strongwxnc Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Folks in upstate SC, CLT and RDU should not rule out something bigger coming down the pike. We gotta see where we're at tomorrow morning but I'm feeling really confident about where this is going. It won't take much. Let's see what the GFS says. Just waiting and watching burger. 48 hrs is drawing close my friend Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 IF temps cooperate this will be a once in a lifetime storm, the qpf totals the models are spitting out are just insane. heaviest snow in chs was back in 89 with 7" and back in jan 1800 with 7".Yes. The NAM has been leading the way so far, so maybe the GFS and others trend towards the NAM with temperatures. The Euro is cold, just doesn't have that much precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaffneyPeach Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Just waiting and watching burger. 48 hrs is drawing close my friend ;)Sent from my iPhone Happy for my peeps to the S and hoping beyond reason for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Just waiting and watching burger. 48 hrs is drawing close my friend ;)Sent from my iPhone Happy for my peeps to the S and hoping beyond reason for mby. No doubt peach!!! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigdog_10_2002 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Gonna be a fun storm for our coastal friends. Us west of 95 will likely be sitting on the outside looking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 NAM is good for us. It's that dang GFS and them SREF that's showing them warm surface temps. On the GFS I'm on the 33/32 line almost all day on Wednesday.Come on up this way! We are trending torwards an inch or two and I have two bathrooms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'll be in church from about 9:30 to 12:15 and will be offline during that time. So when I get back on, if the page count has increased by more than 7 from what it is at 9:30, I'll know things look good. Less than 3 would indicate unfavorable trends. Page count increased by 6. Decent run for the Americans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Based on current models, what is the chance of GSP receiving 2 inches of snow? All this model craziness is confusing and I don't want to clog up the main thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Page count increased by 6. Decent run for the Americans.. Did you pray for a NW trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Come on up this way! We are trending torwards an inch or two and I have two bathrooms! Ratio?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Ratio??BR ratio based on 60 people like yesterday = 30:2Snow ratio should be fluffy, 15:1? Temps in 20s, just don't know if it gets up here! Crush job would be sweet, but 1-3 inches with non- marginal temps would be pure joy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 BR ratio based on 60 people like yesterday = 30:2 Snow ratio should be fluffy, 15:1? Temps in 20s, just don't know if it gets up here! Crush job would be sweet, but 1-3 inches with non- marginal temps would be pure joy! I'm hoping for that, too. Sure, I'd love more, but to see snow fall in non-marginal temperatures for the first time in years would be fun. I think you and I are going to be on the outside looking in, unfortunately, but you never know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS was alone before not showing anything and people were saying they wish it looked like the other models. Now it comes west and wetter and people don't want to believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Here comes the Euro. I am so confused with the "Southern energy is stronger and a tad west", "northern energy is east". I can usually tell what's going on in the pbp, but this time I can't tell if these statements are good or bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Here comes the Euro. I am so confused with the "Southern energy is stronger and a tad west", "northern energy is east". I can usually tell what's going on in the pbp, but this time I can't tell if these statements are good or bad!Agree ! With all these pbps, it would be nice to have a little more info like: northern stream a tick west, looks good or not what we want? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 temps on the euro look good, would it be all snow for chs and coastal areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 One more thing to point out, with the cold temps around for a few days, a 2-4 incher should stick around til Friday or so, not that melt the same/next day crap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaffneyPeach Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Agree ! With all these pbps, it would be nice to have a little more info like: northern stream a tick west, looks good or not what we want?They're good for us, Mack. Always consider the poster's location. I would cite my source but there are so many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 BR ratio based on 60 people like yesterday = 30:2 Snow ratio should be fluffy, 15:1? Temps in 20s, just don't know if it gets up here! Crush job would be sweet, but 1-3 inches with non- marginal temps would be pure joy! Lolxz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Here comes the Euro. I am so confused with the "Southern energy is stronger and a tad west", "northern energy is east". I can usually tell what's going on in the pbp, but this time I can't tell if these statements are good or bad! You want the Northern energy more west and the southern energy/Baja low more east so the northern energy can pick up the Baja low and phase, that would bring much more moisture/snow up through inland areas. So as long as you know which one needs to trend which way, you're good. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 You want the Northern energy more west and the southern energy/Baja low more east so the northern energy can pick up the Baja low and phase, that would bring much more moisture/snow up through inland areas. So as long as you know which one needs to trend which way, you're good. lol Much appreciated, Jon! I knew that the inland folks want a phase to ramp up the precip further North and West. If the Euro is holding back the Baha low and showing it's bias, then the metro Charlotte and Raleigh could be in for a major event. It's funny being on the NW side of a track for a change. I keep thinking that we will see more NW precip shield than what is modeled now. I have been burned too many times with that shift in the past. I know that this is a different setup and it may not work out, but I still don't want to be in the Bullseye 60+ hours from an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 . Did you pray for a NW trend? Haha! Apparently not well enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Another crappy Euro run. We're starting to get into the time frame where it's going to be asking a lot for major jumps. We're running out of time for baby steps in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 My gut tells me the coast is going to get screwed. I think atlanta does well and places between Atlanta and Macon are going to be digging out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 My gut tells me the coast is going to get screwed. I think atlanta does well and places between Atlanta and Macon are going to be digging out. lol, has nothing to do with you being located near atlanta im sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 My gut tells me the coast is going to get screwed. I think atlanta does well and places between Atlanta and Macon are going to be digging out. I agree. I really think people should avoid getting stuck on what the Euro is doing with that southern energy. For me personally I just need to stop trending so far south. If it can just stay 50 miles north of progged it's a big time hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 lol, has nothing to do with you being located near atlanta im sure. I like to play the climo odds. A coastal dumping would be a rare event. The less crazy scenario is areas farther inland getting plastered. If I were within 50 miles of the coast I'd be sweating. I also think more moisture gets thrown north and the eventual track is slightly warmer and north. Yes, it is wish casting which is why it's here but don't think it can't happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Another crappy Euro run. We're starting to get into the time frame where it's going to be asking a lot for major jumps. We're running out of time for baby steps in the right direction. So you don't like the NAM and GFS now, or all the ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 So you don't like the NAM and GFS now, or all the ensembles? Yeah, they're fine, but I like broad support more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Everyone ready for a beach trip... get your sleds ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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