The_Global_Warmer Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 UKMET DROPS 15-20" ALONG 64/70 IN THE STL METRO TOWARDS INDY. HOLY GOD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:37 AM, The_Global_Warmer said: UKMET DROPS 15-20" ALONG 64/70 IN THE STL METRO TOWARDS INDY. HOLY GOD! I bet you will be awake to see the ukie's uncle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:37 AM, The_Global_Warmer said: UKMET DROPS 15-20" ALONG 64/70 IN THE STL METRO TOWARDS INDY. HOLY GOD! Hate to break it to you, but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 wish it could come farther north. I missed completely on this last one and look to do the same on the next. Cold and NO snow is NO fun lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:37 AM, The_Global_Warmer said: UKMET DROPS 15-20" ALONG 64/70 IN THE STL METRO TOWARDS INDY. HOLY GOD! What about into Ohio then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Latest GGEM looks about the same as the GFS and the 12z Suite. Maybe a touch further East. However, the PV digs a bit further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Now one hour until the KING SPEAKS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Overall, UKMET is definitely a bit slower than the GGEM and especially the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbotc Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:34 AM, Central Illinois said: pretty impressive trends tonight so far... Now to see if ILX issues a WWA or just a SWS. Man, they avoid WSWs like the plague (woke up to 9" without a warning a few weeks back). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:48 AM, kbotc said: Now to see if ILX issues a WWA or just a SWS. Man, they avoid WSWs like the plague (woke up to 9" without a warning a few weeks back). ya i know what you mean I had 8.5"...im guessing you will see the typical SWS while LSX goes WSW wouldn't surprise me at all if things keep trending the way of the 00z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:44 AM, Snowstorms said: Latest GGEM looks about the same as the GFS and the 12z Suite. Maybe a touch further East. However, the PV digs a bit further south. GEM trended west on the latest run. LP tracks from 1002mb over S IL to near fort erie and up west of Montreal as a 995mb storm. Would be looking at some mixing issues with that setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azcards1014 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Blizzard you think mixing issues for GTA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:50 AM, blizzardof96 said: GEM trended west on the latest run. LP tracks from 1002mb over S IL to near fort erie and up west of Montreal as a 995mb storm. Would be looking at some mixing issues with that setup. Yes, the differences in this run is that the system is a bit quicker but also a bit northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Close call here. GGEM and UKIE would introduce mixing issues. GFS is almost all snow but not quite. Either way...looks like this storm will "spread the wealth." Some get a little more rich than others! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Taking a closer look at the GEM, the northern branch feature/PV are positioned very similar to the euro(albeit a little bit faster) but the southern vort does not dig quite as much so the eventual track of the storm is further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/2/2014 at 11:25 PM, Harry Perry said: I think it's safe to say many will have an extended vacay. Already told my daughter to expect up to 3 snow days next week. Drifting already significant in the out-county roads around here. Can only imagine what even 6-8 more wind driven snow would do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:48 AM, kab2791 said: Overall, UKMET is definitely a bit slower than the GGEM and especially the GFS.Remember last year I saw model scores and ukmet did well. Just curious how its doing this year. Haven't seen it mentioned much on here or AFD's. Thinking gfs has the best score? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:50 AM, blizzardof96 said: GEM trended west on the latest run. LP tracks from 1002mb over S IL to near fort erie and up west of Montreal as a 995mb storm. Would be looking at some mixing issues with that setup. Actually, based on the precip charts, the mixing stays confined towards the Niagara region. The GTA sees all snow on the GGEM. And my mistake. The black and white charts can be hard to decipher especially given the lengthy time frames between each image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ilstormchaser Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I see no reason why not ILX is going to issue a WSW for a good chunk of their area. Most likely not their NW zones. It's looking great especially with the good ratios as some have mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Riding a thin line here but if I manage to crack 3", I will surpass the seasonal average snowfall total for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:57 AM, ilstormchaser said: I see no reason why not ILX is going to issue a WSW watch for a good chunk of their area. Most likely not their NW zones. It's looking great especially with the good ratios as some have mentioned. We know how ILX likes to wait until the last minute for things lol. I would def. expect LSX to though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 4:56 AM, Snowstorms said: Actually, based on the precip charts, the mixing stays confined towards the Niagara region. The GTA sees all snow on the GGEM. And my mistake. The black and white charts can be hard to decipher especially given the lengthy time frames between each image. Your right... taking a closer look at the 6 hourly maps the centre of LP actually travels from cleveland to buffalo and we do stay as all snow. Really nice hit actually but YYZ is riding the line very closely with mixing line along the canada/U.S NY border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 does anyone have maps from ukmet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QcSevereWx Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 lol are you ready ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 5:08 AM, StormChaser4Life said: does anyone have maps from ukmet? These are good sites: http://www.plainsweather.com/wxmap/model/ukmet/ http://www.greatlakes.salsite.com/UKMET_plots.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I don't think this was mentioned yet but the 0z runs had partial sampling where they didn't have any earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 GGEM with a sharp gradient as well. Warning snows up to ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 0z UKMET: Obviously there's more precip before 48, but sometimes GEMPAK hates me and doesn't do what I tell it to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 5:22 AM, Geos said: GGEM with a sharp gradient as well. Warning snows up to ORD. Snow map??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 On 1/3/2014 at 5:06 AM, blizzardof96 said: Your right... taking a closer look at the 6 hourly maps the centre of LP actually travels from cleveland to buffalo and we do stay as all snow. Really nice hit actually but YYZ is riding the line very closely with mixing line along the canada/U.S NY border. Yes, but were going to have to monitor possible CAD working in once the precip starts. The aided snow cover and expansive ice coverage over the Lakes should definitely help in this situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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