allgame830 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Mean is 12.54" Wow interesting... I believe you can take blends of the models and go with 6-10 with isolated amounts of more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Based on all the model guidance, including some input from the NAM, my preliminary snowfall ideas for the NYC area are: EWR: 4"-8" GON: 6"-12" HPN: 4"-8" ISP: 6"-10" JFK: 4"-8" LGA: 4"-8" NYC 4"-8" POU: 6"-12" The single caveat is that if there is going to be an error, odds lean toward the error's being the result of a larger snowfall rather than a smaller one given the potential shown in the upper-air maps relative to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabiggiu Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 New NAM has almost the entire area dropping to or below zero by Sat morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Is NAM not picking up precip in Georgia as currently seen? NAM surface shows precip in FL currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The 4km brings .75 up to Monmouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 12Z RPM Snow Totals: 2 runs in a row with NYC in 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The 4km brings .75 up to Monmouth. ptot60.gif If we get .75 plus , its a foot IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 12Z RPM Snow Totals: 2 runs in a row with NYC in 2-3" Wow, this is terrible. I hope this does not verify! Why would this show such low qpf compared to other models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Wow, this is terrible. I hope this does not verify! Why would this show such low qpf compared to other models?It is not the entire storm - think its only to 48.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 Wow, this is terrible. I hope this does not verify! Why would this show such low qpf compared to other models? Wouldn't worry too much...gives Worcester,ma 2-3" as well...doubt that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 If we reach Blizzard criteria , its here and the Following 3 hours at 45 by this time temps will have fallen into the low teens , and winds should b near 25 mph , with this kind of reduced visibility , its possible if these rates verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 It is not the entire storm - think its only to 48.... Up to 48 is 12Z Friday, after the storm leaves. Anyways, Im not going to get hung up on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 If we reach Blizzard criteria , its here and the Following 3 hours at 45 by this time temps will have fallen into the low teens , and winds should b near 25 mph , with this kind of reduced visibility , its possible if these rates verify Think from nassua/suffolk border we can pull off a foot plus paul? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Anyone have the RGEM? Afraid to ask since no one's mentioned it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 RGEM is looking good. 982 just SE of the 40/70. RGEM is actually a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 This is storm total from WSI RPM 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 RGEM is a big hit http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 This is storm total from WSI RPM 12Z Isn't best to use these models tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Wow pretty nice rgem animation run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The RGEM is a likely a MECS for all of us (easily is NE of NYC)...waiting to see precip maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabiggiu Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Well Hello There Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Before anyone asks: 15mm = ~0.59"; 20mm = ~0.79" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Well that keeps it very interesting now doesn't it. Thats a 8-12 inch snow fall area wide.By the way, central and southern jersey do well again here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Really nice with .8+ from Monmouth out across Suffolk with fantastic ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 To be clear, it is still snowing heavily at this hour...accums will be higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 24 light snow NYC east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 60 mph gusts on the RGEM just south of MTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hr 36-39 steady snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Mod snow hr 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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