Avdave Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Why laugh at ice? It is helping keep my margarita cold Shut up you drunkin fool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Pins and needles as KING EURO brings us back in in two hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Can we go one day without my thread being ruined by snot or poo or phlegm or ear wax or toe jam posts? Not if I can help it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Bob, relatively speaking, an inch or two won't make me happy at this point. I really want to break the losing streak. I know this storm won't do it, but I won't be thrilled over pity flakes. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Well, high hopes on this one were never warranted. It could surprise with 2-4". It's possible given the setup. I'm at 3.75 on the year. If I get 2" I'm just about halfway to my annual expectations of 12". And it's only the first week of Jan. The best part of submersed expectations is anything on the ground is fine. None of that is untrue. That said, each chance of snow is precious around here (they just don't come around that often) and each one that doesn't break our areas ridiculous snowstorm drought is a missed opportunity. Hell, we are only a few weeks from Ian starting his yearly sun angle trolling. In any event, I wouldn't mind a crazy surprise to our favor for a change. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Not to shabby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I pulled a eardaho potato the size of an almond out of my sons head yesterday. I wish I could pull one out of my own head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 None of that is untrue. That said, each chance of snow is precious around here (they just don't come around that often) and each one that doesn't break our areas ridiculous snowstorm drought is a missed opportunity. Hell, we are only a few weeks from Ian starting his yearly sun angle trolling. In any event, I wouldn't mind a crazy surprise to our favor for a change. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I would put the odds of dca-bwi getting 2" at around 25% or so. Matt and co probably think that is way bullish but I can't ignore the vort pass. It's not bad even if the flow is all jacked up in front. That's the only reason though. If trends flatten it over the next couple days then we'll keep doing what we do best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I have no idea what the infatuation with New England is all about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 As various people have said in one way or another, the less you check the models, the more satisfied you are with the snow you get. For this one, it really was the 12Z run of the Euro yesterday that "messed" people up. Timeline for this event so far- End of last week: Potential exists, but messy Saturday: Euro run with unlikely evolution brings hope, but everyone knows to temper the hope since we are still a freakin' week away. Mid-day runs already start to go warm/less ideal Sunday: Solutions start to either warm or go dry Monday: We stopped expecting anything with dismal runs for the area- no snow Tuesday: 12Z GFS and 12Z Euro throw in the 3"+ numbers into people's heads;for some, the Euro implanted a 4"+ hope Wednesday (today): Darn hard to get that 4"+ hope from one model run out of weenie's heads. 1-2" would be a disappointment to many now, even though other than yesterday, nothing major ever looked probable, and 1-2" out of this would be a victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I would put the odds of dca-bwi getting 2" at around 25% or so. Matt and co probably think that is way bullish but I can't ignore the vort pass. It's not bad even if the flow is all jacked up in front. That's the only reason though. If trends flatten it over the next couple days then we'll keep doing what we do best. I think that is reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Can we go one day without my thread being ruined by snot or poo or phlegm or ear wax or toe jam posts? Leylands are okay, I guess? Cool. I'm heading out now to do another section of serious trimming so that they don't droop from the 6 - 12" the euro is going to give us this afternoon. But I'll be checking my phone from 12 feet up so I don't miss out on the free advice that Matt and Ian are offering up to the few pattern thread numbnutzes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I think that is reasonable If the euro improves at the surface and ul's from last night then I'll probably start buying into accum snow. If anything, the threat of a total dryslot whiff seems on the decline. And since we get our precip late with the ul energy we are solidly below freezing at the surface. Best snow (whatever that means) falls after dark too. Hard to get mad at those signs. But we'll see in 45 mins or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 If the euro improves at the surface and ul's from last night then I'll probably start buying into accum snow. If anything, the threat of a total dryslot whiff seems on the decline. And since we get our precip late with the ul energy we are solidly below freezing at the surface. Hard to get mad at those signs. But we'll see in 45 mins or so. The main plus is it's at night. Sun angle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The main plus is it's at night. Sun angle. I just went back and edited my post. Sounds like you are on board too. Euro is going to CRUSH us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 You should just have an epic meltdown now so you won't have to do so in two days The B has been sleeping through most of the night recently, so I'm right in the head now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 As various people have said in one way or another, the less you check the models, the more satisfied you are with the snow you get. For this one, it really was the 12Z run of the Euro yesterday that "messed" people up. Timeline for this event so far- End of last week: Potential exists, but messy Saturday: Euro run with unlikely evolution brings hope, but everyone knows to temper the hope since we are still a freakin' week away. Mid-day runs already start to go warm/less ideal Sunday: Solutions start to either warm or go dry Monday: We stopped expecting anything with dismal runs for the area- no snow Tuesday: 12Z GFS and 12Z Euro throw in the 3"+ numbers into people's heads;for some, the Euro implanted a 4"+ hope Wednesday (today): Darn hard to get that 4"+ hope from one model run out of weenie's heads. 1-2" would be a disappointment to many now, even though other than yesterday, nothing major ever looked probable, and 1-2" out of this would be a victory. It is Tuesday. I'm waiting on the 18Z update from snowbong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I have no idea what the infatuation with New England is all about. Jealousy. I just think about mud season and April/May back door fronts, and any jealousy I might feel about the kind of snow they can get is immediately alleviated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 There's this huge reply all e-mail chain going around in my dept right now. Make it stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 lol ensemble members 2 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Jealousy. I just think about mud season and April/May back door fronts, and any jealousy I might feel about the kind of snow they can get is immediately alleviated. Yep. I agree with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 If the euro improves at the surface and ul's from last night then I'll probably start buying into accum snow. If anything, the threat of a total dryslot whiff seems on the decline. And since we get our precip late with the ul energy we are solidly below freezing at the surface. Hard to get mad at those signs. But we'll see in 45 mins or so. The main plus is it's at night. Sun angle. Applause. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 lol ensemble members 2 days out. um, that's 72 hour panels so 3 days. ktnxbi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 um, that's 72 hour panels so 3 days. ktnxbi I hope the Euro crushes your soul. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I hope the Euro crushes your soul. I have little doubt I lied anyway. It was 66hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Are we talking weather or the whole package? Better scenery, better snowfall, better summers, better outdoor activities, Boston is nicer than DC or Bmore, imo, etc. Negatives would be mud season, 40s in May, no real serious beach season, etc. My wife and I agreed a long time ago that if the opportunity ever presents itself to move to Boston, we're out. I have no idea what the infatuation with New England is all about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Looks like some snow shower troops are building to our north along the border. Maybe we can get a few stray flurries in here this afternoon. Of course, they'd probably be sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Gonna be hilarious when Dr. Yes reels everyone back in again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The B has been sleeping through most of the night recently, so I'm right in the head now. I'm pretty sure I got maybe 4hrs of sleep last night and most of that was on the couch with K cuddled up in the nook of my arm. Not sure what's going on with her. When down fine at 8, woke up at 11 and it was 2am when I finally gave up and moved her to the couch with me. I'm tired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Long live the psuhoffman storm. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Looks like dream of having jury duty snowed out on Friday is dead. Sad face. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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