Chicago WX Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 WSW for the IND CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Here are some of the latest numbers for YYZ. Pretty good consensus for 4-7" of snow on the global models. Hopefully meso models can trend SE and bump up QPF a bit. 6z GFS cobb: 7.5" 6z NAM cobb: 4.5" 0z euro text: 5-6" EC ENS: 5-6" SREF mean: 4-5" 0z GEM: 5-6" I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Here are some of the latest numbers for YYZ. Pretty good consensus for 4-7" of snow on the global models. Hopefully meso models can trend SE and bump up QPF a bit. 6z GFS cobb: 7.5" 6z NAM cobb: 4.5" 0z euro text: 5-6" EC ENS: 5-6" SREF mean: 4-5" 0z GEM: 5-6" The slight NW trend seems to have moved the precip shield a little far west for my liking. Those big snow totals the EURO showed yesterday seemed to have quickly slipped away. Still looks like we get pretty close to the LP center so hopefully we can still generate winds good enough for blizzard conditions. Personally just hoping for some wicked whiteouts on this system. We've got a pretty good snowpack down already and had some good snowfall this year so I'm fine with a bit less accumulation on this system if we can trade it in for zero visibility. Like some other posters, I have also never experienced blizzard conditions so this is really what I'm hoping for with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 4km NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 WSW for the IND CWA. If the rest of the 12z runs play ball, LOT may be able to roll their ground blizzard WWA into a 3-5" WWA. Might spend half the week under a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ilstormchaser Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Am making an early call for me of 3-6 inches. Just in time as it looks like my new snow thrower will be arriving today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 The slight NW trend seems to have moved the precip shield a little far west for my liking. Those big snow totals the EURO showed yesterday seemed to have quickly slipped away. Still looks like we get pretty close to the LP center so hopefully we can still generate winds good enough for blizzard conditions. Personally just hoping for some wicked whiteouts on this system. We've got a pretty good snowpack down already and had some good snowfall this year so I'm fine with a bit less accumulation on this system if we can trade it in for zero visibility. Like some other posters, I have also never experienced blizzard conditions so this is really what I'm hoping for with this system. Agreed. Don't want the slp to track right over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 not too bad....looks like the 12z ggem might move a shave east from 00z if that foretells anything. (need all the help, nudges, wiggles, jiggles, and bumps I can find) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 not too bad....looks like the 12z ggem might move a shave east from 00z if that foretells anything. (need all the help, nudges, wiggles, jiggles, and bumps I can find) Eh, I think at this point, the only thing we can say is that we likely won't be in the heavier totals, either rain or snow. It's one of those situations where 50 miles northwest of the city is in a great position while we deal with mix issues and/or less precipitation overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Agreed. Don't want the slp to track right over us. 12z NAM verbatim has a thin layer of warm air(>0c) between 950 and 1000mb. Would likely end up being a really wet snow or RNSN mix with that type of SLP track. Good thing it is on the NW end of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Might as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 slightly higher heights so far out to 24 compared to 6z but no big changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 slightly higher heights so far out to 24 compared to 6z but no big changes going to be lame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 GFS continues trends of more digging then a sharp blow up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 weaker and less dig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 GFS continues trends of more digging then a sharp blow up huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 NAM had me worried but RGEM and GFS look solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 NAM had me worried but RGEM and GFS look solid. GFS has widespread 7-9" amounts through the GTA. RGEM looks like its going to be pretty sick as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Through 78 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 NAM had me worried but RGEM and GFS look solid. Good start to 12z models so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 low is hair weaker/slower but more or less the same as 6z. If 6z GFS was good for you, 12z will be as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 GFS has widespread 7-9" amounts through the GTA. RGEM looks like its going to be pretty sick as well. Just need the EURO to edge SE and we can put 12z/3 safely in the + camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 2.1 call looking money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 low is hair weaker/slower but more or less the same as 6z. If 6z GFS was good for you, 12z will be as well. yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Just need the EURO to edge SE and we can put 12z/3 safely in the + camp. nice being back on the same team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Not contest thread Alek? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Not contest thread Alek? lol they aren't as fun inside 48 hrs, this one snuck up too quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 If the GFS were to verify, the whole state of Indiana would have 6+ That would be awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 GFS continues trends of more digging then a sharp blow up best way to compare one run from previous is to open both in the same browser and then click back and forth on the tabs, it's an exact overlay and there's no mistaking the trends....you'll see what is actually happening vs. what you want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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