CapturedNature Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 TWC just upped total forecast in eastern MA: TWC_forecast_01_02_14_10pm.png I'm wondering about that 12-18" swath they have in the Berkshires. I suppose I might make the low end of that 8-12" swath but I'm thinking it's closer to 6-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 BOX clear air mode blows. Ii have them on precip mode now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Thanks - I was rooting for the storm to spread North but it seems like the northern extent tapered off quickly. Very sharp cutoff to the NW, Even the foothills are out of the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Here's the latest regional loop and you can see where the last shot of good snow may come from for the interior...the hop is that the mid-level center gives one last injection...the area near AVP in NE PA is sort of where you want to watch...that batch Too little too late for the cape and se ma. I think this thing is busting bad on the high total side. Snow will ramp up later but we are going to be hard pressed to see another 10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Ray has a good call He is now known as conservative weenie Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 peobodyflood - how about some pics for those of us looking at a few inches of fluff? I'll head out and take some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Man it's pounding here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Seems to be snowing really good, but nothing really to show for it. Looking at radar..... Doubts creeping in that we really crank this over a foot. I suppose well see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I'm wondering about that 12-18" swath they have in the Berkshires. I suppose I might make the low end of that 8-12" swath but I'm thinking it's closer to 6-8". What's comical is their amounts will verify because every County has a slant stick somewhere. 3.6° to go to get to no temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 And back on clear air. This will be the first 12-18 storm that was 95% in clear air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 4.3°F Ah, no *PINGERS* in this baby - none whatsoever. Pingers, has a bad rap, actually... There's an old saying in winter storm snow totals: "It's better to just kiss the sleet" Why that is important is because just on the western edge of pingers, or even just a tad inside the pinging axis, that is where your heaviest fall rates are taking place. For most that is bad, because they don't won't snow -- but speaking just in terms of the "sickness" (as Jerry sometimes refers ha). But .. .moot for this event, yeah. This is an arctic nor-easter, rim to rim to geographic rim. Even were people are 26F, they are still blowing and drifting.. Snow distribution will come down to meso bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 The snow should make one more push to the northwest as the rapidly developing mid-level center makes its pass near the south coast of CT and RI. The stuff currently in PA from AVP down toward ABE will probably be the batch we watch...that would give the interior folk NW of the BOS-PVD corridor their last shot of several inches between about 05z and 09z should it perform. Yup... SREF showed a band of intensity passing through later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Throwing these up for the weatherman types. Sagamore bridge. Again maybe 2 or so". There's more right on the water but not much more. Still just very light snow Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Blah. Only 1.5" down since 5:30pm Still 9.5" -.7/-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 i NEVER get the jackpot or even close to it and know that its just about IMPOSSIBLE back this way but i dont think its wrong to be just a little bummed out when it seems like theres much bigger totals all around. i didnt experience a fraction of the victories ct folk have recently either so i CAN BE A LITTLE BENT OUT OF SHAPE over it snowing for 24 hours with less than three inches to show for it. Nobody should hold it against you bro. Measured 3" here just now also, dense stuff. Dryslot filling in now and it's improved. If I wake up to 6" I'll call it a win. 6 inches so far here not bad damn dryslot is killing us though hope it fills in Nice, you've overperformed locally at any rate. GL folks, congrats to you easterners. True arctic air is always the #1 powder keg element in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Too little too late for the cape and se ma. I think this thing is busting bad on the high total side. Snow will ramp up later but we are going to be hard pressed to see another 10+ Will be surprised if I get more then 8 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Will be surprised if I get more then 8 inches here. Not looking as great as it was a few hours ago. Those that have 7 or 8 now may push a foot..... But not much more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 like to break this storm down into pieces thus far. 1. 2-3" starting midnight till about 7pm. light stuff 2. 4-6" 7-11pm nice banding, temps still 28-30F 3. about to commence as front passes. maybe another 5-7"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I think best snows occur between now and 12pm tomorrow, I think we have another 14-16 hours of snow out here on the Cape. 995mb low over Cape Hatteras, NC, a little further west than the NAM had it as of 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 One more intense walk ...a mile with the dog. Local temps nearing 0 with heavy falling and blowing snow. Let's see if the dog can take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 4" otg so far Harwich, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Measurements here will be all over the place due to wind and likely too low. This is one of those times where you have to guess based on vis too. It's been easily 1-2/hr since 6 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Throwing these up for the weatherman types. Sagamore bridge. Again maybe 2 or so". There's more right on the water but not much more. Still just very light snow Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I have a friend up near the Plymouth Ctr. area she reported 6" about 2 hours ago. Will be interesting to see a map of the actual snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Look at that sick front, bone chilling cold. Winds picking up snow still falling a good clip. Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 -1.6F. 6.0". Arctic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 BOS was 3.4 at 1, 7.6 at 7. 13 at 1, 19 at 7am? Hope so. Just took a walk, still coming down pretty decently despite unimpressive returns. But the mid level center will really have to deliver if Logan gets 8"+ in the next 10 hours... Will post pics in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 2.0" new, 4.5" storm total, -8F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Will be surprised if I get more then 8 inches here. I'm expecting about 6" more here, roughly. I think best snows occur between now and 12pm tomorrow, I think we have another 14-16 hours of snow out here on the Cape. 995mb low over Cape Hatteras, NC, a little further west than the NAM had it as of 00z. This little lull was modeled and has been modeled most of the day. The question becomes the 12-1am onward timeframe. I'm not sold we see the type of ramp up the RAP and 4km NAM show. The ML centers will be active at that point and that should help but the question to me is how much can we make up for lost time. This has been anemic for about 15+ hours now. Every band that tried to form or move in got zapped. OES bands aren't pulling together "yet" to provide other than bursts of more important snow. The 10-14/14-18 to me for my immediate surrounding area seems like a strong reach based on overperformance earlier. Model QPF, nor radar etc supports those types of totals in the areas hovering around 2-3" right now, JMHO. EDIT: A lot of the areas that are forecast to have 10-14 or 14-18 down this way were sitting at .9 to 2 or so inches on the latest PNS. Meh...just not seeing it. This may come together sharply in a few hours for some late stage 2+" per hour snows but....I may go down in flames but sticking to the 6-10...more likely 7-9" totals. Somewhere around 8 +- was the thought but wondering on that now too. There's a blizzard warning up and so far I don't think anyone has come close to verifying that down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 14/11 - 3.5 OTG (all but a half inch has fallen since around 8PM) amazingly there are spots here where i can measure (top wind gust only 23 mph over the last hour) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 front has cleared TAN. down to 24F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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