Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,587
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

December 31-January 2 Hybrid frisbee storm Part 2


Hoosier

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Your right.  My bad.  18-23 in the East is more like mediocre. 

 

Since Nicky left they have been mediocre.  Seven years counting of their winning percentage dropping from year to year.  I thought they would be mediocre faster but Nicky was a God even at 40.

 

Now they are only mediocre because they still have HOF bound ppg players Alfie, Dats, Z, Franzen, Kronwall.  Who are 41, 35, 33, 34, 32.

 

 

Of course I respect the 1991-2011 run.  Of course I wish it was my team who was that dominant. 

 

Of course I will have no sympathy for Detroit no longer being a cup contender

20+ straight years in the playoffs. Just sayin.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

ILN goes WWA for most.

 

 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
304 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014

...ACCUMULATING SNOW FOR THURSDAY...

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>095-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>072-077-078-011700-
/O.NEW.KILN.WW.Y.0001.140102T0500Z-140103T0000Z/
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-
GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-
HAMILTON-CLERMONT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...
BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG...RISING SUN...VEVAY...
CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON...INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA...
OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...
GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...
PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...
EATON...DAYTON...XENIA...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...
LANCASTER...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CINCINNATI...
MILFORD
304 AM EST WED JAN 1 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
7 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE NORTHERN MIAMI VALLEY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
INTO THE DAY THURSDAY. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF THURSDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED
VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

* WIND CHILLS TOWARD THE END OF THIS STORM WILL BEGIN TO DROP
BELOW ZERO
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It looks like the wave for today might come in two parts. The first affecting areas north of I-80 from the morning into the evening, and the 2nd generally south of I-80 during the evening and overnight.

CLE's gonna need to extend the advisory time until Thursday afternoon unless they plan on the second wave being significantly faster or further south than hi-res models suggest. Either way it looks like 4-6" Tonight/Thursday on top of the 1-3" that's falling thru the earlier AM. I can live with that. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

20+ straight years in the playoffs. Just sayin.

 

 

I'd say the 4 Stanley Cup wins are the impressive part.

 

The blues made it 25 years in a row the Bruins like 28 years in a row.

 

 

Both franchises learned it can't go on forever and it's better to blow it up and rebuild.  I'd say with Nyquist, tater, Jurco, Sheahan and others as the next crop of Wings it's time to blow it up and rebuild and stock the shelves with future talent for the next Wings dynasty.

 

 

I know many Wings fans will believe the playoff streak will never end so it's a moot point really.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Environment Canada is forecasting 4-6" over 30-36 hours with a special weather statement for areas of Southwestern Ontario. The statement covers all areas south of a line from the southernmost tip of Lake Huron to the south shore of Lake Ontario on the Niagara Peninsula.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It is rare that I get cocky enough to say something like this...but Im saying it....DTX's forecast of 4-6" total for Detroit south to the OH border is busting. Period. No maybe if....no well its possible...its busting. Even should the heaviest snow stay south of the MI/OH border, all models show snow continue well into Thursday morning now.

The snow began here as pixie dust around 10pm last night, and while the first several tenths were sugary, the overnight snowfall was extremely fluffy high ratio (on the order of 20-30:1). What that tells me is that the periods of pixie dust will provide lower 10-12:1 ratios, but the good dendrites should easily be able to AT LEAST offer 15-20:1 ratios.

From 10pm last night to 715am this morning, I had 2.1" of snow on 0.08" water. There is now 3+ on the ground and snow coming down.

Round 1: Dec 31st 12am-3pm snow: 1.4"

Main round...10pm NYE to 715am today: 2.1"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think this storm is a prime example of our flawed winter weather advisory and winter storm warning criteria.

 

The advisories and warnings shouldn't be based on some arbitrary volume of snow falling for a given time period, but rather the impacts that the snow causes.

 

For example areas could receive 15" of snow over two days with temps in the upper teens. The snow will stick to all roads creating treacherous conditions. Generally travel would not be recommended. However, this type of storm would warrant only an advisory (e.g. not reaching the 8" in 24 hour threshold). Conversely, let's say you have a storm that drops 3-7" of snow in 12 hours over an area with temps around 32. The snow might not accumulate to any road surfaces and travel is generally not impacted. But because there might be a few 6-7" lollipops, a warning will be issued.

 

I think the current system gives a false sense of weather expectations. 

 

Didn't DTX test out a more "conditions based" warning system a few years ago? Did anything ever come of that?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

also weak lake effect over SE WI and NE IL now moving WSW off the lake and system snows developing over it

Wild how quickly the banding redeveloped. We have had light returns for the past few hours, which have now blossomed, especially along/just north of the border. I'm expecting this to slowly slip south later this AM.

Back to SN here: http://ustre.am/16Txc

We picked up another inch since I last cleared and measured, bringing my storm total through Wed 7 AM to 6.9". Back to bed.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think this storm is a prime example of our flawed winter weather advisory and winter storm warning criteria.

The advisories and warnings shouldn't be based on some arbitrary volume of snow falling for a given time period, but rather the impacts that the snow causes.

For example areas could receive 15" of snow over two days with temps in the upper teens. The snow will stick to all roads creating treacherous conditions. Generally travel would not be recommended. However, this type of storm would warrant only an advisory (e.g. not reaching the 8" in 24 hour threshold). Conversely, let's say you have a storm that drops 3-7" of snow in 12 hours over an area with temps around 32. The snow might not accumulate to any road surfaces and travel is generally not impacted. But because there might be a few 6-7" lollipops, a warning will be issued.

I think the current system gives a false sense of weather expectations.

Didn't DTX test out a more "conditions based" warning system a few years ago? Did anything ever come of that?

I don't think anything came of it. Good point about the flaw aspect.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

As I figured I'm too far north.  Dry air 100% this morning.   :sleepy:

 

Only excitement was an intense LES band of snow 6-11PM (however just north of MBY got most of it).  I got to see it because I was up there.  I got 1/2" but some areas north between Fenton and Grand Blanc got 2-3".

 

I think DTX did a great job with the forecast here.  They didn't call for much and I am not getting much!

 

Everyone else enjoy.  Happy New Year!! :hug:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have to laugh at those SREF plumes, because you can end up with the max plume.

 

I'm glad they let you look back at the previous days. Yesterday, there were only two plumes that had CLE at 4" or more by 12z this morning. Of course, one of those ends up with 15" and the other 12.5" (highest and then 5th highest plume)

 

Do I think that'll happen? nope.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It is rare that I get cocky enough to say something like this...but Im saying it....DTX's forecast of 4-6" total for Detroit south to the OH border is busting. Period. No maybe if....no well its possible...its busting. Even should the heaviest snow stay south of the MI/OH border, all models show snow continue well into Thursday morning now.

The snow began here as pixie dust around 10pm last night, and while the first several tenths were sugary, the overnight snowfall was extremely fluffy high ratio (on the order of 20-30:1). What that tells me is that the periods of pixie dust will provide lower 10-12:1 ratios, but the good dendrites should easily be able to AT LEAST offer 15-20:1 ratios.

From 10pm last night to 715am this morning, I had 2.1" of snow on 0.08" water. There is now 3+ on the ground and snow coming down.

Round 1: Dec 31st 12am-3pm snow: 1.4"

Main round...10pm NYE to 715am today: 2.1"

Looks like we may not have the lull here they spoke of. Continues in almost "train" like fashion over toledo. Almost 4" here when they called for 1-2 by daybreak.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...