buckeye Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 ukie still the most amped....takes sub 1000 low to around Bloomington, IN....would almost bring mixing isses to Indy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I'm digging 8-12" for LAF. Higher upside to the southeast around Indy, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I'm digging 8-12" for LAF. Higher upside to the southeast around Indy, etc. I think you're perfect and have the always nice wiggle room for when the last minute NW trend emerges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I think you're perfect and have the always nice wiggle room for when the last minute NW trend emerges. Can't say I disagree. But, I'll ride jackpot to the south/southeast for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Can't say I disagree. But, I'll ride jackpot to the south/southeast for now. It's the safe call and I wouldn't be going with 2.1 IMBY if I thought a NW trend was inevitable. That said, the 850 WAA being shown later this evening into early Sat gives me pause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 2.1 call looking money I'll take the over for YBY. I'm headed up to Muskegon/Norton Shores, MI for the weekend... hopefully this can put down a few fresh inches up there as I'm bringing the skis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 ukie still the most amped....takes sub 1000 low to around Bloomington, IN....would almost bring mixing isses to Indy just like the good ole days, it's been laughably south a few times this year so it's nice to see it getting back to basics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 My first guess for LAF would be around 9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I'd go DDs at LAF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 best way to compare one run from previous is to open both in the same browser and then click back and forth on the tabs, it's an exact overlay and there's no mistaking the trends....you'll see what is actually happening vs. what you want to see. Also the COD weather models have a 'Compare Runs' feature where you can fade back and forth. Give it a try if you haven't http://weather.cod.edu/forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 WSW for entire IWX CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 ukie still the most amped....takes sub 1000 low to around Bloomington, IN....would almost bring mixing isses to Indy UKie goes boom boom by day 3. Sub 990mb near Parry Sound, On. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 For the most part, Alek's storm was modeled well days ahead, and so has this one. The main swath of snow has been remarkably the same. There is going to be no "BOOM", no "crazy" trends in the models to emerge today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I'd go DDs at LAF I'd go DDs anywhere but I'll take a nice snowcover refresher before the cold comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 WSW for entire IWX CWA. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA1109 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014...INCREASING CHANCES FOR WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA STARTINGSATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY EVENING....A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE REGIONBEGINNING AS EARLY AS SATURDAY EVENING AND PERSISTING THROUGH ATLEAST SUNDAY EVENING.A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHTSNOW SPREADING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. AT THIS TIME...LIGHTACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT. GREATER CONCERN LIESWITH LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS ITTRACKS FROM ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING TO OHIO SUNDAY NIGHT.SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO POSSIBLY AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES IS POSSIBLEBY SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WINDSARE EXPECTED STARTING SUNDAY...CAUSING BLOWING AND DRIFTINGSNOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES.AS WINDS INCREASE AND COLDER AIR ARRIVES...WIND CHILLS WILLQUICKLY DROP BELOW ZERO LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHTWITH VALUES OF 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO DURING THE WATCH PERIOD. VALUESIN THE 30 TO 45 BELOW ZERO RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGHTUESDAY.THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL THIS WEEKEND SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTSAND BE PREPARED TO ADJUST PLANS ACCORDINGLY.INZ006>009-015>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-040015-/O.NEW.KIWX.WS.A.0001.140105T0600Z-140106T0600Z/LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA...ANGOLA...FREMONT...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN...GARRETT...ROCHESTER...AKRON...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...MONON...LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...COLDWATER...BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE1109 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGHLATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED AWINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHTTHROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY EVENING. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.IMPACTS... * ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED...SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. DRIFTING SNOW MAY CAUSE ALL ROADWAYS TO BECOME PARTIALLY IMPASSABLE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME. * VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS BOTH IN HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS AND BLOWING SNOW.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 WSW for entire IWX CWA.they go big too, mentioning a foot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 For the most part, Alek's storm was modeled well days ahead, and so has this one. The main swath of snow has been remarkably the same. There is going to be no "BOOM", no "crazy" trends in the models to emerge today. you're probably correct...this seems locked and loaded but they're totally different monsters, especially at 500. Not to mention a 20-30 mile shift will be the difference between an inch or two and warning criteria snows across Chicagoland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 UKie goes boom boom by day 3. Sub 990mb near Parry Sound, On. 140103161826.gif Wow Ukie has a blitz! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 looks like ggem held....a tad stronger, slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 looks like ggem held....a tad stronger, slower slower has potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I'd go DDs at LAF waiting for the NAM to go gangbusters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 looks like ggem held....a tad stronger, slower The track shifted a bit SE too. 00z GGEM had it going over Cleveland. EDIT: Basically, just a slightly stronger 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 LOT just issued a watch. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL1020 AM CST FRI JAN 3 2014ILZ023-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019-040030-/O.NEW.KLOT.WS.A.0001.140105T0000Z-140106T0600Z//O.CON.KLOT.WW.Y.0013.140103T2200Z-140104T1500Z/KANKAKEE-IROQUOIS-FORD-LAKE IN-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KANKAKEE...WATSEKA...PAXTON...GARY...VALPARAISO...MOROCCO...RENSSELAER...FOWLER1020 AM CST FRI JAN 3 2014 /1120 AM EST FRI JAN 3 2014/...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM CST /5 PMEST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM CST /10 AM EST/ SATURDAY......WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGHSUNDAY EVENING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORMWATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAYEVENING.FOR THE WINTER STORM WATCH* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AS EARLY ASSATURDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SNOW INTENSITIES APPEAR TOINCREASE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE SNOWSHOULD ABATE BY SUNDAY EVENING.* MAIN IMPACT...THE POTENTIAL FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW SATURDAYNIGHT INTO SUNDAY COULD RESULT IN 6 OR MORE INCHES OF NEW SNOWACCUMULATION. THIS COULD MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS ACROSS THEAREA.* OTHER IMPACTS...PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW...ALONG WITH SOME STIFFNORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH COULD RESULT IN CONSIDERABLEBLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Nice shift by the US models. Sent from my HTC6435LVW using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Ukmet and GEM both biblical for the immediate STL metro to the ENE. Really back to Springfield MO to Indy or so along that path then more NE I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Just updated by ILX... Coordination currently ongoing with neighboring offices regardingthe posting of a winter storm watch for about the southeast halfof the forecast area, for the weekend storm system. This productwill likely be put out in the next couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 waiting for the NAM to go gangbusters Ya, no crazy clown maps from the NAM yet but 18z is coming up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 My forecast. Might be a little to high on the NW side or a little to low on the SE side but overall I feel pretty good about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbotc Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Just updated by ILX... Coordination currently ongoing with neighboring offices regarding the posting of a winter storm watch for about the southeast half of the forecast area, for the weekend storm system. This product will likely be put out in the next couple hours. I swear, it's like they wait until everyone else posts up their warnings and then decide "Well, maybe we should pay attention and get a watch up..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 12z GEM looks like a huge hit for the S On crew. Stronger, wetter and track slightly further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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