TalcottWx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Boston people, we are in a good spot for this event. Scooter may get big totals.This is a coastal event for sure. Very exciting. Not much talk about cape/islands? I like our prospects for OE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 It will be over I your area by dawn Friday and here mid morning. It looks to me like it lasts until noon time here and evening for you on Fri. Give or take a few hours either side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Thinking Friday may be a snowday for many. Thursday probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 0.75 barely tickles SE NH. Looks like a little over 0.50" up here. And maybe 0.25" at best for the foothills, at least north of IZG. The dry air might eat the points off the dendrites, too, so we get 8:1 flour at -2, but all snow is good snow and we hit the jackpot Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 It looks to me like it lasts until noon time here and evening for you on Fri. Give or take a few hours either side Kevin, the guidance is ending this sooner and sooner. I think the X factor is whether or not the overrunning produces or gets shunted too far north which happens a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Thinking Friday may be a snowday for many. Thursday probably not. Thursday could be or at a minimum early release because it will pick up throughout the day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 Wow, that's a blizzard for the Cape, period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Doesn't really bother me but should be interesting to see what schools do...maybe cancel Thursday and delay Friday? If Thursday cancels many people will have one day weeks and maybe less then one with a delay Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 It looks to me like it lasts until noon time here and evening for you on Fri. Give or take a few hours either side Its out by 18z Friday for BOS even on just about all guidance. Still a long event, but I can see this starting to compress more into an 18-20 hour event versus a 30 hour event...it usually does. 18-20 hours is still quite a long event...and it might still go 24 hours yet, but often you see a bit of "squeezing" on the models as you get near verification time as it might ramp up intensity in a 6 hour period at the expense of duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 It looks to me like it lasts until noon time here and evening for you on Fri. Give or take a few hours either side I guess all those snowstorms uve experienced in your life, still havent figured out these things tend to vacate earlier then modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Thinking Friday may be a snowday for many. Thursday probably not. Thursday could be or at a minimum early release because it will pick up throughout the day... Early release makes no sense IMO. Overrunning snow will be early 2am on...so I think they should either make the call and cancel school or have school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Kevin, the guidance is ending this sooner and sooner. I think the X factor is whether or not the overrunning produces or gets shunted too far north which happens a lot. Maybe some guidance is ..but some lingers it..almost extends an arm back to the west..esp if these amplified solutions come back here over the last 24 hours to go time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Its out by 18z Friday for BOS even on just about all guidance. Still a long event, but I can see this starting to compress more into an 18-20 hour event versus a 30 hour event...it usually does. 18-20 hours is still quite a long event...and it might still go 24 hours yet, but often you see a bit of "squeezing" on the models as you get near verification time as it might ramp up intensity in a 6 hour period at the expense of duration. I would take a ramp up in intensity at the expense of duration... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 WSW for southern CT --Actually just a watch for low end criteria for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I think many west of ORH have great potential to be disappointed. Maybe a Plymouth County jackpot with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Surprised there's no watch in at least eastern areas of Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Actually just a watch for low end criteria for now. wsw = winter storm watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 wsw = winter storm watch WS.A = Winter Storm Watch WS.W = Winter Storm Warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 WS.A = Winter Storm Watch WS.W = Winter Storm Warning Thats the official abbrev? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I think many west of ORH have great potential to be disappointed. Maybe a Plymouth County jackpot with this one. It depends on what their expectations are. Disappointment is a function of expectation. I think everyone gets at least advisory stuff and I think even W MA should get warning snows provided we don't see something weird like a late blooming closer low that "robs" some of the moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Congrats everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 No worries, TWC says it'll be a blizzard. I bet they're looking at the weird RPM run. "And with the coastal low whipping up the wind, we could be talking about blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility, particularly across New England, but possibly for areas farther west into New York state as well." (TWC, not me) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Thats the official abbrev? Well I don't know that there's an official abbreviation since NWS is moving away from abbreviations in AFDs and such and spell out watch versus warning. I pulled the abbreviations from the watch/warning/advisory VTEC code where a lot of those abbreviations are used. See http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/vtec/pdfs/VTEC_explanation6.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Its cool to see 100% probabilities. I guess we don't have to fear global thermonuclear war or a devastating (world destroying) attack by super powerful alien spaceships...at least until 7pm on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 No worries, TWC says it'll be a blizzard. I bet they're looking at the weird RPM run. "And with the coastal low whipping up the wind, we could be talking about blowing and drifting snow and poor visibility, particularly across New England, but possibly for areas farther west into New York state as well." (TWC, not me) I don't know. that rpm map should the heavier snowfall in a different area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 GFS likes the NAM idea of a SE Mass special during the day on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Well I don't know that there's an official abbreviation since NWS is moving away from abbreviations in AFDs and such and spell out watch versus warning. I pulled the abbreviations from the watch/warning/advisory VTEC code where a lot of those abbreviations are used. See http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/vtec/pdfs/VTEC_explanation6.pdf Yea. I usually refer to watches as wsw and warnings as WSW lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 GFS likes the NAM idea of a SE Mass special during the day on Thursday. Nice mid-level fronto stripe along the MA/NH border too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I'm liking 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 GFS likes the NAM idea of a SE Mass special during the day on Thursday. looks like most of eastern Mass, but a bit better SE for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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