Johnno Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Wow that's a toaster bath back this way. Ouch. Haha yea just dropped the toaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Pretty much a crush job for eastern areas. Does this include RI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 clearly a better run for eastern MA steeper cutoff further southwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 H7 closes as it crosses the outer cape near PVC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RingLeader Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 New here, sorry-- what's the toaster?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 For the record I think the NAM idea is maybe a leap towards where this is going. RGEM I bet backs down this run from the SNJ to ME blizzard. Nice system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Wow that's a toaster bath back this way. Ouch. God thing Kev doesn't believe in regression to the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Haven't seen much discussion about it so maybe it's a non-issue, but is there any possibility of a long period of snow that doesn't reach the ground due to air being so cold and dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 New here, sorry-- what's the toaster??When a weenie sees a model go into the crapper he/she drops a toaster into their bathtubOr they listen to Sarah McLaughlin in the garage with the engine running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 New here, sorry-- what's the toaster?? haha someone must still have that pic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Phil I'm not willing to go that far yet I was mainly commenting on the fact that there are schools already closed through Monday before the first flake fell. Ridiculous IMO for a storm that may largely produce 6 to 10" or so over many, many hours in some parts of New England. Gotcha... and I agree. It would definitely be worth waiting till 09z or 12z to make the final call, but these days school superintendents would rather CYA than have to worry about a wrong call on the side that leaves kids stuck at school with worried parents unable to get to their kids with impassable roads. Even if the probability is low, the non-zero risk that scenario poses probably is too much to ignore outright. Society today is in quite a different position than it was 20-30 years ago, with most kids being driven to school rather than walking. Society has also become more risk averse in these sort of conditions and don't have enough faith in meteorological predictions of snowfall to make a call one way or the other with enough confidence... so they error on the side of caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 Does this include RI? Maybe eastern ri for a time but nothing like east facing coast areas and the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 When a weenie sees a model go into the crapper he/she drops a toaster into their bathtub Or they listen to Sarah McLaughlin in the garage with the engine running or go in the woodshed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 God thing Kev doesn't believe in regression to the mean.Tolland will have record setting winters every winterI still think you do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The dual evolution is going to have some real jackpotters and some real bendovers. That's what I think, too. This is a sado-masochistic setup. Just depends on what your preference is and where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 or go in the woodshed(Shudders) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 congrats eastern Mass--too bad h7 can't close off sooner for more of us. Road trip! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Really? I normally think they're pretty good but this one seemed way off the mark to me. I was surprised, too... I worked there for a year and they touted their superiority... there is an entire company devoted to forecast verification (Forecastwatch.com) and TWC was consistently at the top (above WU and Weather Central, before they were acquired, lol) - IIRC, NWS was kind of middle of the pack, AccuWx toward the bottom. But that may have changed. The scores are determined based on temperature errors and precipitation observations (yes/no, based on POP, but there likely was more to it than that). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I wasn't endorsing the model in general, I just feel as though in this particular instance, it has a good handle on the mesoscale aspects in e MA. That's it. You agree that the JMA correctly signaled 2/06...has it been your go-to model since? Every dog has its day. Well it is continuing that trend at 00z... To say the least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 New here, sorry-- what's the toaster?? Me once the cf sets up tmw night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Gotcha... and I agree. It would definitely be worth waiting till 09z or 12z to make the final call, but these days school superintendents would rather CYA than have to worry about a wrong call on the side that leaves kids stuck at school with worried parents unable to get to their kids with impassable roads. Even if the probability is low, the non-zero risk that scenario poses probably is too much to ignore outright. Society today is in quite a different position than it was 20-30 years ago, with most kids being driven to school rather than walking. Society has also become more risk averse in these sort of conditions and don't have enough faith in meteorological predictions of snowfall to make a call one way or the other with enough confidence... so they error on the side of caution. Agreed it just bugs me that we've become this way. I mean there are schools that are closed for two days that may not get 8 or 9" over the 2.5 days the schools are closed. Nuts. Far as the models go, I think the NAM evolution is the direction this is headed. Moisture transport west of the eastern 1/2 or 40% of SNE is going to be difficult with the way this system winds up. Over eastern areas it's a crush job. It would snow into Friday evening right along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 New here, sorry-- what's the toaster?? What happens when you drop a plugged in toaster into a bathtub? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 no matter how many times I see that pic its still disturbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 Well it is continuing that trend at 00z... To say the least Can you post the map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 My sick mind can't stop laughing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Living and dying by the WAA precip here and it definitely looks pretty sweet on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Looks like a solid 6-12 for most with higher amounts in the eastern areas. No surprises--I think it's a wrap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 My sick mind can't stop laughing. Everyone in the news room just looked at me when I started to (literally) lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 My sick mind can't stop laughing. You can't wait to see me smoke salty subsidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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