Absolute Humidity Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:02 AM, user13 said: The 4k is insane, I can only wish that it verifies...It also has that weird banding before the coastal Congrats William and Isotherm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:08 AM, +SNfreak21 said: Even if you cut the NAM QPF in half that is still 6"+ I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 06Z RGEM has a 988 mb low near the benchmark at 48 hours, good chance of blizzard conditions in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:11 AM, tmagan said: 06Z RGEM has a 988 mb low near the benchmark at 48 hours, good chance of blizzard conditions in Boston. Anything else that should be mentioned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 3z SREF plumes has 0.70 inch QPF for LGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 6z rgem http://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/animateweb_e.html?imagetype=model_forecast&imagename=06_054_R1_north@america_I_QPFTYPES_t6_....png Shoots the low NNE at the end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 RGEM is big time hit. Not as ridiculous as the NAM but extrapolated, should deliver .75 - 1.00" area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Interesting thing about the 06Z RGEM. The SLP is slightly stronger and the dry slotting isn't as long as the 06Z NAM. http://meteocentre.com/models/get_anim.php?mod=gemreg&run=06&stn=PNMPR&map=na〈=fr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:21 AM, Absolute Humidity said: RGEM is big time hit. Not as ridiculous as the NAM but extrapolated, should deliver .75 - 1.00" area wide. Yea, thats a good sign, I think it did very well with all of our other storms so far this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:21 AM, Absolute Humidity said: RGEM is big time hit. Not as ridiculous as the NAM but extrapolated, should deliver .75 - 1.00" area wide. Yeah. I think the NAM isn't looking that far fetched, but I'll truly believe that when the GFS comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 Slightly more digging @ 18 towards the back side a little more similar to the NAM @ h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:22 AM, IntenseBlizzard2014 said: Yeah. I think the NAM isn't looking that far fetched, but I'll truly believe that when the GFS comes out. With that said, do u believe the Euro and it's ensembles are dead wrong? Just a question. Not trying to pick a fight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I don't know.. Hard to go against the RGEM. Sure, it's not in its killer range but its way better than the NAM at 48. QPF to 48 is about 20mm NYC and it's still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:21 AM, Absolute Humidity said: RGEM is big time hit. Not as ridiculous as the NAM but extrapolated, should deliver .75 - 1.00" area wide.. 6-10 inches Of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:32 AM, Rjay said: With that said, do u believe the Euro and it's ensembles are dead wrong? Just a question. Not trying to pick a fight lol They were at this time before Boxing Day Blizzard but much worse then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The 06Z GFS has the Northern Stream digging more than the 06Z NAM @HR 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:36 AM, Absolute Humidity said: They were at this time before Boxing Day Blizzard but much worse then.Yes but this is a different set up. I am very skeptical of the big solutions until the gfs and/or euro come around to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 H5 is pretty similar through 33, surface looks better though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:34 AM, BrooklynSnow97 said: . 6-10 inches Of snow 20mm is .8" Liquid Equivalent, thats 8" minimum with more to come after 48. Factor in ratios its 12+". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Definitely digger more than the 0z if you compare time steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:39 AM, Absolute Humidity said: 20mm is .8" Liquid Equivalent, thats 8" minimum with more to come after 48. Factor in ratios its 12+". Agreed. I don't have temp maps so couldn't tell. But Yes 8-12 + Verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 It's not tilting like the 06Z NAM, but it is sharper than the 00Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 Slightly less digging but higher heights up this way, surface is deff much better, the surface low is consolidated and closer, should be much wetter than 0z. @ 51 - It is finally catching up to the H5 improvements - lol the NAM might actually pull this off.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 You're at 33hrs and I'm comparing hr 18 on the 6z and hr 24 on the 0z ...just to be clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 Still mod snow @ 54 - I really want to see the GEFS, with the consolidated low they should be even wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 06Z GFS: 6"+ of snow for NE NJ/NYC/Northern LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 We have been saying this for days that H5 will eventually reflect to surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:39 AM, user13 said: H5 is pretty similar through 33, surface looks better though. You're right. At the next time step they look very similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 On 1/1/2014 at 9:46 AM, IntenseBlizzard2014 said: 06Z GFS: 6"+ of snow for NE NJ/NYC/Northern LI. Great 6z Suite So far From The RGEM, NAM, and GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 To be honest I haven't even looked at the surface yet. Liking what I hear though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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