WxBlue Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Thinking about chasing this storm. Looking for some advice on best place. To be based on current models? Looks like somewhere from Fayetteville to Rocky Mount or maybe just east of those locations. I would at least start in Smithfield, NC or Wilson, NC if I'm you. Basically two best spots to go east or west if anything change. Right now, it does look like areas to east or northeast of these two cities are the best locations for most snow but it that could shift toward Raleigh area just as easy. EDIT: Now that I think of it, Wilson might be better option than Smithfield thanks to US 264. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Thinking about chasing this storm. Looking for some advice on best place. To be based on current models? Looks like somewhere from Fayetteville to Rocky Mount or maybe just east of those locations. Greenville has plenty of hotels due to ECU etc, between all the call maps I have seen we look to be 8" on the low end 14" on the high end of the predictions all models have us at or above 1" QPF so we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Still no mention of thunder snow in the main thread. There is still hope for us as a human race. Small, but still hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 WWA for me , yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 RAH took away my 20% snow chance for tomorrow. That's pitiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 looks like us Piedmont folks are screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Need another 50 miles NW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I guess they were in the middle of updating it. Now it says 40%. Yay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The NW "trend" (if there ever were such a thing, considering one run would jump NW and the next run would jump back SE; that's not a trend to me) is over. If you're not in the QPF as of the 18z NAM, your fun is over. EDIT: this is for folks in the mountains/foothills of NC/VA on the NW fringe of the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I hate to ask but I'm basically on 17 and 264...are we expecting mostly snow or ice? Greenville always seems to get it better than us here in Washington. This has to stop in the main thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Thinking about chasing this storm. Looking for some advice on best place. To be based on current models? Looks like somewhere from Fayetteville to Rocky Mount or maybe just east of those locations. see weathernc's post in the storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The NW "trend" (if there ever were such a thing, considering one run would jump NW and the next run would jump back SE; that's not a trend to me) is over. If you're not in the QPF as of the 18z NAM, your fun is over. It's not over until the fat lady sings... We didn't give up when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor; we're not giving up based on 973 model runs showing no qpf... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 This has to stop in the main thread. This.....among other things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 This has to stop in the main thread. And now I see some sneaking in to the OBS thread to get in their imby questions, one-liners, or tell everyone what their point and click forecast calls for. I bet the mods have the BAN HAMMER ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Praying for NO SNOW in Charlotte...sorry folks. I have a flight out at 7:30am Wednesday and if it gets cancelled due to snow ill be so freaking ticked off....hope everyone east gets hammered, just not CLT. I think I'm going to get the sled out of storage....that should do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 RAH took away my 20% snow chance for tomorrow. That's pitiful. Looks like a 40% chance of snow for our point-and-clock to me. Anyways, the NAM disappoints. Toss it. It sucks. [/weenie talk] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 NAM underdoing the precip that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 And now I see some sneaking in to the OBS thread to get in their imby questions, one-liners, or tell everyone what their point and click forecast calls for. I bet the mods have the BAN HAMMER ready! Hope so. If people would just read more and type less they would see their questions are being answered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The NW "trend" (if there ever were such a thing, considering one run would jump NW and the next run would jump back SE; that's not a trend to me) is over. If you're not in the QPF as of the 18z NAM, your fun is over. EDIT: this is for folks in the mountains/foothills of NC/VA on the NW fringe of the precip Considering where the models initially had this storm system, there had to be a NW trend somewhere along the way.... Also, Why is the 18Z NAM the end all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Considering where the models initially had this storm system, there had to be a NW trend somewhere along the way.... Also, Why is the 18Z NAM the end all? because the event is less than 24hrs from starting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 because the event is less than 24hrs from starting? The storm was less than 30 hours out when the NAM put up a different solution on the 12z. The storm will be less than 18 hours out when the 00z puts out a different solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I guess there will not be a model consensus before the storm. It seems that they are all over the place. Most are picking up on the overrunning moisture streaming into the west earlier tomorrow, which is new. Many trended west and wetter, some have flipped back and forth with pretty wild swings imo. The western edge is anyone's guess. Looks like a safe bet would be that the one inch line will be one county to the east and south. I have a feeling that may not be right, but who knows! Frustrating because I thought all of the models would fall in line much better than this after yesterday's GFS and SREFs that backed it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 This.....among other things How much snow are you expecting? I'm under a WSW now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I guess there will not be a model consensus before the storm. It seems that they are all over the place. Most are picking up on the overrunning moisture streaming into the west earlier tomorrow, which is new. Many trended west and wetter, some have flipped back and forth with pretty wild swings imo. The western edge is anyone's guess. Looks like a safe bet would be that the one inch line will be one county to the east and south. I have a feeling that may not be right, but who knows! Frustrating because I thought all of the models would fall in line much better than this after yesterday's GFS and SREFs that backed it up. Never happens. We are now beginning step 8 on my chain of storm events. 8. As zero hour approaches someone will post, "it's a matter of nowcasting now". This means that despite 7 days and nights of model watching, loss of sleep, loss of productivity on our jobs and alienating our families we still won't know what is going to happen until it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The storm was less than 30 hours out when the NAM put up a different solution on the 12z. The storm will be less than 18 hours out when the 00z puts out a different solution. Couldn't have said it any better. This storm is one of trickiest I ever remember(I'm young) but it's changed rapidly and often. It's still gonna change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 How much snow are you expecting? I'm under a WSW now. Me too NWS says 2-4, local mets saying 5, Allen says 3-5, jb says 6-10. I told the family yesterday that it looked like 4-6 Honestly....as long as I can measure it....I'm happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 How much snow are you expecting? I'm under a WSW now. You can't ask about others backyards either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Never happens. We are now beginning step 8 on my chain of storm events. 8. As zero hour approaches someone will post, "it's a matter of nowcasting now". This means that despite 7 days and nights of model watching, loss of sleep, loss of productivity on our jobs and alienating our families we still won't know what is going to happen until it happens. It will be a matter nowcasting soon....or looking at the radar...or...better yet out the window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Couldn't have said it any better. This storm is one of trickiest I ever remember(I'm young) but it's changed rapidly and often. It's still gonna change. This one still sticks in my mind. Being under a WSW for heavy snow and getting a trace leaves a mark. http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20050228/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Couldn't have said it any better. This storm is one of trickiest I ever remember(I'm young) but it's changed rapidly and often. It's still gonna change. Other than Christmas 2010, this storm has to rank up there for most difficult to predict. Just hoping it will show some love to those of us in the northern burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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