Guest Pamela Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Down to 19 F in Port Jeff. At 9:00 PM, it appeared the temperature @ 850 mb was around -4 C over Long Island Sound. Once it falls to -8 C, expect the air over the Sound to potentially become conditionally unstable as the sea surface temperature of the Sound is around 4 C and we need a delta of at least 12 C for this to occur. With a stiff NE fetch over the Sound, I would think some very intense bands of snow could move over the Island...of course aided by the developing mid latitude cyclone south of the area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Looks like we are getting a push with the heavier echoes over ttn and 1-95. Steady snow here You think those bands will get up here? They were supposed to...I am seeing steady snow here too but nothing awe inspiring. have to see how it unfolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 It may not seem heavy, but it's a good steady rate now even with relatively low echoes so the ratios may be starting to increase some. Temperatures are now near 21F with many areas around dipping into the upper teens. I'm not expecting very heavy echoes but maybe some 25 dbz rates would be nice. Remember that the max rates were not going to exceed an 1" per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 2.5" here as of 10 PM, 0.5" in the last hour. Snow has lightened up some but still coming down steadily. Temp is 20.0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Don't freak out over the radar. The storm will keep backbuilding west and should build in intensity overhead as the low shifts north and tilts more negatively. EVery model has good snow over the entire area for at least 6-8 more hours. This isn't going to just shift east-it should pivot back more and more, although it will never have the complete classic look like with Boxing Day 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Down to thirteen degrees. Still very steady snow with some blowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockmanjr Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Report of some Coastal Flooding in Southern Queens on Brookville Blvd per MTA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 We? I am on the coast, where are you located? Woodbridge. I was talking the Jersey coast, not the bay. Remember in 2010 when we struggled for a few inches while just south they had a ot more. March 09 too. What part of SI are you on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Down to 17F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Woodbridge. I was talking the Jersey coast, not the bay. Remember in 2010 when we struggled for a few inches while just south they had a ot more. March 09 too. What part of SI are you on? South shore near Hylan blvd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Mount holly 945 pm THE STRONGEST SHORT WAVE SHOULD COME THROUGH BETWEEN6Z AND 8Z THIS MORNING WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF THE LATEST BANDAFFECTING MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTY WITH HEAVIER SNOW AFTER 08Z.THE UPSHOT, WE DROPPED THE LOW END OF OUR PREVIOUS RANGES ANDADDED ABOUT AN INCH OR TWO TO THE TOP RANGR. ADDITIONAL WATEREQUIVALENT IS EXPECTED TO BE .25 TO .50 INCHES WITH HIGHER RATIOSMAKING THAT CLOSER TO ABOUT 4 TO 7 ADDITIONAL INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Oy vey is right the heavier echoes are actually thinning out and consolidating just south of brooklyn queens and Staten Island . Go figure my family in lakewood nj who expected much less then us ends up with the higher amounts. Very light snow out there people north of us must be really getting frustrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 down to 13 here but ratios have been awful since i have only had light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 19 at ewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 South shore near Hylan blvd Practically neighbors. For some reason over the years, SI has gotten a bit more in storms than surrounding areas in NJ. Heaven knows why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peregrinator Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Don't freak out over the radar. The storm will keep backbuilding west and should build in intensity overhead as the low shifts north and tilts more negatively. EVery model has good snow over the entire area for at least 6-8 more hours. This isn't going to just shift east-it should pivot back more and more, although it will never have the complete classic look like with Boxing Day 2010. Yep, this lull was progged well on earlier runs of the RAP. If it's right, we get back into 30dbz bands before midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Light Snow. 1.8" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Oy vey is right the heavier echoes are actually thinning out and consolidating just south of brooklyn queens and Staten Island . Go figure my family in lakewood nj who expected much less then us ends up with the higher amounts. Very light snow out there people north of us must be really getting frustrated. Oy vey is right the heavier echoes are actually thinning out and consolidating just south of brooklyn queens and Staten Island . Go figure my family in lakewood nj who expected much less then us ends up with the higher amounts. Very light snow out there people north of us must be really getting frustrated. And I don't think anyone expected that, though I thought it could happen based on recent history.Any report from down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick5892 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Just hit my 3" mark in hackettstown, nj. light-mod snow continues. 11F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Central NJ coast through interior SNJ getting pounded with heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Over the past three hours, 0.17 liquid in KNYC... So, even at 10:1, 1.7 inches there... Gotta figure tho it's a little better than that. 20:1 ratios where I am over 3.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 And I don't think anyone expected that, though I thought it could happen based on recent history.Any report from down there. My brother in law tells me there's 4-5 inches on the ground there in lakewood , that's ocean county , the pictures he sent me look like 3 at most so I'm not sure :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 20:1 ratios where I am over 3.5 inches EWR and LGA only had 2 as of last hour and JFK still 1 it would seem but in the last few years I have really learned not to trust these airport observers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Around 2 here, this was earlier tonight. I guess this is moderate, but on the light end. Hopefully NW NJ gets a bit heavier, but not complaining, it was wonderful outside. Down to 8.3, seems lower than surrounding areas, but that's what it is reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
threeyoda Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 New PHL map showing what I'm assuming is 10-12 in Eastern Sussex extending into Western Passaic and 8-10 in Morris extending into Eastern Passaic and Northern Essex. NYC has Passaic and Essex in the 6-8 range on its most recent (9:30pm) map. Quite the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Don't freak out over the radar. The storm will keep backbuilding west and should build in intensity overhead as the low shifts north and tilts more negatively. EVery model has good snow over the entire area for at least 6-8 more hours. This isn't going to just shift east-it should pivot back more and more, although it will never have the complete classic look like with Boxing Day 2010. Exactly! Things are going to really pick up in a few hours as the second part of the storm gets going and heavier bands begin to develop. These bands can develop anywhere. Those in Northern areas need not worry because you will have better snow ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Low now 995MB off Hatteras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I'd say roughly 3 inches here in Lindenhurst (SW Suffolk). Just eyeballing it though. Coming down a bit lighter the past half hour or so after steady mod snow before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Dropped to 19 degrees in southern Brooklyn already! Looks like the 4k NAM might be right with low single digits for NYC tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 New PHL map showing what I'm assuming is 10-12 in Eastern Sussex extending into Western Passaic and 8-10 in Morris extending into Eastern Passaic and Northern Essex. NYC has Passaic and Essex in the 6-8 range on its most recent (9:30pm) map. Quite the difference. really have a hard time seeing thast verify in northern counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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