calculus1 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Is this seriously trending from being completely offshore, to being a western NC and TN special? Will I see accumulating snow this year? And, there we have the first, of I'm sure many, classic WidreMann whines concerning this storm in the storm thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 When can we go into storm mode Kiss of death! All we need is a board phone conference to send it down to FL and OTS! I'm already in storm mode If Euro and GFS come around you can have fun with that. You and the mods will look like this at all times Just got nam'ed! I hope we are freaking out in a great way on Monday and Tuesday when it shows 2" of precip for most of the SE crew! I've always wanted one of those storms like the one last week or the 2 foot storms the MA crew saw a few years back! I love getting NAM'D! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 WPC's winter impact graphics are based solely on the SREF. Thank you, sir. That's good to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I'm already in storm mode Good! If it was up to me I'd be swinging my ban hammer everywhere. I'm not as patient, god bless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I only had about 10 forecast soundings open when the NAM finished... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 This is classic winter frustration. Nam against, I don't know, maybe, every other major global model? Still giving false hope to the weenies! I was just thinking before clicking on this thread that if the nam is wrong and it's either far to the south or non existent, there will be some mighty heart broken folks because it's almost impossible to not get excited seeing the nam and the potential there is for this to be huge if we can get the pieces together just right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 edit...wrong thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Thanks for the response. Is there any website where I could learn how to read these maps. I love weather (snow or rain) and I'm tired of relying on WITN or weather.com I know most here are concerned about their areas and don't want to be asked "what about my area" 50,000 times. Check out this thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/29651-weather-references-and-newbie-information/ It doesn't go too much into 5h reading but does have a ton of links and info for n00bs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Check out this thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/29651-weather-references-and-newbie-information/ It doesn't go too much into 5h reading but does have a ton of links and info for n00bs Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 GFS setting up for another fail. You can see it coming.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 GFS setting up for another fail. You can see it coming.... Yep...I just can't get excited until I start seeing something on the GFS and Euro ops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 GFS setting up for another fail. You can see it coming.... Yup. That model has not shown meaningful snow over interior sections once with this storm. It's now the only model to do so, I believe. Even the Euro had it for a run or two. The Euro this afternoon will probably have a similar solution as the GFS, as the seem to be running pretty tight now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Heading to greenville SC with the family for Monster Jam today. Should be a nice break for all of those will will melt down after the 12Z euro comes out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Yep...I just can't get excited until I start seeing something on the GFS and Euro ops. Yeah. The Rgem, Navgem, Ggem, Opengym, Slimjim....can show whatever they want, but at some point, we're going to need the real models to line up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 gfs once again has the precip offshore, blech Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Heading to greenville SC with the family for Monster Jam today. Should be a nice break from here when the melt down after the 12Z euro comes out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 hoping the gfs is a tad suppressed and in the next 2 days it comes back around to the coastal crusher it had a few days back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Yeah. The Rgem, Navgem, Ggem, Opengym, Slimjim....can show whatever they want, but at some point, we're going to need the real models to line up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Yeah. The Rgem, Navgem, Ggem, Opengym, Slimjim....can show whatever they want, but at some point, we're going to need the real models to line up. LOL... That's how I feel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Oh no, the Canadian lost the storm ! Winter Cancel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I don't think it's accurate to say the GGEM lost the storm. It still pounded coastal NC/SC and the OBX hard. It wasn't a total miss like some of the globals have had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 canadian is a great run for the coast, hope the 12z euro brings the precip back west a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 These model runs are certainly backing my call for little or no winter weather for much of the area. They go from cold and dry to warm and wet. Going to be hard for the CLT and GSP metros to even see a single flake from now until next Nov or Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 These model runs are certainly backing my call for little or no winter weather for much of the area. They go from cold and dry to warm and wet. Going to be hard for the CLT and GSP metros to even see a single flake from now until next Nov or Dec. 2/10...your trolling efforts need improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I don't think it's accurate to say the GGEM lost the storm. It still pounded coastal NC/SC and the OBX hard. It wasn't a total miss like some of the globals have had. I will take this panel all day long from the 18Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I will take this panel all day long from the 18Z run WINTER_GEM_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_138HR.gif This was the 0z run from last night, the 12z GGEM doesn't have any precip west of Greenville, NC. The writing is on the wall, it's one of those storms that won't work out for most, GFS definitely led the way, another day 6 Euro fantasy run turns to ash. The GFS has been steadfast about this staying off the coast, only showing grazing of the coast at best and that is still in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I think I've seen 5,000 threads for snow threats this winter...none which has materialized. Meanwhile, I have started 2 separate Arctic Attack threads this month and they both have delivered and the biggest shot of the second round will be coming in 3-4 days. Maybe its time shift the focus where it needs to be... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 This was the 0z run from last night, the 12z GGEM doesn't have any precip west of Greenville, NC. The writing is on the wall, it's one of those storms that won't work out for most, GFS definitely led the way, another day 6 Euro fantasy run turns to ash. The GFS has been steadfast about this staying off the coast, only showing grazing of the coast at best and that is still in play. Plenty of time for it to change though, I honestly think that folks from RAH east are good still, I would be sweating it though from I77 west...I think ( ok hope) that we see a return to the decent model consensus we had Thur night and Fri with most of the majors having the storm and we are in that weird model going crazy stage in the 3-4 day range we have seen so many times before with the models always coming back to something close to what they had in the 4-5 day range. Either way its a typical nailbiter you guys didn't think it would be a easy cut and dry sure thing for 5 days did ya......just wouldn't be a SE snowstorm if it did that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 I don't think it's accurate to say the GGEM lost the storm. It still pounded coastal NC/SC and the OBX hard. It wasn't a total miss like some of the globals have had. Well, I don't care how you word it, the fact is this run of the canadian has gone from a huge snowstorm for many..to nothing for most. When you consider how widespread the snow was on prior runs to now showing only the immediate coast of sc/nc getting hit, I think it's fair to say that it's been lost in general. Doesn't mean it won't change back though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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