jburns Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I just wish I could trust those Euro ensembles. They feel the same way about you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 About to jump on the horn with ENC's Chief Met, will report our findings as he has access to more tools than I do... Awesome! Don't let him give you the wide right business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Where do you play? And this would be so much easier if we lived somewhere that we knew it never snowed. Anywhere there's a ball and a rim baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Winter cancel. Next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Awesome! Don't let him give you the wide right business. Not quite go for main engine start up, countdown will likely begin Monday 0z runs, MHX already has 30 pops in the grids all SN Tuesday night and Wednesday. This could be good, even if it trends towards closer which I think it will, maybe a chance at seeing a big one, chase potential is currently at Snowmcon Alpo 2, heightened alert for 18" inside day 5, boss man has the heads up I could be taking PTO next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Criteria for a chase 18" hatch for a chance, 24 is what I am really after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Criteria for a chase 18" hatch for a chance, 24 is what I am really after Hoping we don't have to go anywhere for 18 but I know thats wishful thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I took a few shots at it as it ran by, but that sucker was fast. :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Criteria for a chase 18" hatch for a chance, 24 is what I am really after My criteria for a chase to the Outer Banks is less snow than that. There will be some awesome photos there for the taking with a 6"+ snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The last storm we had there was lightning here,... hopefully that old wive's tale works out here at the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Not quite go for main engine start up, countdown will likely begin Monday 0z runs, MHX already has 30 pops in the grids all SN Tuesday night and Wednesday. This could be good, even if it trends towards closer which I think it will, maybe a chance at seeing a big one, chase potential is currently at Snowmcon Alpo 2, heightened alert for 18" inside day 5, boss man has the heads up I could be taking PTO next week. Awesome! It's going to be a fun few days....already started actually. I have a feeling that you may not have to go too far for a chase though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Awesome! Don't let him give you the wide right business. General consensus and I agree, most if not all of the bigger snows we have seem since 80 preceded this type of airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Not quite go for main engine start up, countdown will likely begin Monday 0z runs, MHX already has 30 pops in the grids all SN Tuesday night and Wednesday. This could be good, even if it trends towards closer which I think it will, maybe a chance at seeing a big one, chase potential is currently at Snowmcon Alpo 2, heightened alert for 18" inside day 5, boss man has the heads up I could be taking PTO next week. Just curious. Do you know Chris Collins? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Just curious. Do you know Chris Collins? No, but I know JBurms, miss him too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 No, but I know JBurms, miss him too. lol Here's a link to Chris' site. If something is going on weather wise in ENC there's lots of info here. http://moreheadcityweather.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I just wish I could trust those Euro ensembles. You're playing russian roulette. One gun is on the left, recently it was empty (0% chance of dying), but the last few times you've checked it, it's been fully loaded. On the right there is a table of 50 guns. 40 of them you know are empty (that's 80%), the other 20 have half of the bullets the single gun on the left does (let's assume 3 bullets). From which side would you rather trust picking up a gun from and playing russian roulette? Spoiler: The left gun is the Op Euro, the right are the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Counting this year we will be 7 out of 10 years under 2", we have never had that type of stretch, ever, in 130 years, even in the crappy 90's. We should (I hope) get back to where we get 8 out of 10 years with over 2", where we get 3 to 4 10" seasonal snowfalls every 10 years, and then we will look back and recall how bad this stretch has been for us. I think we are the only area (RDU) that hasn't had a 1" snowfall since the boxing day snowstorm, over 3 years, in fact I know we are. That's why part of me will kind of sit back and laugh if we continue the snow drought this season. Umm, you can add Hickory to that list of over three years since a one-inch snowfall. I know it says 1 inch in my signature line, but that was a stretched inch. Actually, we got 3 inches around January 10-11, 2011, but that was only two weeks after the Christmas Day storm. It's now been over three years for us, as well. Plus, in Raleigh, you've at least seen snow fall from the sky from a couple of different clippers this winter. That's yet to happen in Hickory this year. So, as much as you might imagine it, the weather doesn't just hate the Raleigh area. You don't own a monopoly on the lack of snow. There's no point in really complaining about it, either. It's not like you, Brick, Widre, or anyone else can actively do anything to change it. So, let's all put on our big-boy pants, hope for the best, and take it like men when it doesn't go our way weather-wise. I want snow just as much as the next guy, but whining about it just gets tiresome and no one wants to read it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Had to change the avatar. Perhaps Milhouse jumping for joy will have everything 'turning up Milhouse'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Counting this year we will be 7 out of 10 years under 2", we have never had that type of stretch, ever, in 130 years, even in the crappy 90's. We should (I hope) get back to where we get 8 out of 10 years with over 2", where we get 3 to 4 10" seasonal snowfalls every 10 years, and then we will look back and recall how bad this stretch has been for us. I think we are the only area (RDU) that hasn't had a 1" snowfall since the boxing day snowstorm, over 3 years, in fact I know we are. That's why part of me will kind of sit back and laugh if we continue the snow drought this season. I'm amazed at the lack of snow we get here now. I grew up in Cary and every year it seemed we got at least one good snowstorm. I'm hoping things start to change soon. Come to think of it, things started to change 11 years ago when I started on weather boards. That might have something to do with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Had to change the avatar. Perhaps Milhouse jumping for joy will have everything 'turning up Milhouse'. You've had that other avatar for so long it's going to be hard to get used to the change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Congrats Florida today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 desperation has struck with posters now talking seriously about the 84hr nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 desperation has struck with posters now talking seriously about the 84hr nam. I'm sure if it was showing a possible blizzard for CHS you would be totally silent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Congrats Florida today. You going to be up late? Give it a couple hours and go chase. I see some organization on radar and 30-35 db radar returns south of Albany. Watch the radar to see if it fills in more and chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I'm sure if it was showing a possible blizzard for CHS you would be totally silent. actually yes i would, because it is the 84 hr nam.... i know you want a phase and the precip to come west to charlotte but come on man, talking about the nam and dgex is a waste of time, they have nearly ZERO value. i am not wishcasting, i can head back inland if/when it snows. i am just being realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 actually yes i would, because it is the 84 hr nam.... i know you want a phase and the precip to come west to charlotte but come on man, talking about the nam and dgex is a waste of time, they have nearly ZERO value. Did you read any of my posts on the NAM? Saying it has zero value is a little dramatic don't you think? I really strongly doubt you would say nothing if it was pointing to a huge hit to your backyard. Trust me though I remember it during the Christmas miracle showing 3 inches of QPF for MBY only to end being .35 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 There are currently 30 pages in the storm thread. I'm going to bed. When I get up in the morning, I will know if the overnight runs were decent if there are at least 35 pages. Let's do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I also find it funny that the NAM is so worthless red taggers who are not even in this region are chiming in. Again will it happen exactly as it has it? Probably not but if you want to get into statistics CHS will probably get nothing but a cold rain. I don't hope that but you aren't exactly looking at so realistically either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Did you read any of my posts on the NAM? Saying it has zero value is a little dramatic don't you think? I really strongly doubt you would say nothing if it was pointing to a huge hit to your backyard. Trust me though I remember it during the Christmas miracle showing 3 inches of QPF for MBY only to end being .35 or so. not trying to be overly combative in my posts, i love your posts and respect your input to the board. i was just pointing out that in other circumstances the 84hr nam wouldnt be given the time of day, but because it is showing a chance at a more western solution we have 2 pages worth if disco on it in the main thread. sorry if i came off as a dick, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Best of luck to the southeast crew- I am hoping that you get a region wide massive snowstorm. You guys deserve it. I am rooting for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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