TheSnowman Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Is this detail just GENIUS on taking into account All possible aspects or....... Just Rediculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 Yeah that would have to be one heck of an OES band to get thundersnow. When it happens in the LES areas that's like 6+ per hour and 40dbz. I don't think that's true. A thermal gradient of an ocean in the low 40s with onshore temps of 10 could do the job. And I've been in les thunder with 1-2/hour rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 Is this detail just GENIUS on taking into account All possible aspects or....... Just Rediculous. Why us that map so bad? It looks ok to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Ray, where exactly are you? I'm basically at the intersection of 93/495, off of 133 near Andover CC. I'm guessing a bit NE of you, but was just curious as I generally use your posts as a gauge on what to expect here. I've been lurking for years, and post only on occasion in obs threads. Used to have a different profile when I was living in North Wilmington, but have since moved, although don't think enough to affect my weather. Anyway, happy New Year to you all. Keep up the good work for those of us that like to read your thoughts on these storms. And for the snow lovers, good luck over the next couple of days. I think the folks that are bullish on this one will be rewarded. I am squarely in the middle of routes 495 (north), 93 (east), 128 (south) and route 3 (west). I'm at the western tip of Wilmington, right at the Billerica and Tewksbury lines, respectively. We're going to do very well from round 1 tmw....like 6" imo, but round 2 is going leave us I a subsidence shaft imho....probably only another 2-4" on top of the first 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Is this detail just GENIUS on taking into account All possible aspects or....... Just Rediculous. That's a good map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 That's a good mapOf all the ones we've seen that is hands down the worst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Of all the ones we've seen that is hands down the worst I'm shocked you feel that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 That's a good map Of all the ones we've seen that is hands down the worst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Of all the ones we've seen that is hands down the worst lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Why us that map so bad? It looks ok to me. Looks fine to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Of all the ones we've seen that is hands down the worst It's the KTOL 4-6 screw zone, isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Of all the ones we've seen that is hands down the worst I think it's pretty good. Takes into account ocean enhancement areas, and potential subsistence areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The experimental Near-Blizzard Conditions product based on the top analogs from CIPS. Anyone ever see this before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Undeniable trend on the gefs to push the .75 further east and for the first cycle we lost the 1.25 on a land mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 It's the KTOL 4-6 screw zone, isn't it?Maybe it's ok out east but from RI west it looks like a child took a brush to a paint by numbers coloring book and threw random colors and amounts on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Of all the ones we've seen that is hands down the worst couldn't see that coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 And Cantore's headed backed to Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Some people demand specific numbers on amounts. Maps delineate those specifics. There is nothing wrong with any map I see. And you want to know why- it hasn't happened yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Here comes the cold from the north...MSS in upstate NY already -12/-19F at 6pm. Wonder if they can pick up a couple inches tomorrow under -10F temps. Decent wind chill going too, my daughter just got off the Burlington-Kent ferry and is less than happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Why us that map so bad? It looks ok to me. That's a good map Looks fine to me. I think it's pretty good. Takes into account ocean enhancement areas, and potential subsistence areas 5th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 light snow down here in the valley Ansonia, CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dotb Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I am squarely in the middle of routes 495 (north), 93 (east), 128 (south) and route 3 (west). I'm at the western tip of Wilmington, right at the Billerica and Tewksbury lines, respectively. We're going to do very well from round 1 tmw....like 6" imo, but round 2 is going leave us I a subsidence shaft imho....probably only another 2-4" on top of the first 6". Yup, that makes sense. Puts me just northeast of you. I have no ability to forecast weather, but for the sake of throwing something out there, I think 9-12, 8-12 is a fine call for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Is this detail just GENIUS on taking into account All possible aspects or....... Just Rediculous. Why us that map so bad? It looks ok to me. That actually is pretty good IMHO. Sees the NE then N OES enhancement well and picks up on the CT issues we've seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Arctic jet disturbance over South Central Canada right now, question is does the disturbance phase with the long wave trough? Questions arise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Of all the ones we've seen that is hands down the worst I just spit beef stew all over my keyboard and tears are running down my cheeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Yup, that makes sense. Puts me just northeast of you. I have no ability to forecast weather, but for the sake of throwing something out there, I think 9-12, 8-12 is a fine call for our area. Yea, that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 sry if this has already been posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Flakes flying in Winsted. I need to see some something good, I was in the UK for two weeks that brought over a foot to my house, only to come back to the same weather that they have in London and snowpack cancel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 sry if this has already been posted Also pretty good. The only map I don't care for really is Bouchard. Seems a tad low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I never thought that was going to start a 26 post and repost conversation haha. I want really being sarcastic with the Genius part. We know the will be a screw zone and/or dry slot And there will be specific areas of OES. But I love how Anyone in that snow hole hates this map lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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