calculus1 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Hey, Packbacker! Here you can see that WxSouth backs up the fact that the biggest snow drought is in the immediate lee of the mountains. He just posted this in the comments section of a recent post on Facebook: If you draw a line from around Lynchburg down to the foothills of NC, western SC and northeast GA...yes, that area has been in a major snow drought into the southern piedmont of NC as well.The way the storms have all occurred with major downsloping to them right around Asheville, Hendersonville and extreme western SC those areas are probably the furthest removed from their actual snow averages than any place in the East or South over the last 3years. A few communities on the southeast side of the lee of the Southern Apps literally have gone 3 years now with no flakes whatsoever, which is pretty incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Hey, Packbacker! Here you can see that WxSouth backs up the fact that the biggest snow drought is in the immediate lee of the mountains. He just posted this in the comments section of a recent post on Facebook: Hey that was a reply to my post lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Never seen the Banter thread with this many pages lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Hey that was a reply to my post lol Nice!! Deja vu all over again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 63 hours light snow is starting to fall across central GA and the coast of SC and NC as well as LA and TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 75 hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 The next person that asks "how much for my backyard" in the discussion thread isn't gonna like me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 The next person that asks "how much for my backyard" in the discussion thread isn't gonna like me I'm seriously considering handing out warnings. We let them know right now and if they miss the warning, oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I predict the GFS will be one of the biggest fails in the history of fails in a few minutes. Get ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 oh and as far as the nam goes. what would make the nam especially painful for the northern part of ga/western carolinas is the virga storm the nam gives us. It wouldn't be enough central and south ga/florida gets slammed..no we have to have a massive virga storm to boot to really piss in our face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Everybody always says how bad the LR Nam is. If that's the case, then south GA, FL, and the coastal Carolinas are no more likely to get snow than interior sections were at 12z. So at least there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm afraid that the foothills and piedmont will miss this. This will play out like 1989, just a little further north and west. Then the pattern flips to warm and wet leaving the ATL, AHN, GSP, CLT, and HKY areas to wait until next winter for any winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm seriously considering handing out warnings. We let them know right now and if they miss the warning, oh well. indeed oh and as far as the nam goes. what would make the nam especially painful for the northern part of ga/western carolinas is the virga storm the nam gives us. It wouldn't be enough central and south ga/florida gets slammed..no we have to have a massive virga storm to boot to really piss in our face. I have to laugh with you there Lookout.....from the looks of it I'm right in the middle of that same storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Everybody always says how bad the LR Nam is. If that's the case, then south GA, FL, and the coastal Carolinas are no more likely to get snow than interior sections were at 12z. So at least there's that. Amen brother. Let the trend continue! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Everybody always says how bad the LR Nam is. If that's the case, then south GA, FL, and the coastal Carolinas are no more likely to get snow than interior sections were at 12z. So at least there's that. Lol the NAM is terrible. Really? over an inch of ice at 84 hours and the precipitation is still strengthening at 84 and no where near done with >30DBZ returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Lol the NAM is terrible. Really? over an inch of ice at 84 hours and the precipitation is still strengthening at 84 and no where near done. The sounding Candyman posted was not for the faint of heart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Tonight's 0Z runs will start to tell the tell... I think coastal areas will be great and NC/SC piedmont = Damn metal... you might need to trim/cut some trees down soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm afraid that the foothills and piedmont will miss this. This will play out like 1989, just a little further north and west. Then the pattern flips to warm and wet leaving the ATL, AHN, GSP, CLT, and HKY areas to wait until next winter for any winter weather. Are you just afraid it'll all work out that way, or is there a meteorological reason for feeling things will work out that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Looks like a 1989 redux to me... some of the top analogs (if not the top) for this storm was 1989... also my area hasn't seen this many below freezing highs since 1989. I don't have any fancy explanation or maps, just a viewer with an opinion I'd like to see everyone on this board get slammed with as much snow as they want, but not going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 oh and as far as the nam goes. what would make the nam especially painful for the northern part of ga/western carolinas is the virga storm the nam gives us. It wouldn't be enough central and south ga/florida gets slammed..no we have to have a massive virga storm to boot to really piss in our face.Agree! If we sit up here all day with cloudy and 25 degrees, while metalman and NFL get buried in snow, will definitely be salt in the wound! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Agree! If we sit up here all day with cloudy and 25 degrees, while metalman and NFL get buried in snow, will definitely be salt in the wound! Doesn't that signal the end of times or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Are you just afraid it'll all work out that way, or is there a meteorological reason for feeling things will work out that way? The models are already showing the flip beginning this weekend to a much warmer and wetter pattern. Also if this event happens this way the analog would certainly fit 1989-1990 except that it occurs in Jan instead of Dec. After that flip back then, winter was over outside of the mountains except for one last cold snap that lasted for 2-3. And not even a small threat of winter weather after the big coastal storm either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 hoping the gfs brings that precip over the coast, has been oh so close the past 4 runs or so. nam looks great for chs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 The sounding Candyman posted was not for the faint of heart Ha! Clearly would be the end of Waycross. A quarter of an inch would be devastating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 pbp giving me heart palpitations in the main thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 This is probably the storm dsaur has been telling me I would get since the beginning of the winter. Lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 The models are already showing the flip beginning this weekend to a much warmer and wetter pattern. Also if this event happens this way the analog would certainly fit 1989-1990 except that it occurs in Jan instead of Dec. After that flip back then, winter was over outside of the mountains except for one last cold snap that lasted for 2-3. And not even a small threat of winter weather after the big coastal storm either.did you see the euro ensembles today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 The sounding Candyman posted was not for the faint of heart You're telling me! I saw that and about fell out of my chair. Which is bound to happen since it has wheels and I'm in sandals in the weather center. haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Well if I still don't get anything out of this, it's still better seeing the south get snow rather than DC/NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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