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January Banter


Isopycnic

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Today was the worst I've seen them all look at the same time, not that it will turn out to be right or even matter all that much....we'll see.

The Euro ENS did look a smidge better days 11-15, you see a -AO trying to develop, hopefully in the next few days we can see that trend better.

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That's hilarious! There's some old saying Burns would probably know: good fences make good neighbors! Our neighborhood is the same way. Makes you want to get about 10 acres and isolate yourself from neighborhood drama!

 

It's not a saying, but a line from an early poem by Robert Frost.

 

Mending Wall

 

Something there is that doesn’t love a wall,

That sends the frozen-ground-swell under it

And spills the upper boulders in the sun,

And makes gaps even two can pass abreast.

The work of hunters is another thing:  

I have come after them and made repair

Where they have left not one stone on a stone,

But they would have the rabbit out of hiding,

To please the yelping dogs. The gaps I mean,

No one has seen them made or heard them made,

But at spring mending-time we find them there.

I let my neighbor know beyond the hill;

And on a day we meet to walk the line

And set the wall between us once again.

We keep the wall between us as we go.

To each the boulders that have fallen to each.

And some are loaves and some so nearly balls

We have to use a spell to make them balance:

“Stay where you are until our backs are turned!”

We wear our fingers rough with handling them.  

Oh, just another kind of outdoor game,

One on a side. It comes to little more:

There where it is we do not need the wall:

He is all pine and I am apple orchard.

My apple trees will never get across  

And eat the cones under his pines, I tell him.

He only says, “Good fences make good neighbors.”

Spring is the mischief in me, and I wonder

If I could put a notion in his head:

Why do they make good neighbors? Isn’t it

Where there are cows? But here there are no cows.

Before I built a wall I’d ask to know

What I was walling in or walling out,

And to whom I was like to give offense.

Something there is that doesn’t love a wall,

That wants it down.” I could say “Elves” to him,

But it’s not elves exactly, and I’d rather

He said it for himself. I see him there,

Bringing a stone grasped firmly by the top 

In each hand, like an old-stone savage armed.

He moves in darkness as it seems to me,

Not of woods only and the shade of trees.

He will not go behind his father’s saying,

And he likes having thought of it so well

He says again, “Good fences make good neighbors.”

 

 

 

By the way.  Have you looked at the header of the February Discussion thread you started?  I'm tired of waiting for you to find it on  your own.  After midnight it will be too late.

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We look at a weighted blend of the ensemble mean contours and adjust the weighting between the models based on a scoring matrix that gives preference to which specific model has a better handle on the pattern at any given point in time.

When an event is imminent or in progress, the judgement of NWS GSP and RNK is highly valued and respected as they have superb skills in locals guidance on winter events in Western North Carolina. You better have a sound reason to go against their guidance.

And yes, general paid source guidance from other pros such as WxSouth, Wright Weather, Weatherbell, and Accuweather is also considered in formulating an action plan. Non paid sources such as WxBrad, Time Warner Cable Mets, Rays Weather and RaleighWx among others are also taken into consideration. Wish-casting is not a part of the process.

When business decisions have to be made that impact the reliability of customer service and have a direct impact on the bottom line, it pays to do your homework.

 

 

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