Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 curious to see what LOT will do with Lake effect snow watch for Lake/Cook IL with afternoon update?? Given the reports of already 9-12" in Lake/NE. Cook Co's...I would lean toward a warning...But then again I wouldn't be surprised if they didn't go that route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Happy New Year all, 2013 had its moments, but to a more exciting 2014. And good health for everyone. Sent from my SCH-I535 Thank you and the same to you and yours. I'll take all the "good health" wishes I can get! 2013 was a really rough year for major health issues in my family. I sure hope 2014 backs off some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 ORD should be in the vicinity 6"... 0220 PM SNOW 2 WSW ELK GROVE VILLAGE 41.99N 88.03W01/01/2014 M6.2 INCH COOK IL COCORAHSSTORM TOTAL SO FAR. AN ADDITIONAL 1.5 INCHES SINCE 11AM.STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW FALLING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Given the reports of already 9-12" in Lake/NE. Cook Co's...I would lean toward a warning...But then again I wouldn't be surprised if they didn't go that route. MKE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 303 PM CST WED JAN 1 2014 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO PERSIST INTO THURSDAY... .WINDS HAVE TURNED NORTH TO NORTHEAST OVER SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN. THESE WINDS...AND THE COLD AIR IN PLACE WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS OVER SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED FROM MILWAUKEE SOUTH THROUGH KENOSHA COUNTIES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 5 INCHES IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF WASHINGTON...WAUKESHA AND WALWORTH COUNTIES. THE SNOW SHOWERS COULD BECOME STATIONARY FOR A TIME TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY RESULTING IN MORE PERSISTENT SNOWFALL ACROSS THE SAME AREA. ALL INTERESTS TRAVELING IN THE ADVISORY AND WARNED AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ENCOUNTER REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND POSSIBLE RAPID ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. SLOW DOWN IF YOU ENCOUNTER ONE OF THESE HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS. WIZ066-071-072-020515- /O.CON.KMKX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140102T2100Z/ MILWAUKEE-RACINE-KENOSHA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILWAUKEE...RACINE...KENOSHA 303 PM CST WED JAN 1 2014 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THURSDAY. * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. THE SNOW WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES INTO THURSDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS 3 TO 5 INCHES. * IMPACTS...THE SNOW WILL CREATE SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY TO A 1/4 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Great time for the DVN radar to be down. Haven't measured but looks like at least 3-4". Snow globe action out there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 LOT went with a LESW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 LOT has 3-7 in my grid for thurs i think they go advisory unless a slow moving single band materializes. EDIT: bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Another 1.9" since 10AM, storm total up to 8.1" and snow depth on average around 15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 LOT went with a LESW. Sorry is that a watch or warning?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Sorry is that a watch or warning?? Warning...For Lake (IL), Cook and Lake (IN). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 rgem looks juicy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 LOT has 3-7 in my grid for thurs i think they go advisory unless a slow moving single band materializes. EDIT: bust Not doing so hot with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 LOT says intensity should be diminishing? Not so fast. I've had 20dbz returns since noon and it's E-W orientation spreads back to the QC area now. Money spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I got 2-4" tonight and 1-3" for tomorrow in my grid. One grid east has 2-4" tomorrow. Been fairly steady SN since 2:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 A fun little system which keeps on giving.... At this rate 10-12" is within reach. Sitting around 6.5" right now. Nappy time till 8pm then round three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 rgem looks juicy....Its got .4" up here which would probably translate to 4-8" on top of the 3" that fell earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Rode through beautiful light to high end moderate snow throughout the day. Could definitely attest to potential lake enhancement, particularly as we headed north and east. Picture is from Glacial Park - horizon faded into the squalls. After heading northwest toward the southeast part of Lake Geneva, we pounded through some impressive winds and drifts heading back home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Best steady snow so far. Going good past 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Best steady snow so far. Going good past 2 hours. Band seems to finally be slipping south. Wasn't this supposed to happen hours ago? Looks like decent snows up to Lansing/Grand Rapids in MI. Last nice band up here before the good stuff heads south? http://ustre.am/16Txc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Not doing so hot with this one. mby call still in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 342 PM CST WED JAN 1 2014 DISCUSSION 314 PM CST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... THE MAIN CONCERNS ARE WITH THE TRANSITION OF THE SYNOPTIC/LAKE ENHANCED SNOW TO A HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND INTO NORTHWESTERN INDIANA. THIS IS A COMPLEX FORECAST...ESPECIALLY IN TERMS OF HEADLINES...GIVEN THE ONGOING SNOW ACROSS THE AREA. TO KEEP THINGS SIMPLE AND SOMEWHAT LESS COMPLEX...WE HAVE DECIDED TO GO OUT THE DOOR WITH A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR COOK AND LAKE ILLINOIS...IN SPITE OF THE FACT THAT THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL NOT GET GOING UNTIL TONIGHT AND ON THURSDAY. WE ALSO WENT WITH A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR LAKE COUNTY INDIANA...BUT WE WILL NOT START IT HERE UNTIL THURSDAY. THE REMAINDER OF THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT...AND I HAVE EXTENDED IT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS (COUNTIES NOT INCLUDED IN THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING)....AND THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...MAINLY FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR BEYOND THE ENDING OF THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AREAS INLAND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CURRENT WARNING. HOWEVER...I WILL ALLOW LATER SHIFTS TO BETTER ASSESS THIS POTENTIAL GIVEN THE CURRENT HEADLINES IN EFFECT. THE MAIN SYNOPTIC SCALE SNOW BAND WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD THIS EVENING AS A POTENT SHORT WAVE DIGS OVER THE OZARKS. THIS SHOULD FAVOR THE BETTER FRONTOGENESIS AND SNOW POTENTIAL SHIFTING SOUTHWARD A BIT ACROSS AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80...WHERE LITTLE SNOW HAS FALLEN YET. THE SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS MY EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA COUNTIES...WHERE A GOOD BAND A MID LEVEL FGEN WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE AS THE 850 MB CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN IN RESPONSE TO THE MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHING ACROSS THE OZARKS. THE SNOW COULD BE MODERATE AT TIMES...AND THIS COULD LEAD TO 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION YET FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MY AREA THAT HAS YET TO SEE ANY REAL SNOWFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM. FARTHER NORTH...ALTHOUGH THE SYNOPTIC SCALE SNOW WILL BE WINDING DOWN...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD BEGIN TO ORGANIZE ACROSS WESTERN LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT. MUCH OF THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATES THAT A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS. THIS APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF AN ENHANCED BAND OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MESO LOW ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. CONSIDERING THIS IS THE REGION WHERE A SYNOPTIC SCALE SURFACE INVERTED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY RESIDES...IT SEEMS QUITE PLAUSIBLE THAT AS THE THERMODYNAMICS CONTINUE TO GET MORE FAVORABLE ACROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN...THAT A LOCALIZED ENHANCEMENT/DEVELOPMENT OF A MESO LOW COULD OCCUR. THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF COOK...LAKE, IL AND PERHAPS INLAND ACROSS PORTIONS OF DUPAGE AND KANE COUNTIES. FOR THESE REASONS...I HAVE EXTENDED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR AREAS JUST WEST OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. ON THURSDAY...THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT BAND IS FORECAST TO SET UP ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN LAKE MICHIGAN... AND THIS BAND WILL LIKELY MOVE INLAND ACROSS EASTERN AND SOUTHERN COOK COUNTY...AND FAR EASTERN LAKE COUNTY ILLINOIS DURING THE MORNING. GIVEN THE STRONG SINGLE BAND BOUNDARY LAYER CONVERGENCE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN LAKE MICHIGAN IN CONJUNCTION WITH VERY IMPRESSIVE THERMODYNAMICS FEATURING LAKE INDUCED EL'S UP AROUND 10,000 FEET AGL AND 850 TO SURFACE LAKE TEMP DIFFERENCES AROUND 20 DEGREES CELSIUS...I EXPECT A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA ON THURSDAY. MUCH OF THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE REALLY HITS EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN COOK COUNTY...AND PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHWESTERN LAKE COUNTY INDIANA REALLY HARD...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES. LAKE COUNTY ILLINOIS REMAINS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION AS TO HOW MUCH SNOW WILL FALL...WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL OF HEAVY SNOWFALL NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORES. AREAS FARTHER INLAND ACROSS THE COUNTY MAY NOT GET MUCH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. BUT ANY SLIGHT DEVIATION OR RIPPLE IN THE SNOW BAND...COULD EASILY PUSH SOME HEAVY SNOW INLAND. THE LAKE EFFECT BAND COULD EASILY DROP 2+ INCH PER HOUR SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS ISOLATED AREAS OF WARNING. THIS BAND OF HEAVY SNOW LOOKS TO SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHWESTERN INDIANA BY THURSDAY EVENING...AND DEPENDING ON HOW FAST THIS TRANSITIONS OCCURS...THERE COULD BE SOME DECENT ACCUMULATIONS INTO PORTER COUNTY INDIANA THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS COULD BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN EXTENSION OF THE CURRENT WARNING...OR AN ADVISORY...BUT DUE TO THE LATER TIMING AND QUESTIONS ON THE DURATION ACROSS PORTER...I HAVE CHOSEN TO HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES THERE AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Steady snow falling with the best rates north of 8 mile right now, still adding up. Hopefully can get back into the heavy snow here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Up to 6.8", I think the best storm since I moved up here at the end of 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 One of the worst calls by Dtx for MBY in recent memory... Usually their conservatism ends up doing well but as of yesterday after they had me down for 1-2" event total. Closing in on 5" now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Vis trying to drop back under 1/2 mile. Flake size still rubbish but coming down at a decent clip. Winds surprisingly quality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Also DuPage will need LE headlines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Vis trying to drop back under 1/2 mile. Flake size still rubbish but coming down at a decent clip. Winds surprisingly quality. you will bust low after this ILZ014-021515- COOK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHICAGO 340 PM CST WED JAN 1 2014 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...PERIODS OF SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. TEMPERATURES NEARLY STEADY 16 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 100 PERCENT. .THURSDAY...SNOW. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATE IN THE MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 4 TO 9 INCHES. HIGHS 17 TO 21. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Had a good half hour period where the flakes were very nice, and the rates were definitely pretty nice. Back down to smaller flakes now. Eyeballing it it looks pretty close to 4" or so. That combined with 1.6" from the first wave at MLI should make my 4-8" call good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Had a good half hour period where the flakes were very nice, and the rates were definitely pretty nice. Back down to smaller flakes now. Eyeballing it it looks pretty close to 4" or so. That combined with 1.6" from the first wave at MLI should make my 4-8" call good. nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 10.5" as of 4pm here. Been consistent with getting between 0.7-0.8" per hour since noon. +SN atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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