Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM more amped up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabize Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Nice hit for them. Am I reading the colors wrong? I'm surprised that it has so many areas less than .5"??? Noticed that too - that would be 4-8 or so even into the western BOS suburbs, half of what BOX has for us. What model is this? Edit: BVT4...... I thought that was a Burlington VT TV station, not a model...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Nice hit for them. Am I reading the colors wrong? I'm surprised that it has so many areas less than .5"??? It's solution is more like the 12z NAM and 00z ECM...with a protracted light-moderate snow event with the exception of coastal MA where the easterly fetch over the coastal front causes heavy snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM more amped up? disinterested enough i am not looking. Having the euro come back in the fold....nam is irrelevant for another 12-18 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 disinterested enough i am not looking. Having the euro come back in the fold....nam is irrelevant for another 12-18 hours still fun to watch for any trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 That model never scores well on qpf 's only useful for picking up local mesoscale features Yeah well it's no better or worse than any variety of the meso-scale models. Probably more accurate than all the SREFS plumes that get posted lol. Just another solution, but it's benefit is sniffing out the enhanced areas. I wouldn't read much into actual values but more the larger picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Yeah well it's no better or worse than any variety of the meso-scale models. Probably more accurate than all the SREFS plumes that get posted lol. Just another solution, but it's benefit is sniffing out the enhanced areas. I wouldn't read much into actual values but more the larger picture.Pickles loves that model. Swears by it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 SREFS cut back, but are really shocked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Ray is right, the subsidence is real...but I'm just not sold on a bad screw job like that and the stuff tomorrow has a chance to pile up. I agree 6" is too low, but 8" is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM complete whiff, wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 not liking H5 thru 24h... this is gonna be a flatter solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 SREFS cut back, but are really shocked? So you're not getting 40"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM is a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM complete whiff, wow Looks better than 12Z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM is comical, edit: not a whiff... at least from what I can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 This is quickly becoming a relative non-event outside of E Mass and the Berks on the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM complete whiff, wowDumb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 disinterested enough i am not looking. Having the euro come back in the fold....nam is irrelevant for another 12-18 hours It's funny how we go through like 6-hours of NAM bashing and then folks still line up to wait for its solution. If we are going to hate so hard on it, might as well truly forget it, lol. It's like folks type that they don't care what it shows but it sits there nagging in the back of their head until it shows what the collective is looking for haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 Better vs 12z. Shuts qpf down in ct valley but keeps it going till low gets organized in eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Better vs 12z. Shuts qpf down in ct valley but keeps it going till low gets organized in eastern areas. Yeah...starts getting going after 30hr. Much better for SNE through 36hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 So the 18z NAM is a whiff, but better than 12z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Mr. Whoa is me you are not getting 6". Just being that cold with that amount of QPF and everyone's mama and brother going with a general foot. Don't see it. I could see CT getting the shaft with some slants 3" inflated just to keep up with the going to have's. OES will pad 6+" IMO on he southshore of MA. Scoots looks GOLDEN. In the real world it comes down to how this all meshes together. I agree that 6" is too low, but 8" is entirely within the realm of possibility. I have a question for the doubters: How much do you think I received in PD II and Dec 2003?? How about the October 2011 event? Everyone thought I was overplaying the subsidence in that, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 how is the run a whiff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Better vs 12z. Shuts qpf down in ct valley but keeps it going till low gets organized in eastern areas. yeh, that's what i noticed - fronto is a bit muted, but the s/w buckles a bit more in the lower OV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I agree that 6" is too low, but 8" is entirely within the realm of possibility. I have a question for the doubters: How much do you think I received in PD II and Dec 2003?? How about the October 2011 event? Everyone thought I was overplaying the subsidence in that, too. One of those was 12". 24" just across into Woburn though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 how is the run a whiff?He was joking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 New RPM is showing exactly what ctrain (Ryan?) was discussing. Nothing but flurries for much of tomorrow for the CT River valley and Pioneer Valley. Ray's fears as well are represented Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 nam is taking baby steps for sure, maybe its a whiff for Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I think we're close to a synoptic consensus now...just need to factor in the meso jackpots and subsidence screw jobs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 New RPM is showing exactly what ctrain (Ryan?) was discussing. Nothing but flurries for much of tomorrow for the CT River valley and Pioneer Valley. Ray's fears as well are represented Absolute weenie run for here and south shore. A tiny speck of 8-10 within the Milton town limits haha. 2-4 up by Ray at the same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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