Eskimo Joe Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 We are t-minus 24 hours from the first accumulating snowfall of 2014 for a good portion of the area. Looks like it's the SREF/RGEM versus the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Everyone should accumulate, question is how much. Hopefully we can at least get a unanimous moderate event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Good luck all...feeling is we end up with a couple of inches. Hope I have egg on my face though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Good luck all...feeling is we end up with a couple of inches. Hope I have egg on my face though! You hope we don't get anything??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 LOL...no I hope we all get a nice accumulation, though I feel like 2 or 3 is the ceiling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I wish the entire region was shifted NE about 300 miles tomorrow. This is a massive storm that will hammer all of NE and we are on the edge wishing it was us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I wish the entire region was shifted NE about 300 miles tomorrow. This is a massive storm that will hammer all of NE and we are on the edge wishing it was us. It's the same old story, same old song and dance, my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 If only we had good blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Horst now going 2"-5" in Lancaster, more north and east. I can't post the map from my phone but it is on Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 If only we had good blocking.With the extremely cold air mass, could blocking even keep it from escaping eastward? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 It's the same old story, same old song and dance, my friend Well...not really. A few years back it was all south and east of you. It's pretty remarkable how big snows continue to evade east-central PA, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I think 3-6" isn't out of the question. This storm is so close to being a doozy and will be for some. Still sounds like many red taggers think this still has some room to move in either direction. Nut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Horst now going 2"-5" in Lancaster, more north and east. I can't post the map from my phone but it is on Twitter. Wow...so close to 6-12 for my area per his map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Well...not really. A few years back it was all south and east of you. It's pretty remarkable how big snows continue to evade east-central PA, though. You are correct sir. My thinking though, was that in a "traditional" Miller B set-up, we're left looking northeast to the bigger snow totals. A few years back was an incredible anomaly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Horst out with first call... 2" to 5" (Lancaster County) and 3" to 6" most of state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Horst now going 2"-5" in Lancaster, more north and east. I can't post the map from my phone but it is on Twitter. Could you post his twitter handle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 http://t.co/qlEFT64yKZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hearing the Euro is wetter and tucked in closer to the coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hearing the Euro is wetter and tucked in closer to the coast... That's what I am reading from the mid Atlantic forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hearing the Euro is wetter and tucked in closer to the coast... Yes a much better run for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 General .3-.4 qpf for all - with ratios probably 4-6 verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Yes a much better run for us. Thanks Brian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Same thing being discussed in NY forum. Came a little west. SE pa gets half inch back to LNS and almost MDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I guess it is now GFS verses all others, now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Thanks Brian. On my sv maps we are .25 to .5 qpf. Just west of philly is .5 to .75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 .5 line seems to be near and se of I 83. With ratios that could be a 4-8 snow. This still could continue to trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 here's what I am thinking on this mess. I have had to revise things since the 12Z yesterday now that the models are finally settling on a solution, my biggest still unsettled feelings will be for NJ and southeast PA. but upstate NY to New England has been fairly consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 here's what I am thinking on this mess. I have had to revise things since the 12Z yesterday now that the models are finally settling on a solution, my biggest still unsettled feelings will be for NJ and southeast PA. but upstate NY to New England has been fairly consistent. jan2_4_storm_rev2.png Great map. I think based on ensemble data it is best to go conservative for now for SE PA. Let's see if the trends on the Euro hold tonight, and what the 18z runs will do. This is obviously still evolving, so conservative is best to start. Plenty of time to adjust if needed later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 DAT EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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