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January Banter


Isopycnic

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the joys of growing. I'm not sure which is more annoying.those who think there is a trend in one direction or the other when non exist or those who will deny a trend because it will mean less for them.

 

What drives me really crazy though are these people who will ask a question that they can so damn easily answer themselves just by reading the thread and using just a tiny bit of common sense. But no, they have no desire to learn themselves or take the time to read..they would rather have someone explain it to them personally..after it's been explained already a dozen times. :gun_bandana:

 

 

It's really annoying!!!  I can't count how many times I have shook my head while reading some posts in the storm thread.

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PGV appears to have broken the record low max for Jan 24th, made it up to 27 at the airport, prev record was 28 set back in 1936.  Still some patches of SN on the ground, neighbors roofs, etc.  Sheltered areas still have a good bit of coverage, neighbor whose yard is sheltered by big pines is probably 80% coverage still.

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I thought of that too. Maybe jburns can post the list.

Is this the post you're referring too?

Since this weekends possible storm is the first real threat of this depressing winter I thought I would review the usual chain of events that will occur in the storm thread.

1. Storm first appears X days out. Mass excitement reigns.

2. Models that do not agree are outliers.

3. A model that shows a good hit can not, by definition, be an outlier.

4. The words, "tomorrow we will know" will be posted multiple times every day until 24 hours before storm onset.

5. The words, "storm dynamics will generate it's own cold air" means we are screwed but would never admit it.

6. A run with no model showing the storm or a flip flop away from a storm will be followed by the words, "the models still don't have a good handle on this event." This will be followed by the words in number 4.

7. Analogs will be posted and previous events mentioned, that have no relationship to the current storm. Examples, March 1960, 1993.

8. As zero hour approaches someone will post, "it's a matter of nowcasting now". This means that despite 7 days and nights of model watching, loss of sleep, loss of productivity on our jobs and alienating our families we still won't know what is going to happen until it happens.

9. Many posts will appear that start with, "I can't understand why it is not......" Others will contain cuss words combined with the term "dry slot".

10. Someone will post that the 360 hour GFS looks interesting and send us all back to number 1.

ADDENDUM: Brick will be happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad, happy, sad.

And that is just the first 24 hours.

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It wont be back. I'm still standing by my call that most places east of the mountains only get trace amounts of winter weather this year. Only exception is east of I-95 in NC.

What is this "call" based on? Pretty bold...I presume you have a well established and documented reason.

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It wont be back. I'm still standing by my call that most places east of the mountains only get trace amounts of winter weather this year. Only exception is east of I-95 in NC.

You're in for a rude awakening.

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It wont be back. I'm still standing by my call that most places east of the mountains only get trace amounts of winter weather this year. Only exception is east of I-95 in NC.

What is this "call" based on? Pretty bold...I presume you have a well established and documented reason.

Before today he said the same thing except now he adds the "east of 95" exception, which is hilarious.

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I may have lost RDU and GSO, but I still have been right for much of the south piedmont and foothills of NC and almost all of SC and GA outside of the mountains. And the GFS turns the area too warm for winter precip after Next Thursday.

 

So your real call is CLT south no winter?  Thats a lot different than your original call.  Next week will it be Atlanta & south, no winter, mark it down?

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