Laurel Highlands Wx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Up to 4" just over the MD line, snow started around 3 Very impressive. Maybe an inch so here so far. I'm more excited for my high of 9 tom. Also the projected high of -2 on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Up to 4" just over the MD line, snow started around 3 Wow...that is awesome. Better not post that in the DC thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Over an inch her probably end up with 2. Light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Most models I saw had that dry slot. Even the snow total maps had that area in the least amount of snow in that area so don't think its time to panic for York Lancaster area at least. There will likely be a sharp gradient where the coastal snows only move so far west and where the current snows begin to weaken. Lots of juice though south of the Mason-Dixon Line. I think Lancaster Reading and points north and east will do fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Weird to see wsw south, east and north of lancaster cty. I know it can happen just weird looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The dry slot didn't make it up to me. Smart dry slot. I don't play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I believe that is the coastal getting organized. That is usually how it has played out in past events in central PA. Greatest pressure falls appear to be over the piedmont and coastal sections of NC. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 There will likely be a sharp gradient where the coastal snows only move so far west and where the current snows begin to weaken. Lots of juice though south of the Mason-Dixon Line. I think Lancaster Reading and points north and east will do fine. You think we're fine here in W-B or is the shaft coming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Looks like primary precip is fading right now over IPT to MDT and lightening returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Just measured 2.25" in midtown Harrisburg. Took me 55 minutes to drive from Front & Locust to 4th & Hamilton - it should take 5. Pretty heavy rates and the flakes turned nice and large. Good luck driving around the Capitol tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Weird to see wsw south, east and north of lancaster cty. I know it can happen just weird looking. Remember that most of LWX's CWA (and including that area) has different warning criteria than CTP...Needing 5 inches in 12 hrs or 7 in 24 hours instead of CTP's 6"/12hr and 8"/24hr. They're warning statements are for 4-6", while Lancaster and York are in a high end advisory for essentially the same amounts. It's just that anyone reaching the 6 inch threshold in that area is going to likely be in the minority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 You think we're fine here in W-B or is the shaft coming?I would keep your eye on what's happening west of the Susquehanna river and when the heavy precip begins to take on that pivot look around Balt DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 6:00pm update...still moderate to almost heavy snow. Much bigger flakes now, the kind that speeds up the accumulating. Picked up 0.9" in the past hour for storm total of 2.4". Breezy with the snow being whipped around a bit. Just recorded gust to 13.4 mph. Temp holding at 25.0 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Taking a brief detour to note CTP's very strongly worded long term this afternoon: .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...***SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR IN THE LAST 20 YEARS WILL OVERSPREADTHE AREA JANUARY 7-8TH***THE MEDIUM RANGE/LONG TERM PERIOD WILL START OFF RELATIVELY QUIETWITH HIGH PRES MIGRATING OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEASTCOAST. RETURN SW FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING SFC HIGHSHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO SLOWLY MODERATE WITH DAYTIME HIGHS GETTINGBACK TO NEAR NORMAL BY SUNDAY.THE ACTIVE WINTER PATTERN RESUMES FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...AS ALEADING SHORTWAVE PIVOTING AROUND THE SRN EDGE OF A DEEP VORTEXSPINNING ALONG THE NRN PLAINS/SOUTHERN CANADIAN BORDER HELPS TOINTENSIFY A SURFACE LOW TRACKING NEWD FROM THE LWR MS VLY INTO NEWENGLAND. THERE IS SOME SPREAD IN THE TRACK/DEPTH OF THE LOW WITHTHE ECMWF REPRESENTING THE STRONGER AND WRN EDGE OF THEGUIDANCE ENVELOPE...THE CMC/UKMET/SREF MEAN IN THE MIDDLE ANDGFS/GEFS WEAKER AND FURTHEST TO THE EAST. WHILE THERE IS LOWCONFIDENCE IN THE FCST DETAILS SUCH AS THE TRACK WHICH WOULDIMPACT SENSIBLE WX PTYPES...THERE IS ABOVE AVG CONFIDENCE INMEASURABLE PCPN THEREFORE INCREASED POPS AOA CONSENSUS MOS/RAWMODEL BLEND TO 60-80 PCT FOR DAY 4.ENTER THE DEEP FREEZE...THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO VERY GOODAGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE ANOMALOUS TROUGH DIGGING INTOTHE ERN U.S NEXT WEEK...DRIVING A TRUE ARCTIC FRONT ACROSS THEAREA ON MONDAY. SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR IN THE LAST 20 YEARS ISEXPECTED TO INVADE THE REGION FROM LATE ON DAY 5/MON NGT THRU DAY6/TUESDAY. 850MB TEMPS ON THE ORDER OF -25 TO -35C /-3 TO -4SD/WILL SUPPORT FRIGID/BITTER TO NEAR RECORD COLD TEMPERATURES WITHDAILY HI/LO DEPARTURES -20 AND -30 DEGREES BELOW EARLY JANUARYCLIMO. THE EPICENTER OF THE COLD OUTBREAK SHOULD PEAK ON TUESDAYWITH LOWS FROM 0F IN THE LSV TO -20F BELOW IN THE NW MTNS. TO MAKEMATTERS WORSE...A BLUSTERY WEST WIND WILL COMBINE WITH THE BONE-CHILLING ARCTIC AIR TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS BETWEEN -20 AND -40FBELOW ZERO. THIS WILL RESULT IN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CONDITIONSMAKING FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA A REAL CONCERN IF EXPOSED TO THEELEMENTS FOR ONLY A SHORT PERIOD. PEOPLE SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONSAND PREPARE FOR THE COLDEST AIRMASS TO AFFECT THE AREA SINCEJANUARY 1994. LATER SHIFTS MAY WANT TO START RAISING AWARENESS BYHIGHLIGHTING THE UPCOMING COLD EPISODE BY ISSUING SPECIAL WEATHERSTATEMENTS. FOR NOW WE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE EXTREME COLDIN THE HWO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 That afd makes me tingle. That dry slot on my doorstep upsets me, however. Fill in old friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I would keep your eye on what's happening west of the Susquehanna river and when the heavy precip begins to take on that pivot look around Balt DC. That dry slot at the moment looks like it has it's eyes set on Schuylkill County. We'll see as the night goes on, but like PSU, that worries me a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I would keep your eye on what's happening west of the Susquehanna river and when the heavy precip begins to take on that pivot look around Balt DC. Oy; this is like being up 4 points in the big game and the opposition is getting into the Red Zone with the clock ticking, but not fast enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Heavy snow and about 3.5 inches so far. I measured 25 minutes ago at 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 All the dry slot posts was why I found the dry slot in the pre-Xmas rainstorm so damn hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I wouldn't get too crazy about the dry slot yet, I do think from about Shippensburg up to PSU Hazelton's neck of the woods may have a bit of a lull in the snow with lighter rates. Precip still solid in the western part of the state and seeing a little bit of regeneration in the echoes to the SW ot Harrisburg. I'd be a little more worried about the southern tier counties west of York and Lancaster, but they were only supposed to see 2-4 inches to begin with... and folks like Cashtown already have over 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 All the dry slot posts was why I found the dry slot in the pre-Xmas rainstorm so damn hilarious. I just got home from work so I've seen next to nothing as far as what happened, or will happen. I looked at the radar, saw the dry area southwest of Harrisburg moving northeast, and saw PSU's post. I'm not going to panic, but I wonder if it fills in as the coastal takes over. Like I said, I just got home from a bad day of work, a long ride home, and didn't really look at much beyond the radar and this page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 There will likely be a sharp gradient where the coastal snows only move so far west and where the current snows begin to weaken. Lots of juice though south of the Mason-Dixon Line. I think Lancaster Reading and points north and east will do fine. Yea, the dry slot is much longer then I thought earlier. Area of Bedford-adams seemed to be the least in models. Stil not a bust as 2-4 was predicted in that area and many are close or at it already. Even here I have 2.75 and the forcast was 3-5 so not a bust. Seems on track in Southern Pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Remember that most of LWX's CWA (and including that area) has different warning criteria than CTP...Needing 5 inches in 12 hrs or 7 in 24 hours instead of CTP's 6"/12hr and 8"/24hr. They're warning statements are for 4-6", while Lancaster and York are in a high end advisory for essentially the same amounts. It's just that anyone reaching the 6 inch threshold in that area is going to likely be in the minority. Not to derail things but that confuses me. Shouldnt the criteria for warnings/watches be the same across the offices? Though granted I could see differences for snow storm warnings/watches for PA vs California but still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I wouldn't get too crazy about the dry slot yet, I do think from about Shippensburg up to PSU Hazelton's neck of the woods may have a bit of a lull in the snow with lighter rates. Precip still solid in the western part of the state and seeing a little bit of regeneration in the echoes to the SW ot Harrisburg. I'd be a little more worried about the southern tier counties west of York and Lancaster, but they were only supposed to see 2-4 inches to begin with... and folks like Cashtown already have over 2". All I hope for is for 4-8 snowfall; preferably around 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 All I want is 3 from this so it looks cool blowing around if we get wind. Is the wind still suppose to pick up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 All I want is 3 from this so it looks cool blowing around if we get wind. Is the wind still suppose to pick up?Snow's blowing horizontally here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I'm hearing about 18 inches of ocean effect snow in MA BEFORE the main storm arrives. Has anyone ever seen totals like that from ocean effect snows? Sounds incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 3.2" Snowing very light 25f Cashtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Almost 3" when I measured at 615 and 24 degrees. Snow varies from moderate to light. Wind has varied last I was out it was from the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Just hit 3" or so. But North Andover, Mass., already has 14"! Edit: I wish one day we'd get a CTP snowfall map for the entire region that is remotely close to this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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