TullyHeel Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 3:57 PM, superjames1992 said: It looked great for you guys, IMO. I mean, if you're going for all-in for a foot, it might be disappointing, but ~6" is nothing to sneeze at. The trends are iffy, though. Got to love how a the other modelling is now shifting west while the GFS shifts east. Didn't Robert say the models would have crazy shifts because they are not handling things right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 How did this latest run trend for FAY? Wetter? Drier? About the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:04 PM, NCsandhills said: How did this latest run trend for FAY? Wetter? Drier? About the same? See for yourself! Here you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Closings already occurring in Lowcountry. Berkeley canceled all after school activities for tomorrow, along with Horry County. Many more probably coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 How about deleting images when quoting others? Just something to think about when posting, especially in the main storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:07 PM, chapelhillwx said: See for yourself! Here you go. Thanks! Looks about the same if not a tad bit drier. 0.50-0.75 is fine with me, though. Lol. Does anyone know where I could find the SREF plumes for KFAY? Or do they not even do one. I'm not sure. I'm still new at this. Ahaha. That is what they are called, yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 This isn't over by a long shot... Love these cat and mouse model games Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:22 PM, NCsandhills said: Thanks! Looks about the same if not a tad bit drier. 0.50-0.75 is fine with me, though. Lol. Does anyone know where I could find the SREF plumes for KFAY? Or do they not even do one. I'm not sure. I'm still new at this. Ahaha. That is what they are called, yes? On that page you'll see blue dots on the map below. Those are the only cities with plumes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flotownsc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Just checked the SREF plumes it shows KFLO median at 3" and the highest member at close to 15" the local stations here are saying 4"-8" this storm is gonna be tricky to pin point exact amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I'd happily take an inch and watch the guys east of me get pounded... thats so much easier than watching the guys up north get hammered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Is that 0 to -5 showing up over central eastern NC on the 2M temp on the last run of the GFS if so then that would put us in the running to set a all time record low which is -4 Jan 1984 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:22 PM, NCsandhills said: Thanks! Looks about the same if not a tad bit drier. 0.50-0.75 is fine with me, though. Lol. Does anyone know where I could find the SREF plumes for KFAY? Or do they not even do one. I'm not sure. I'm still new at this. Ahaha. That is what they are called, yes? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/ Not sure they do it for FAY it may just be RDU you'll have to check. I'm on my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I feel silly even looking at the SREF plumes for GSO because I think I'd be lucky to get even a quarter of the mean. Watching the radar tomorrow is going to suck with 25 degrees and the precip shield missing me by three city blocks to the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 A surprisingly decent right up from FFC. However it is about 5 hours old now. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=FFC&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:29 PM, downeastnc said: Is that 0 to -5 showing up over central eastern NC on the 2M temp on the last run of the GFS if so then that would put us in the running to set a all time record low which is -4 Jan 1984 I believe that's actually the -5 to -10 color. In extreme NE NC, I think there's a little patch of -10 to -15. I had to squint to try to differentiate the colors, but I think that's correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:34 PM, magpiemaniac said: I feel silly even looking at the SREF plumes for GSO because I think I'd be lucky to get even a quarter of the mean. Watching the radar tomorrow is going to suck with 25 degrees and the precip shield missing me by three city blocks to the southeast. I'm going all-in with the member that gives us 15". LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:29 PM, downeastnc said: Is that 0 to -5 showing up over central eastern NC on the 2M temp on the last run of the GFS if so then that would put us in the running to set a all time record low which is -4 Jan 1984 GFS_below zero.png Yep. Meteostar shows you with a low of -5 in Greenville Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:38 PM, superjames1992 said: I'm going all-in with the member that gives us 15". LOL. I wish I could join you but I really think our goose is cooked. Oh well, we have a lot more of a chance to pull something off later in the season than our friends to the east, hopefully someone gets buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:01 PM, mackerel_sky said: Ground temps and sun angle are going to be tricky on my flurries tomorrow ! Pushing 60 currently Yeah we're at 60- over the forecast high. Weird trend this year.... seems like every time it snows its 60 or better the day before. On 1/27/2014 at 4:38 PM, superjames1992 said: I'm going all-in with the member that gives us 15". LOL. I know that would be great. If it would verify I'd be happy for the season. Though the sref has been keeping or two members between the 15-20 mark. Highest is 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:42 PM, ncweather said: Yeah we're at 60- over the forecast high. Weird trend this year.... seems like every time it snows its 60 or better the day before. It does that a lot in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Torching the day before a winter storm is like a Carolina past time. It happens a lot. I doubt soil temperatures will be too bad, though. One day of torching after all the cold we've had should do too much "damage". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:45 PM, superjames1992 said: Torching the day before a winter storm is like a Carolina past time. It happens a lot. I doubt soil temperatures will be too bad, though. One day of torching after all the cold we've had should do too much "damage". Not to mention most people will be in the teens tonight. I think soil temps are the last thing I would be worried about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:40 PM, Dunkman said: I wish I could join you but I really think our goose is cooked. Oh well, we have a lot more of a chance to pull something off later in the season than our friends to the east, hopefully someone gets buried.That single SREF member of 15" balloons the mean. At this point, we'll be lucky to get a dusting.And if Brick posts something like, "Our 5" of snow has been great to play in, but I'm tired of getting shafted. Should have been more," I'll personally get an angry posse together a drive eastbound on I-40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Enjoy folks. http://dogeweather.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:45 PM, superjames1992 said: Torching the day before a winter storm is like a Carolina past time. It happens a lot. I doubt soil temperatures will be too bad, though. One day of torching after all the cold we've had should do too much "damage". Oh yeah I know that. Sunday was the day finally got rid of all leftover patches of snow from the 1.25" on the 21. Pretty impressive that an inch plus has lingered for a week in the shadiest of spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I hate snowfall maps that snow non-whole numbers for accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 I don't know where to go with models like they are. Had calls for myrtle beach, Durham,nc coast or stay here and take care of our area as models come west enough to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 SC House of Representatives session for this week closed because of the winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 4:56 PM, POWERSTROKE said: I don't know where to go with models like they are. Had calls for myrtle beach, Durham,nc coast or stay here and take care of our area as models come west enough to watch I believe that the safe bet would be to go to Durham. They have the highest probability of a plowable snow at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 On 1/27/2014 at 5:03 PM, packfan98 said: I believe that the safe bet would be to go to Durham. They have the highest probability of a plowable snow at this point. I would but if we get anything here we have a bunch to salt. Either way sounds like we will be working Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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