong but wth?? It has to be an internal issue. Someone should tweet at Maue... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 How would those maps be so wrong ? It's actually as if they somehow computed almost exactly DOUBLE the qpf. Is that a possibility?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monmouthcounty11 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:25 AM, IntenseBlizzard2014 said: That looks like the 15Z run. This is the 21Z: f12s60.gif Those are not the maps I have for 21z, I have the ones that were posted by the other poster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:27 AM, PB GFI said: That's terrible , Can only relay what`s in front of me, that's a first , shame . Maybe that was last nights 0z NAM? Never got to see it since I was celebrating New Years though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 2:27 AM, PB GFI said: That's terrible , Can only relay what`s in front of me, that's a first , shame . To be fair I have that map up too and it would be very misleading if it was my only source. However, I always check at least two more sources just to confirm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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