jamesnichols1989 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Out here on the Outer Cape could see temps in the low teens Saturday morning. Its rare we get below 10F this time of year, water temps still in the mid to upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I laughed when my Wundeground app pumped out -17F for Sat morning Ummmmm. Okay I went -6 for BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Jan 09 Forgot about that...I know BOS didn't get below 0F in Jan '09 but FMH is probably easier than BOS...it can radiate a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Btv wrf likes the s greens. Excellent model esp in period <36 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 RGEM is going to be good I think. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Change the model run to Jan 1 2014 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 What was Falmouth's last zero? Buzzards Bay will have some incredible scenery with temps that low and wind. Ice sculptures everywhere Saturday morning. Record Low was -24°F in January 1942 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Forgot about that...I know BOS didn't get below 0F in Jan '09 but FMH is probably easier than BOS...it can radiate a little bit. Yeah...they went calm and hit -6F I think. 1/11 was 0F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Record Low was -24°F in January 1942 That's extremely cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 If the winds die down enough Friday night after this thing, arctic sea smoke over the near shore waters. More common around dawn than you'd think around here although I haven't seen it for a few years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 RGEM at 48h looks pretty similar to the NAM with the amped trough. I'm guessing the other 00z guidance is going to trend that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I went -6 for BDLBOX has me at -10. Not too shabby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 RGEM at 48h looks pretty similar to the NAM with the amped trough. I'm guessing the other 00z guidance is going to trend that way. Boom! 10+ for all.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Excellent model esp in period <36 hoursYa, its solid. Love the detailed graphics, it also keeps HAMMERING s shore of Bos.I thought it may be out of its best range but im lookin fwd to seeing its changes more than nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Excellent model esp in period <36 hours Kind of a newbie question regarding this model: This NWS Office has their own model ? And if so do all offices have their own model or if not how does BTV rate one ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 RGEM at 48h looks pretty similar to the NAM with the amped trough. I'm guessing the other 00z guidance is going to trend that way. Is the RGEM a more reliable guidance than it's big bro' ? I honestly don't know. I only know that the GGEM is more useless to me than the NAM unless it is initializing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 It will be interesting to see the ratios...may be so cold it comes as 10:1 baking powder. Temps in the mid-levels are warmer than the sfc over the interior. Just using CON as an example...the best omega with the overrunning precip is around H8 where temps are around -10C to -12C. When the secondary starts cranking the omega is between H8-H5 with temps about -12C to -24C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 More common around dawn than you'd think around here although I haven't seen it for a few years I lived in Rockport Mass for a year back in 1984, and me an my now Met friend went down to the beaches at sun-up one morning when it was calm at like 4F or something, and it was one of the most spectacular things I had ever seen, with corpuscular rays slicing side ways through steam dogs, that rose some 50 foot or more, amid general disorganized shrouds of back lit steam. I'm serious... you just like commune with the Earth in that setting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Kind of a newbie question regarding this model: This NWS Office has their own model ? And if so do all offices have their own model or if not how does BTV rate one ? Anyone can run a WRF model if they want. We even have one here at AmericanWx that is a GFS-WRF. I need to get it upgraded and up and running again to send the GRIBs to Allan to get the maps up in the Model Center here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ursa99 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Ch 25 Bos Snow Map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I lived in Rockport Mass for a year back in 1984, and me an my now Met friend went down to the beaches at sun-up one morning when it was calm at like 4F or something, and it was one of the most spectacular things I had ever seen, with corpuscular rays slicing side ways through steam dogs, that rose some 50 foot or more, amid general disorganized shrouds of back lit steam. I'm serious... you just like commune with the Earth in that setting. I've got some great photos from 04-05 I will try to find tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 You know...if Kevin would just stick it out once and see this stuff now, he might be less annoying the next day. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianLaverty Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Big fan of that ch 25 map here in cumberland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 I've got some great photos from 04-05 I will try to find tomorrow. Yeah, please do - it's really an amazing sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Ch 25 Bos Snow Map... Def. hit it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Def. hit it If 0z trends continue a big hit 12+ will have to be expanded to all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I can only get the Canadian through 48 hours but it looks like the Beginning of a Major SNE Snowstorm just at That point when the first part had already passed, with big moisture all the way back to NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 GFS coming in a bit more impressive than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I'll take that GFS run and run! Looks good - I like the CCB look. I have a feeling we may get a long-duration lull in here Thursday midday through early evening before we ramp back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I'm liking the trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 Temps in the mid-levels are warmer than the sfc over the interior. Just using CON as an example...the best omega with the overrunning precip is around H8 where temps are around -10C to -12C. When the secondary starts cranking the omega is between H8-H5 with temps about -12C to -24C. Oh interesting. huh. I just posted a it ago that I thought it would be harder to get aggregates in this -- still that's cutting it close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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