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December 31-January 2 Hybrid frisbee storm Part 2


Hoosier

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Nothing  like a New Years Day snowstorm with a temp of 12 degrees!

Powder wonderland outside.

 

Round 1: NYE 12am-3pm: 1.4"

Main show: NYE 10pm-145pm: 4.5"....Depth closer to 5" than 6" from a slight bit of settling...with a long long ways to go I remain adamant that DTX will bust for south of Detroit. They did raise amounts from 4-6" to 4-7" lol but that would mean I will see 2" or less with about 24 hours of snow to go :lol:

 

It is hard to understand their WWA, I actually read that as 4-7" additional, but I can see it read your way as well. Locally I have around 3 1/2" I'd estimate, haven't had a chance to actually measure though.

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Nothing  like a New Years Day snowstorm with a temp of 12 degrees!

Powder wonderland outside.

 

Round 1: NYE 12am-3pm: 1.4"

Main show: NYE 10pm-145pm: 4.5"....Depth closer to 5" than 6" from a slight bit of settling...with a long long ways to go I remain adamant that DTX will bust for south of Detroit. They did raise amounts from 4-6" to 4-7" lol but that would mean I will see 2" or less with about 24 hours of snow to go :lol:

Really, you got 4.5? That's awesome. Around an inch up here thus far.. 

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It is hard to understand their WWA, I actually read that as 4-7" additional, but I can see it read your way as well. Locally I have around 3 1/2" I'd estimate, haven't had a chance to actually measure though.

I suppose thats possible....it is long duration...but umm...its 12 degrees lol. There is no melting on anything untreated.

Isnt 8" in 24 hours a warning? I suspect its certainly possible...as we have about 8 hours to hit the 24-hour mark of the main wave, and I think 3.5+ is certainly attainable in 8 hours if that banding does continue to increase as forecast.

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Really, you got 4.5? That's awesome. Around an inch up here thus far.. 

Yup...as of 145pm I had 4.5".....I may even challenge my 8.4" from Dec 14th (though this is longer duration). Ill have to wait to see storm postmortum as to how I want to sort it out...but I may consider Dec 31-Jan 2 snowfall as one event. We RARELY have storms/events that span more than 2 calendar days, but I see other NWS offices often consider 3 and even 4 day events as 1 "storm", even with large gaps in snow (i believe the infamous PD storm on the east coast was listed as Feb 14-18, 2003).

 

The event so far has been:

Dec 31: Snow from 1am to 8am (0.6") then a 4 hour break before snow resumed under an unexpected lake band. The snow lasted til 4pm and dropped another 0.8". Then there was one more 4-hour break before light snow resumed at 8pm and it has been snowing ever since.

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Nice pics Geos. You need to open a ski resort up there on the mt.

 

Thanks. Yeah, I'd probably do good business.  :snowing:

 

Kenosha Co. just included in the LES warning.

 

 

WIZ072-020315-

/O.UPG.KMKX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-140102T2100Z/

/O.EXA.KMKX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140102T2100Z/

KENOSHA-

INCLUDING THE CITY OF...KENOSHA

108 PM CST WED JAN 1 2014

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST

THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY.

THE SNOW SHOWERS MAY BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT

INTO THURSDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES HAS ALREADY OCCURRED AND AN

ADDITIONAL 3 TO 4 INCHES WILL YIELD TOTALS OF 7 TO 10 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...THE SNOW WILL CREATE SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS AND

REDUCED VISIBILITY.

 

 

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LOT

/DISCUSSION...UPDATED 18Z...  
 
UPPER LEVEL WAVE OVER THE PLAINS HAS PUSHED SUBTLE CHANGE IN FLOW  
ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS. INCREASINGLY WSW FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT  
WIDESPREAD WEST-EAST SNOW BAND SOUTH. SATELLITE INDICATIVE TO  
WEAKENING OF LARGE SCALE SNOW BAND SO INTENSITY EXPECTED TO DECREASE  
THROUGH AFTERNOON.  
 
NEXT CONCERN FOR THE AFTERNOON IS ENHANCED FLOW OFF LAKE MICHIGAN.  
SNOW BAND AND ASSOCIATED EMBEDDED HEAVIER BANDS HAVE EXPANDED  
GRADUALLY INLAND TOWARDS A QUASISTATIONARY SEEMINGLY CONVERGENCE  
LINE EXTENDING NEAR ORD AND MDW. OVERALL TRENDS INDICATE WEAKENING  
IN RADAR RETURNS SO SNOWFALL WILL LIKELY LESSEN AND AS A RESULT  
VISIBILITIES WOULD TREND HIGHER EARLIER.  
 
LAKE EFFECT SNOWBANDS TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND ORGANIZE INTO THE  
OVERNIGHT HOURS. CONFIDENCE REMAINS RATHER LOW AS TO LOCATION OF  
LAKE EFFECT SQUALLS WHICH WILL GREATLY IMPACT VISIBILITIES NOT TO  
MENTION SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION RATES.  
DZ  

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LOT

/DISCUSSION...UPDATED 18Z...  

 

UPPER LEVEL WAVE OVER THE PLAINS HAS PUSHED SUBTLE CHANGE IN FLOW  

ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS. INCREASINGLY WSW FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT  

WIDESPREAD WEST-EAST SNOW BAND SOUTH. SATELLITE INDICATIVE TO  

WEAKENING OF LARGE SCALE SNOW BAND SO INTENSITY EXPECTED TO DECREASE  

THROUGH AFTERNOON.  

 

NEXT CONCERN FOR THE AFTERNOON IS ENHANCED FLOW OFF LAKE MICHIGAN.  

SNOW BAND AND ASSOCIATED EMBEDDED HEAVIER BANDS HAVE EXPANDED  

GRADUALLY INLAND TOWARDS A QUASISTATIONARY SEEMINGLY CONVERGENCE  

LINE EXTENDING NEAR ORD AND MDW. OVERALL TRENDS INDICATE WEAKENING  

IN RADAR RETURNS SO SNOWFALL WILL LIKELY LESSEN AND AS A RESULT  

VISIBILITIES WOULD TREND HIGHER EARLIER.  

 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWBANDS TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND ORGANIZE INTO THE  

OVERNIGHT HOURS. CONFIDENCE REMAINS RATHER LOW AS TO LOCATION OF  

LAKE EFFECT SQUALLS WHICH WILL GREATLY IMPACT VISIBILITIES NOT TO  

MENTION SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION RATES.  

DZ  

 

 

weak sauce

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Yup...as of 145pm I had 4.5".....I may even challenge my 8.4" from Dec 14th (though this is longer duration). Ill have to wait to see storm postmortum as to how I want to sort it out...but I may consider Dec 31-Jan 2 snowfall as one event. We RARELY have storms/events that span more than 2 calendar days, but I see other NWS offices often consider 3 and even 4 day events as 1 "storm", even with large gaps in snow (i believe the infamous PD storm on the east coast was listed as Feb 14-18, 2003).

 

The event so far has been:

Dec 31: Snow from 1am to 8am (0.6") then a 4 hour break before snow resumed under an unexpected lake band. The snow lasted til 4pm and dropped another 0.8". Then there was one more 4-hour break before light snow resumed at 8pm and it has been snowing ever since.

Awesome, well expect snow to continue thru most of the day, so yeah you could be up there! Good luck :).. I may be closer to the 4-6" total hopefully..

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We're at just about 10" for the event so far, with another 1.4" down since I last measured, bringing our snow total between the three measurements I've made to 9.8" here in Libertyville. Cleared the snow off the drive about a half hour ago and took some photos around the property. Winter wonderland.

 

Rates are picking back up and we're finally starting to see the big fatty flakes again thanks to the lake: http://ustre.am/16Txc

post-1345-0-40752300-1388604731_thumb.jp

post-1345-0-17662900-1388604736_thumb.jp

post-1345-0-57186300-1388604743_thumb.jp

post-1345-0-54310300-1388604771_thumb.jp

post-1345-0-87260300-1388604778_thumb.jp

post-1345-0-21550000-1388604787_thumb.jp

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Awesome, well expect snow to continue thru most of the day, so yeah you could be up there! Good luck :).. I may be closer to the 4-6" total hopefully..

Looks like the bands are coming more north now and hopefully will continues west to east through tomorrow so we can get our 4-6.  DTX did issue Winter Weather Advisories now for Oakland and Macomb also so they must see that the snow is coming more north than earlier thought

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video demonstration plz.

 

I'll have to do that sometime, but in the meantime if you look up "snow wovel" you will find some. With the 26" wide scoop you can move more snow quicker and throw it farther with the leverage of the wheel. I cleared my driveway in about half the normal time.

 

I've seen those shovels Tuanis has, but never worked with one.

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Coach's clicker take on the system, based off current radar. Green circle stuff moves off to the ENE...red ESE, and blue E. MCI-STL-IND-CMH corridor could do well with the good look to the southern part of the radar. 

 

17z RAP shows this as well. 1-2", lean more 1 than 2, sounds good here...better south.

 

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