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Record Breaking Cold January 3-4 & 7-8 Discussion & Observations

bluewave

By bluewave,
in New York City Metro

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Stormlover74

Stormlover74

Posted
Posted

The warmth ahead of the arctic onslaught tonight looks to have been significantly under-forecast:

KNYC:

GFS MOS 6z (1am): 42

Actual: 52

KPHL:

MOS: 42

Actual: 54

Models are usually clueless in these warm front situations. It stayed colder than expected much of the day but the warm air moved in sooner as well. We'll see if temps keep climbing through the 50s or hold where they are.

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bluewave

bluewave

Posted
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Posted

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
842 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM MONTAUK POINT NY TO SANDY HOOK NJ FROM 20 TO 40 NM...
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM...

* UNTIL 1015 AM EST...

* AT 840 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG WINDS OF 40 KNOTS ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING EAST AT 35 KT
INTO NEW YORK CITY AND EASTERN NEW JERSEY.

* THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE NEAR...
MIDDLE BAY...ENTRANCE TO NEW YORK HARBOR AROUND 925 AM...
ENTRANCE TO NEW YORK HARBOR AROUND 930 AM...
FIRE ISLAND INLET AROUND 945 AM...
BUOY 44025 AROUND 1010 AM...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...AND INCREASING WAVES.
BOATERS..ESPECIALLY THOSE UNDER SAIL...SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL THE HIGH WINDS SUBSIDE.


 
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Stormlover74

Stormlover74

Posted
Posted

I just want to bring up the fact that EWR is at 58 degrees right now with a forecasted low of 7 tonight, a drop of 50+ degrees :o

Not to mention that's a 33 degree jump from yesterday at this time. I went from 38 to 49 in a matter of minutes around 230 this morning and it just kept going up to 56..after the squall I dropped 7 degrees. Giving the thermometers a work out for sure

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SRRTA22

SRRTA22

Posted
Posted

Not to mention that's a 33 degree jump from yesterday at this time. I went from 38 to 49 in a matter of minutes around 230 this morning and it just kept going up to 56..after the squall I dropped 7 degrees. Giving the thermometers a work out for sure

weirdest week of weather I could recall, it's actually pretty amazing.

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doncat

doncat

Posted
Posted

Not to mention that's a 33 degree jump from yesterday at this time. I went from 38 to 49 in a matter of minutes around 230 this morning and it just kept going up to 56..after the squall I dropped 7 degrees. Giving the thermometers a work out for sure

Some large daily temp ranges. Yesterday my range was 44-12 and today 56 to probably 18 or so by midnight.
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RutgersWx92

RutgersWx92

Posted
Posted

Not to mention that's a 33 degree jump from yesterday at this time. I went from 38 to 49 in a matter of minutes around 230 this morning and it just kept going up to 56..after the squall I dropped 7 degrees. Giving the thermometers a work out for sure

Rutgers went from 9 degrees at 3 am yesterday morning to 55 degrees at 3 am this morning...that's a 46 degree temperature rise.

 

SMQ went from 0 degrees at 6 am yesterday morning to 53 degrees at 6 am this morning, a 53 degree temperature rise.

 

Pretty amazing.

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Hailstorm

Hailstorm

Posted
Posted

Surprised no one mentioned this:

 

 


Wind Chill Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
420 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014

...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE TRI-STATE AREA
FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...

CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-080-
176>179-061830-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WC.Y.0001.140107T0500Z-140107T2300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-
WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
420 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT...AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK EXCEPT FOR EASTERN LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS COLD AND WIND.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW ZERO IN ORANGE...PUTNAM
AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES...AND 15 BELOW ELSEWHERE.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...DROPPING TO THE SINGLE DIGITS TONIGHT...AND
RISING ONLY TO 8 TO 13 ABOVE ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE BITTER COLD AND WIND COULD
LEAD TO FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

Having this WCA issued is a win in my book, even if we don't go below zero. I don't think a WCA was issued for NYC in at least a decade. Can anyone confirm this fact?

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