pcbjr Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 When can we go into storm mode How's about some of your thoughts on that in the storm thread, and also on the long range in the pattern thread as well. Most appreciated, Jon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I just can't believe the goofus that goes all over the place might end up being the one that was right all along. And it has been that way all winter when the other models were showing storms. It looks completely wacky sometimes but in the end turns out to be right and the others cave to it. What the heck is wrong with the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I see a lot of negative post in the storm thread.. has nc been kicked out all together? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I see a lot of negative post in the storm thread.. has nc been kicked out all together? not looking good for western nc atm. coast still is in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I see a lot of negative post realism in the storm thread.. has nc been kicked out all together? Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 not looking good for western nc atm. coast still is in the game. Thanks been at work and it looks like chaos broke out in the storm thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Thanks been at work and it looks like chaos broke out in the storm thread... remember, majority of the posters are in central/western nc, what they want will screw us on the coast temp wise, but we still need some help in the next few days in regards to the precip trending slightly west since the latest model runs have the majority of the precip offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 These model runs are certainly backing my call for little or no winter weather for much of the area. They go from cold and dry to warm and wet. Going to be hard for the CLT and GSP metros to even see a single flake from now until next Nov or Dec. Worthless call. You keep leaving that part out. 2/10...your trolling efforts need improvement. It's cool. People like this who NEED some sort of affirmation eventually get themselves "bobbited" at some point. ***EDITED*** "bobbited" in the Urban Dictionary sense of the word not intentionally implied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fury88 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Apparently my post was deleted out of the upcoming "storm" thread. Partly my fault but I didn't think it was necessary to remove. Anyway, I just made a comment about how gone are the days of one big storm a year in the Triangle. It wasn't a complaint but more a statement about how I remember from '78-83 there was at least one 6" inch storm or more roughly every year. I'm from NY but spent 5 yrs as a kid down in Raleigh when my Dad took a different position. I remember vividly a lot of snow during that time. I live in Raleigh with my own family now for the past 7 years and it seems like a world of difference in the winter weather pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Just gotta wait a few more hours but it's a coming!!! I'll take that in a heartbeat. As cold as it will be the ratio shoud be good as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Apparently my post was deleted out of the upcoming "storm" thread. Partly my fault but I didn't think it was necessary to remove. Anyway, I just made a comment about how gone are the days of one big storm a year in the Triangle. It wasn't a complaint but more a statement about how I remember from '78-83 there was at least one 6" inch storm or more roughly every year. I'm from NY but spent 5 yrs as a kid down in Raleigh when my Dad took a different position. I remember vividly a lot of snow during that time. I live in Raleigh with my own family now for the past 7 years and it seems like a world of difference in the winter weather pattern. The 80's were good to us in NC for winter storms but the 90's really weren't that good. If this pans out to be a big one then thats 2 big ones in 3 years and thats not bad for us in the coastal plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Looks like we'll have the coldest January since at least 1988 and not a single flake of snow will fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Looks like we'll have the coldest January since at least 1988 and not a single flake of snow will fall. We got this one right where we want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Looks like we'll have the coldest January since at least 1988 and not a single flake of snow will fall. In before brick says he'd rather have warmth and stormy instead of just cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 In before brick says he'd rather have warmth and stormy instead of just cold and dry. ....initiate fritschybot intercept protocol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 and down goes the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Almost time to stick a fork in this one for inland areas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Almost time to stick a fork in this one for inland areas! Areas east of 95 might still have a chance especially if the euro ens mean is wetter as people have mentioned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Areas east of 95 might still have a chance especially if the euro ens mean is wetter as people have mentioned Yeah, I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Almost time to stick a fork in this one for inland areas! Gotta see what happens once the players in Canada can actually be sampled. A lot of this depends on that. Until then it will just be the GFS/NAM/Euro guessing. That snow last week was a prime example of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Enjoy next weeks cold Tuesday-Thursday, cause it may rain next weekend with temps in the 40's and 50's. It's a shame like queen said cold as it has been and nothing to show for it! This snowman is about ready to cash in. Of course eastern and coastal areas may still score yet with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The good news now is, we don't have any more models to painfully wait for to cave in. They're all gone. If nothing changes, huge win for the GFS for never buying an inland snowstorm. Fortunately, it will lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Looks like we'll have the coldest January since at least 1988 and not a single flake of snow will fall. I haven't had a single flake or sleet pellet all winter either. Nothing unusual most years but given how cold it's been, that's a damn disgrace. And of course the salt in the wound would be snow falling all along the gulf coast to the outer banks..and possibly a crap load of it. That would really really be frustrating, depressing, and maddening. If that happens, I don't think anyone is going to want to be around me for a few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 im gonna wait till the 0z runs come out. if they are still bad im gonna call this storm a loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 In before brick says he'd rather have warmth and stormy instead of just cold and dry. a few more folks have already said that today on the storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The good news now is, we don't have any more models to painfully wait for to cave in. They're all gone. If nothing changes, huge win for the GFS for never buying an inland snowstorm. Fortunately, it will lose. Still don't get how the model that is all over the place is good. It might have not showed a storm and was right in the end, but probably because it is too crappy to even see the potential because of how erattic it is in thr long range. But it would figure that it would be the one to get the end result right. And not sure how we can ever trust models much after a couple of days after the last three years when it comes to snow here. There is just too much involved for them to get it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 forecast disco from chs... "TUESDAY NIGHT...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER DURING THIS TIME AS ADEQUATE LIFT AND COLD AIR LOOK TO BE IN PLACEFOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Still don't get how the model that is all over the place is good. It might have not showed a storm and was right in the end, but probably because it is too crappy to even see the potential because of how erattic it is in thr long range. But it would figure that it would be the one to get the end result right. And not sure how we can ever trust models much after a couple of days after the last three years when it comes to snow here. There is just too much involved for them to get it right. gfs seems to have had it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 The past 24 hours of model watching remind me of the old days watching Mid Atlantic Championship wrestling. Every prime time match, the ref would be on his way down for the 3rd strike of the mat and out of nowhere what appeared to be a wrestler lying on the mat lifeless/flatlined, he gets one of his shoulders up just in the neck of time. The 18z nam just threw the shoulder up. Now will the happy hour 18z gfs take the momentum and show a triple phased GOM negative tilt HECS or will it grab us by the hair, throw us in the turnbuckle and continue to slap the crap out of a bunch of snow starved weenies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Really, we still have no idea what's going to happen, which is typical when it comes to trying to forecast snow here. All the models can show is potential. What actually happens is anyone's guess. That has been proven by how many snow forecasts here have busted in the past, and that goes for getting less snow and more snow than forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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