Geos Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Snow map??? Well this is at 10:1 only. Have to wait till the cm version comes out with the better take on accum's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I don't think this was mentioned yet but the 0z runs had partial sampling where they didn't have any earlier today. very true! 12z runs will have at least a 50% sampling if not more. and 0z runs tmrw night should be pretty close to settling a track. you think the nw trend will continue? we saw this very same thing happen with the storm right before Xmas. shifted nw quite a bit at the last second after sampling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 The NOGAPS of all models has been the most consistent (in terms of bombing out the system). And this remains the case for the 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 very true! 12z runs will have at least a 50% sampling if not more. and 0z runs tmrw night should be pretty close to settling a track. you think the nw trend will continue? we saw this very same thing happen with the storm right before Xmas. shifted nw quite a bit at the last second after sampling. A NW shift would mean a much stronger system honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 The NOGAPS of all models has been the most consistent (in terms of bombing out the system). And this remains the case for the 00z run. NOGAPS ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Unless the Euro comes south, I think I'm going to be looking at a mainly rain situation. Go figure, the consequences of living along the Ohio River. If only it would shift 50 miles to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I want step by step euro plays. lol. im eagerly waiting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I want step by step euro plays. lol. im eagerly waiting http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php/showmap-ecmwf.php?run=2014010300®ion=USA&var=PRMSL_msl&hour=048 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I want step by step euro plays. lol. im eagerly waiting You can view maps as they update on this site; http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php/showmap-ecmwf.php?run=2014010300®ion=USA&var=PRMSL_msl&hour=048 Just refresh the page once in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 At hour 48, southern vort max centered slightly further east. EDIT: At hour 60, PV digging further south and is more phased in. Looks like its going to come in further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 This run might come in NW/stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 This run might come in NW/stronger. really? a few people are saying it looked slightly SE from previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 This run might come in NW/stronger. PV seems to be digging just a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 1004mb over buckeye @ 72hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 This run might come in NW/stronger. It's not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 First and last call for the QC 0-1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Precip shield is farther north. Advisory level snows up into ORD on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Baby steppin' north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Euro shows about 5-8" for the GTA based on the maps. Heaviest snows just north of the area. If the UKMET were exploited further, it would be the same as the 0z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 so did the low track actually shift north? or just the precip shield? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 .27" at DPA .34" at ORD .41" at MDW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 .27" at DPA .34" at ORD .41" at MDW Have BTL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Have BTL? .70" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 so did the low track actually shift north? or just the precip shield? Precip expanded north some, track stayed the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 so did the low track actually shift north? or just the precip shield? SLP track stayed about the same on up through OH. Precip shield is where the difference is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Anybody have any clue how much of SFD's precip was snow on the EURO? I know we get about 0.60 worth of precip but I'm guessing a lot of that is rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 SLP track stayed about the same on up through OH. Precip shield is where the difference is. got to watch where the HP positions too. seems like it may have been more south on this run. models struggled with that to for the GHD blizzard. not sayin this system is like that but remember the models shifting that high around a lot. another thing to watch for that my buddy mentioned is if digging happens in the northern stream vs the southern stream. if it happens in the northern stream that will pull the system more NW. lots of factors to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 .70" Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 King thru 72 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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