Record Breaking Cold January 3-4 & 7-8 Discussion & Observations

[Hailstorm]

Already down to 13 in Brooklyn with a north winds gusting to 35 MPH. Sub-zero looking more likely.

[Hailstorm]

What a joke.

 

I think city hits 3-4 degrees tonight.

Lonnie busted low on snowfall for the overall area. He always downplays hurricanes, severe t-storms and winter storms.

[Snowshack]

12F here

[SnowGoose69]

FOK already went down 3 degrees with the wind blowing, they may have 15 degree hourly drop as soon as the winds drop off

[doncat]

Last below zero temp here was jan 1994 and last zero reading was jan 2004... hopefully will crack zero tonight.

[hudsonvalley21]

9F here

[patrick05]

i'm just wondering, why are the lows for Mon and Tue much higher than the forecast lows for tonight?? Aren't we going to have -20 to -22c 850mb temps next week (based on EURO and GFS) and assuming we still have "some" snowcover left, we should easily reach near zero temps by then, right??

[Guest Pamela]

I see the MOS has them -4 and -1 respectively, I'm trying to remember the coldest they have gotten in the last 10 years, I thought they got to -15 or -20 during February 03 at some point but can't remember.

I think they had two exceptional mornings in January 2009...one was -14 F and the other -15 F...amazing.

[bluewave]

We should pass these lows again before midnight.

 

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
511 PM EST FRI JAN 03 2014

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT KENNEDY NY...

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 10 DEGREES WAS SET AT KENNEDY NY TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 14 SET IN 2008.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
507 PM EST FRI JAN 03 2014

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT LAGUARDIA NY...

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 11 DEGREES WAS SET AT LAGUARDIA NY
TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 12 SET IN 1981.

 

 

[sferic]

^{13.8 in Lynbrook}

^{2.1 in Liberty NY}

 

^{Upstate definitely -10 or better}

^{Here on Long Island 0 to +5}

[SnoSki14]

I find it odd the gfs sort of backed off on the extreme cold for Monday night and Tuesday when 850s will be much colder than they are right now, likely sub -20C. 

[patrick05]

Upton now expecting -3F for a low in KISP...

[TWCCraig]

HRRR is already too cold for the area. As of 23z, it had temps around 0 already in some areas in NJ. Has yet to happen.

[SnowGoose69]

FRG observer has good vision this hour...

 

FRG  032300 METAR 032255Z 28009KT 50SM FEW080 SCT120 BKN220 10/M01 A2963
 

[TWCCraig]

FRG observer has good vision this hour...

 

FRG  032300 METAR 032255Z 28009KT 50SM FEW080 SCT120 BKN220 10/M01 A2963

 

 

Yeah, posted that in banter. 50 degrees lol, yeah right.

[WE GOT HIM]

14 Here in Queens 13 hours to go...

[allgame830]

8/-1 with a real feel of -2

[TWCCraig]

Winds all of a sudden went calm.

[Animal]

Just dropped below zero in Highland Lakes, NJ

Temp -1F

[RutgersWx92]

9.9F here at 7 pm.

[bluewave]

It looks like the GFS MOS is doing pretty well as it has NYC at 13 at 7 pm.

My guess is that Central Park bottoms out around 5-7 degrees as the MOS

has a low of 7.

NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC   GFS MOS GUIDANCE    1/03/2014  1800 UTC                       DT /JAN   4                  /JAN   5                /JAN   6        HR   00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 12 18  N/X               7          29          28          47       45     TMP  13 10  9  8  9 17 24 26 27 29 29 29 31 37 43 44 44 47 48 48 44  DPT  -4 -8-10 -7 -5 -3  3 10 16 19 18 21 23 27 31 35 39 44 45 46 36 

[Wannabehippie]

14 Here in Queens 13 hours to go...

I do not think we will quite hit 0 in Queens.  probably low single digits around 3-4 degrees.

[supermeh]

6

[Hailstorm]

Down to 11 in Brooklyn. I think tonight is the only chance for this winter for us get below zero. I think a lot of the areas in the outer boroughs do it tonight though. But I don't like seeing modeled lows being only 3 degrees lower than modeled highs for Tuesday. How in the world does that happen? We easily have lows that are 15-20 degrees colder than daytime highs in usual days of winter.

[Stormlover74]

I do not think we will quite hit 0 in Queens. probably low single digits around 3-4 degrees.

I'm sure LGA will manage to hold at 9

[uncle W]

tonight we have 6-10" of snow on the ground to help with the cold...This is a list of NYC's coldest temperatures and how much if any snow was on the ground...

date................temp........snow depth

01/10/2004..........1..........none

01/16/2004..........1..........5"

01/27/1994..........0..........7"

01/19/1994.........-2..........5"

01/21/1985.........-2..........3"

01/17/1982..........0..........5"

12/25/1980.........-1..........T

02/18/1979..........0..........3"

01/17/1977.........-2..........6"

01/23/1976.........-1..........1"

01/09/1968.........-1..........3"

02/08/1963.........-2..........none

02/02/1961.........-2..........8"

01/15/1957..........0..........none

02/03/1955..........0..........3"

01/31/1948..........0..........10"

12/20/1942.........-4..........1"

01/15/1943.........-8..........2"

some other years...

12/30/1933.........-6..........9"

02/09/1934.......-15..........3"

12/30/1917.......-13..........3"

02/05/1918.........-6..........6"

02/10/1899.........-6..........6"

01/24/1882.........-6..........T

[NEXtreme]

Down to 11 in Brooklyn. I think tonight is the only chance for this winter for us get below zero. I think a lot of the areas in the outer boroughs do it tonight though. But I don't like seeing modeled lows being only 3 degrees lower than modeled highs for Tuesday. How in the world does that happen? We easily have lows that are 15-20 degrees colder than daytime highs in usual days of winter.

Next weeks shot is actually much colder and more then likely hitting 0 or below. But let's see what happens tonight as the night is still young.

[WE GOT HIM]

I do not think we will quite hit 0 in Queens.  probably low single digits around 3-4 degrees.

Yea down to 12 now.... I think I can get below 5

[RutgersWx92]

Down to 11 in Brooklyn. I think tonight is the only chance for this winter for us get below zero. I think a lot of the areas in the outer boroughs do it tonight though. But I don't like seeing modeled lows being only 3 degrees lower than modeled highs for Tuesday. How in the world does that happen? We easily have lows that are 15-20 degrees colder than daytime highs in usual days of winter.

I think it's because the core of the arctic air mass with the coldest 850s is over us during the day on Tuesday.

 

My thermometer is down to 5.1F here at 8 PM.  Seems a little low compared to surrounding obs but hopefully it's accurate.

[Wannabehippie]

Next weeks shot is actually much colder and more then likely hitting 0 or below. But let's see what happens tonight as the night is still young.

But next week, won't we be hindered by the lack of a snow pack (at least near the coast, NYC, LI), after Sun/mon warmup and rain?