Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I think the next 12 hours could be revealing ... watch these convective plumes from the Gulf to off the SE Coast to see if they actually emerge/exist, and start controlling the PP like the NAM below... Because you can see when propagating the NAM forward that these are stressing the whole cyclone seaward and probably taking something away from the low farther W in doing so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patfan1987 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Winter Storm Warnings up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Excellent point. My final call for jackpot: KBEV 15" S Weymouth to Brockton- 15" Someone in s NH will prob see a foot from fronto. 8-12" range mby....gun-to-weenie- 10". Over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Blizzard watches possibly for Cape Cod, MA. i think that's a distinct likelihood if it saves you some time, you don't need to type "MA" after Cape Cod every time since there's only one Cape Cod in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I have a question about deformation banding. Being up here in Central NH we are well away from this storm and looking at the model qpf it obviously decreases as you move NW. Do most all noreasters have a deformation band well away from the center? I don't see any secondary maxs on qpf charts but would think there would be one up here. Any input from a Met is appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 BOX going with 8-14 for MA except 6-10 SW and parts of the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Quick glance--it looks like BOX has 3 warnings up. CT/RI: 6-10 Eastern MA: 8-14 Northern MA: 8-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Ray is certainly correct about his potential to see a relative screwjob to other areas. Boston proper generally cashes in with a situation like this. Our big storms the coastal front usually starts to the south and works up to the north and buries ray in the end. This one is sort of completely reversed with the extremely cold temperatures. I think there will be plenty of the fronto snows for him to sneak his way into anyways. The real punishing stuff might be closer to the coast in the end though and south of Boston I think. Classic eastern mass beach crush job, absolutely pumped. Can go entire years without one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I was getting greedy. 6z NAM even closed off at H5 briefly 18z Friday... continue that trend and I'd be more confident of blizzard conditions in eMA. Tough in this progressive pattern but not impossible. Still a solid storm. Consensus stands for few hours near-blizzard conditions in my hood / Boston metro with 10-14" total. Could bust 2" either way in case leading waves rob more energy and shift baroclinicity further east vs. better digging trough modeled in the next 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 BOX just updated their map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Chicopee and Springfield schools have closed tomorrow and Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Chicopee and Springfield schools have closed tomorrow and Friday.Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 Gfs is pretty nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 RGEM is a thing of beauty, keeps the lull south then it's deform time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Harvey seems bullish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Crazy range on Boston's low temps on Sat night: -5 to 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 The difference between 18z nam and gfs over NYC is astounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Chicopee and Springfield schools have closed tomorrow and Friday. LOL-for an inch of snow tomorrow daytime... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Meh on the GFS - a bit farther east and the QPF queens are going to be upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Gfs is pretty nice! Looks like it's cutting back to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Looks like it's cutting back to me. Yup - certainly did for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Rgem seems to be leading the way! No lull tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 LOL-for an inch of snow tomorrow daytime... Inch over night; 3-5 during the day. A little suprised that the city schools have done so. Won't be if they do here in the sticks. Buses struggle on snow-covered dirt roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 NYC weenies may have some unpleasant surprises if this run is even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Close enough to start giving meso models more weight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 Rgem seems to be leading the way! No lull tomorrow Based on? All other guidance lulls some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 GFS hammering the WAA snows pretty hard so no complaints from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Looks like GFS total qpf is pretty close to the Euro across New England atleast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Based on? All other guidance lulls some.the no lull. I kind of envision a day that snows hard, lets up a bit then snows hard again. One of those deals but not 8 hours of cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 Qpf: BOS to the canal.0.75 Canal east 1.0 Most of the rest is 0.5 Western LI and NYC: <0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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