40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 That map is too stingy in the berkshires and s nh/vt/ border areas of mass. Too stingy everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Just noticed that Taunton has a non-zero (albeit small) probabilities posted for 18 inches of snow. If you do the weighted average and include the 18 inch probability it increases my locations total expected snowfall by just under a full inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Too stingy everywhere. maybe he's finally learning to tone it down. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Will, any thought of a secondary sf maxima on the east slopes of the ORH hills with that easterly inflow? http://www.weather.com/news/weather-winter/winter-storm-hercules-forecast-20131231 What a Flipping BS Hype Machine. For YEARS since I was a kid the Weather Channel was The Single Most Conservative source there was. Even remember 1-3 24 hours before Dec. 9th, 2005 specifically. But Big blobs of 12-18???? And the random one in Worcester? These guys have turned into "Total Whores" as our good friend _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ says. Not without merit. 18" is high, but someone will get 15-16" imo....se of Boston. Scooter or Messenger imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Suffice it to say, I'll be up for the GFS tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Filling the tub.... running the extension cord for the 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 channel 4 somewhat bulish for western & northern sections Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Just noticed that Taunton has a non-zero (albeit small) probabilities posted for 18 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I knew that would earn me a bun but it was worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 One of the bizarre things I see with any of the maps posted is they always have these ranges that have the low end of one range picking up from the high end of the last. Obviously, there's an area between those that can easiliy fall within either range. Makes it a lot more reasonable,(and I think realstic) for example, to have a map with arange that goes 3-5 that borders one that goes 4-8 that borders one that goes 6-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Filling the tub.... running the extension cord for the 00z settle down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I knew that would earn me a bun but it was worth it. Collect and treasure them. PS: Love the Goomba avatar! lol Super Mario Bros. on NES ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 i like this map based on where things stand now Too low in a lot of places on my opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Filling the tub.... running the extension cord for the 00z For 6-12 or 8+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 For 6-12 or 8+?Bufkit has you 8. + on the NAM and GFS, me 10 , looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 That was an excellent run for snow starved southeast ma and the cape. Many places would double or even triple season totals to this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 i like this map based on where things stand now I seem to agree, although I think higher amounts are definitely possible in E MA, and perhaps even down the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Bufkit has you 8. + on the NAM and GFS, me 10 , looks good Yeah I think we're in for quite a nice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 One of the bizarre things I see with any of the maps posted is they always have these ranges that have the low end of one range picking up from the high end of the last. Obviously, there's an area between those that can easiliy fall within either range. Makes it a lot more reasonable,(and I think realstic) for example, to have a map with arange that goes 3-5 that borders one that goes 4-8 that borders one that goes 6-10. I agree in the light to moderate events, but the larger ones often lack a highly a uniform snowfall distribution due to banding, and other mesoscale features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Congrats Scooter south..enjoy it..Knee to weenie deep depending on age and length Wxrisk.comabout an hour ago **BIG SNOW WINNER SE MASS/ BOS** the ENE track of the Low & prolong NE winds & Comma head precip leads to think SE mass 18" + possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 For 6-12 or 8+? Seems like NE CT usually does well with a set up like this, hopefully us west of the river can get in on the fun too, Ryan makes me nervous lol.... at this point tho any snow is good snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Seems like NE CT usually does well with a set up like this, hopefully us west of the river can get in on the fun too, Ryan makes me nervous lol.... at this point tho any snow is good snow I'm keeping Bob's 6-10 from the AM so not all hope is lost lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Good write up by Noyes, sounds sensible this time. 12 for BOS and coasts. http://www.mattnoyes.net/.a/6a00d83451c01c69e2019b03fad694970d-500wi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 man...the 18" crowd has suddenly emerged. i'd like to see a handful more model runs before going there. even that GFS run is borderline to getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Congrats Scooter south..enjoy it..Knee to weenie deep depending on age and length Wxrisk.comabout an hour ago **BIG SNOW WINNER SE MASS/ BOS** the ENE track of the Low & prolong NE winds & Comma head precip leads to think SE mass 18" + possible I went with an upper limit of 15" there....contemplated 16", but I'd like to see one more trend before dropping an 18-bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Just peaked at the 18z GFS. Subtle changes at 500mb are having positive results. Hope that continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I'm definitely really liking eastern Mass, with another jackpot on the east slopes of the Berks from long duration upslope flow. The best snow growth may be the low level stuff like OES and upslope under the mid level forcing. I could see areas with a low level lift mechanism getting dendrites amid a more synoptic mix of columns, plates, and bullets. Today's a good example up here of cold surface temps and crappy ratios...been snowing lightly for a few hours at like 9 degrees and we are getting bullets and small columns that is like baking powder. Dense arctic snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I honestly think the cape has power issues, wet snow early on and cranking winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Yeah I saw the output..but I wouldn't call for 4-6 in Ct..Everything I've seen and a blend would lead to 8+ With 10+ east of ORH 8" might be the max for you area, maybe you really cash in on Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 man...the 18" crowd has suddenly emerged. i'd like to see a handful more model runs before going there. even that GFS run is borderline to getting there. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.