White Gorilla Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Guys, come on....still some time, but I do like this evening's trends. Please let the Euro show wetter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 People get so upset on this board if u make an observation or state an opinion that has anything to do with hurting their chance for big snows lol I love how no one is even mentioning the fact that the GGEM shows almost a complete miss.. Could any mets weigh in? A met did chime in a tips comments, and he agrees with him. If you want to get some schooling, tip is up there awaiting your arrival. I suspect the nam is more correct, but overdoing the qpf as is does ll the time. 4 to 8 storm still, maybe 3 to 6 in jersey south. A model run with cnvective feedback just isnt informative.. It distorts information, and a met has to deal with that, and the best to that, is to toss. We await the euro to confirm the nam vort placements, and the trough orientation, or show yet another solution. The gfs solution is not ging to repeated by other models since it went haywire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 The JMA nailed 96 didn't it…i think a blend of the nam and gfs is a good call 48 hrs out…subject to change as we get closer of course... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 A met did chime in a tips comments, and he agrees with him. If you want to get some schooling, tip is up there awaiting your arrival. I suspect the nam is more correct, but overdoing the qpf as is does ll the time. 4 to 8 storm still, maybe 3 to 6 in jersey south. A model run with cnvective feedback just isnt informative.. It distorts information, and a met has to deal with that, and the best to that, is to toss. We await the euro to confirm the nam vort placements, and the trough orientation, or show yet another solution. The gfs solution is not ging to repeated by other models since it went haywire. Bingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Weill if I don't get a chance to say it happy new year to everyone hear and their family god bless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Little tipsy meant here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 NAM is known for amped solutions with higher QPF. Cras is know for being amped and west. Forget the higher QPF... Again, Why did it come back so far west? It was the only model showing hardly anything. What changed? This is a big jump. The fact is models continue to TREND better if you want more snow. You shouldn't be paying attention to the QPF so much right now. Look at the 500 MB pattern, that is much more important. Everything else will follow as we get closer to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Forget the higher QPF... Again, Why did it come back so far west? It was the only model showing hardly anything. What changed? This is a big jump. The fact is models continue to TREND better if you want more snow. You shouldn't be paying attention to the QPF so much right now. Look at the 500 MB pattern, that is much more important. Everything else will follow as we get closer to the event. I hope your right. I think we still trend. I think the Euro will definitely come in better, but still not on the level of the NAM (QPF wise). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 If I had to make a call, I'd say that the euro comes in very close to the GFS solution, accumulation wise.....and I don't say that in disappointment, because both I feel do/will show 4-6", which is more than I ever thought this storm would put down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Guys, come on....still some time, but I do like this evening's trends. Please let the Euro show wetter! I dont think huge differences are coming, but it would be a big indicator if we had some consistancy through 2 of the 3 main model runs tonight with some come together of the nam and euro. We need 15 hours of good consistent models and then we can start makng snow maps. We havent had that yet. I think Dt was the guy who liked when the old eta matches the euro, so nam will have to be the eta surogate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy New Year everybody!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy new years everyone A Look at the rgem 48 hrs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy new year everyone!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 happy new years ladies and gents! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy 2014! Here's to lots of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy New Year everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy new year and hopefully the continuation of an exciting winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 What does Mondays storm look like on GFS? Happy new year Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 HNY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Here's to a snowy 14! Be safe and healthy everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 What does Mondays storm look like on GFS? Happy new year Rossi Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 What does Mondays storm look like on GFS? Happy new year Rossi Inland Runner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy new year everyone.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Inland Runner. Hopefully trending eastward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 What does Mondays storm look like on GFS? Happy new year Rossi Happy New Year! Since the GFS can't get it right at 48-60 hours, you cannot expect it to do well with 120-144. As of now, GFS has almost nothing for Monday. There's really nothing there, and it's probably wrong. WX/PT Correction-Inside runner Sunday==RAIN. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 When do the 0z GFS esembles come out Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Back to more important weather, GEFS are similar to 18z. 0.5"+ NYC east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy New Year! 2014 to start off with some good snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 HNY and here's to Snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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