Tornadomachine Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Looks a little cold for my house early Friday. Maybe some fluff, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Do we dare post about the NAM through 54? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Do we dare post about the NAM through 54? Eh, I wanna see the whole thing pull itself together. Nice to see another Pepperellite! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 NAM at 60. Cave to Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I thought matt noyes said we were getting 40"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Anybody have the feeling (trending) that this just doesn't get it's act together? I'm on the train, bus whatever but not convinced this is modeled correctly. A very revealing 00Z suite, biggest since 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Bernie rayno had a nice video. Extremely bullish for at least a foot for southeast sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 srefs and NAM look like poo. that's clad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildcard Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Bernie rayno had a nice video. Extremely bullish for at least a foot for southeast sne He didn't really specify any area of SNE. If memory serves, he stated SNE, in general, would be the bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 srefs and NAM look like poo. that's clad. Miserable. You need help? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 NAM has a nice s/w rounding the trough in the MA. Only issue I saw was more SW flow ahead of the S/W and it was not able to buckle the flow really. But, it's the NAM so who cares really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Anybody want a doughnut? It's kind of oblong, but the NAM's paying! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Anybody have the feeling (trending) that this just doesn't get it's act together? I'm on the train, bus whatever but not convinced this is modeled correctly. A very revealing 00Z suite, biggest since 12Z. It's easy to forget sometimes how many different atmospheric components need to come together just right to cook up a decent coastal storm and have it go between the uprights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Miserable. You need help? ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I like seeing CAPE modeled from the srfc to 880mb and this happens to be in the DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 ? Snow. you need any? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Snow. you need any? no idea what you are talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 It's easy to forget sometimes how many different atmospheric components need to come together just right to cook up a decent coastal storm and have it go between the uprights. In general "we" are spoiled. It's a rare phenomena to get this (snow) type of storm. The last few years, many a FG have been scored. At least we're on the playing field with the right players in play. Question is do they do what they're suppose to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I like seeing CAPE modeled from the srfc to 880mb and this happens to be in the DGZ. The QPF Queens will be happy that the NAM still manages to string together 0.5-1.0" of liquid most of SNE... and bitter, bitter cold on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 In general "we" are spoiled. It's a rare phenomena to get this (snow) type of storm. The last few years, many a FG have been scored. At least we're on the playing field with the right players in play. Question is do they do what they're suppose to do. Where is Blount when you need him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 no idea what you are talking about. Just looked back. False alarm. Sorry CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The QPF Queens will be happy that the NAM still manages to string together 0.5-1.0" of liquid most of SNE... and bitter, bitter cold on Friday. 36 hours to get there...would certainly be windy and bitterly cold...and I'm sure Leon approved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The QPF Queens will be happy that the NAM still manages to string together 0.5-1.0" of liquid most of SNE... and bitter, bitter cold on Friday. We need a marginal storm to invoke the 850 jockey terminology...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 36 hours to get there...would certainly be windy and bitterly cold...and I'm sure Leon approved. Leon approves everything these days. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The QPF Queens will be happy that the NAM still manages to string together 0.5-1.0" of liquid most of SNE... and bitter, bitter cold on Friday. Even the "bad" solutions have all had that type of QPF...like half inch min. There's just such a sharp thermal boundary (and an arctic one at that) that it doesn't take much upglide to wring out a moderate snow event even if the best mid-level conveyor systems do not get their act together....tack on some low level flow out of the NE to add a bit of enhancement and here we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 We need a marginal storm to invoke the 850 jockey terminology...lol. lol I love the 850 jockeys - though this storm will bring out the fluff factor fairies. Just because it's cold doesn't mean you get 20:1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Even the "bad" solutions have all had that type of QPF...like half inch min. There's just such a sharp thermal boundary (and an arctic one at that) that it doesn't take much upglide to wring out a moderate snow event even if the best mid-level conveyor systems do not get their act together....tack on some low level flow out of the NE to add a bit of enhancement and here we are. Yes, it seems at a minimum we get a nice snow event on Thursday. What we get Thursday night/Friday is more uncertain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 lol I love the 850 jockeys - though this storm will bring out the fluff factor fairies. Just because it's cold doesn't mean you get 20:1! Let's make the term,,,,fluffy fairies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I think the models are correct and this continues to be surpressed south. This large cold mass in place I just don't see how the two will phase and move up the coast. I think I will be lucky to get 2 inches here in Amherst, NH where this is a south of the pike storm down to NYC. Very similar to January 2009. Though this is just my opinion thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Love how the NAM has a squadron of "L" It's slowly evolving. Maybe it will have it right by Saturday. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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