Burghblizz Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Regardless of the erroneous total, and the stupid crippling wording, their overall snow forecast was, in fact, the most accurate out of any I saw leading into the event now that numbers have come in. Maybe for isolated areas - but certainly not overall in south central Pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Regardless of the erroneous total, and the stupid crippling wording, their overall snow forecast was, in fact, the most accurate out of any I saw leading into the event now that numbers have come in. I can tell you for sure that their 10-14" forecast up this way was not even close... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 What about the NWS? Yes... the NWS did great! Very close with totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
var126 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 a little over 3 inches in Lewisburg with ice forming on the river - a beautiful morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Nice Pics..........and the Labordoodle had to get in there too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Regardless of the erroneous total, and the stupid crippling wording, their overall snow forecast was, in fact, the most accurate out of any I saw leading into the event now that numbers have come in. They said 12-14" for Northern York county with blizzard conditions... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Yes... the NWS did great! Very close with totals. NWS was dead on for us as well. Their final call was 6-8 for LNS, we ended up with between 6 and 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 NWS was dead on for us as well. Their final call was 6-8 for LNS, we ended up with between 6 and 7. They are pretty much always dead-on accurate. Last Thursday notwithstanding, of course. But they had MDT for 2-4 then 3-5. They finished with 4.8". If you look at stations around the Dauphin/Cumberland/York triangle you'll see they all are within that range. Well except for the yahoo in Harrisburg that reported 2.8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 yeah, tell me about it. My Knees are screaming right now, i need a warm fire and a cold beer. Excellent for you! Are you at 20" yet? Almost to 23"! Summer amwx get-together at mapgirls. Bring your swimsuit and the booze! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Nam show me with a 7 hour period of below Zero temps. coldest being neg 5 Edited-- Thanks Stephen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 NWS was dead on for us as well. Their final call was 6-8 for LNS, we ended up with between 6 and 7. They are pretty much always dead-on accurate. Last Thursday notwithstanding, of course. But they had MDT for 2-4 then 3-5. They finished with 4.8". If you look at stations around the Dauphin/Cumberland/York triangle you'll see they all are within that range. Well except for the yahoo in Harrisburg that reported 2.8". My only comment here is that the call before the storm in Lancaster was 2 to 4". We did not get a warning and 4 to 8 inches until the storm had started. PHL forecasted 4 to 8 inches 24 hours prior to the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 And LWX, well that is a different story all together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Was thinking the same - its where that weenie Facebook group lives, right? I was thinking sure, rip the NWS then give a report that eeks in to the low end of your "forecast" I did see some 6" and 7" in York county so it may not be impossible. But they were what i thought of I had 8.5 and I measured multiple spots average. I am south of Red Lion by about 7 miles as the crow flies, It is hard to measure but no single spot here came in below 7. I measured 12 inches in one spot but that is obviously drifting. This area had a lot of high ratio banding set up overnight and that is what accounts for the higher totals. Some of the terrain here is very high 800-1100 ft which likely contributes to higher totals, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Never underestimate sun...seeing melting even though it's just 10.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 No matter how cold, radiant heat from the sun at our latitude will do it all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 My only comment here is that the call before the storm in Lancaster was 2 to 4". We did not get a warning and 4 to 8 inches until the storm had started. PHL forecasted 4 to 8 inches 24 hours prior to the storm. LNS got in on that heavy band axis from the ocean right? I can give a bit of slack as that's really hard to predict this far west. Your point is valid though, most definitely. What'd PHL end up with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 My only comment here is that the call before the storm in Lancaster was 2 to 4". We did not get a warning and 4 to 8 inches until the storm had started. PHL forecasted 4 to 8 inches 24 hours prior to the storm. LNS got in on that heavy band axis from the ocean right? I can give a bit of slack as that's really hard to predict this far west. Your point is valid though, most definitely. What'd PHL end up with? Philadelphia International Airport came in at 9". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 This morning. Crazy drifting here on roads around fields. I will go out on foot and try to take picts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 ...YORK COUNTY...RED LION 9.0 200 AM 1/03 TRAINED SPOTTERDOVER 7.5 1013 PM 1/02 PUBLIC ...HARFORD COUNTY...NORRISVILLE 7.5 610 AM 1/03 PUBLICBEL AIR 7.0 700 AM 1/03 SHERIFF OFFICE1 NNE BEL AIR 6.3 440 AM 1/03 TRAINED SPOTTERCONOWINGO DAM 4.0 700 AM 1/03 CO-OP OBSERVER My location is about 6 miles north of Norrisville, and about 7 miles south of Red Lion. If you average the 9 inch Red Lion report with the Norrisville report of 7.5 you get about 8.3. I am right between those two locations so I am confident in the 8.5 measurement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Kind of interesting to see that areas of SNE that did not cash in on OES were not much higher than areas that saw snow from the low from Maryland to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 That 9" report from Red Lion is darn suspicious. with the blowing snow I was afraid to see what the totals would end up being reported today from people who dont know how to properly measure... I was rather surprised that most seem accurate with the higher totals in the areas that saw the good banding... other than that 9" report... there are always at least a few who report totals slightly higher than everyone around them just to try and have the most... drives me nuts edit: after seeing the posts from I-83 blizzard I guess I was off where I remember the best banding developing... I was thinking Red Lion was further south of it but maybe not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1249 PM EST FRI JAN 3 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL BUILD INTO PENNSYLVANIA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A POLAR VORTEX BREAKUP INDICATED LATE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH ONE PIECE DROPPING SE THRU THE GRT LKS. SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR IN THE LAST 20 YEARS WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION LATE MONDAY THRU EARLY WEDNESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING/... WINDS ARE SLOWLY DIMINISHING AND WILL DO SO INTO EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE THEY BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING DARKNESS THIS EVENING. CRISP CLEAR NIGHT. && cant help but laugh at this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 cant help but laugh at this one... that is just to damn funny. At least we know what to expect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Nam show me with a 7 hour period of below freezing temps. coldest being neg 5 Don't you mean below Zero (F) temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 11.6 and pretty much 100% sunny now. The cliff is ready for the temperatures... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Don't you mean below Zero (F) temps? oh yes, good catch sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 cant help but laugh at this one... Shades of George Carlin http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z2HpB5CGfLQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 So I tried to walk over to the river bank and get photos, but well yeah that isn't happening because I don't want to fall into the damn thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 So I tried to walk over to the river bank and get photos, but well yeah that isn't happening because I don't want to fall into the damn thing. What about from the Walnut Street bridge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 What about from the Walnut Street bridge? To get there from this building requires a) crossing three lanes of Front Street traffic on a Friday afternoon only to b ) walk through God-knows-what-and-how-deep of snow on the bank just to get to where the sidewalk relatively might be to get to the bridge. I might try it tomorrow when there are less people out and about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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