ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Well to be fair we don't know. 93-94 started right about now, melted down and then went to town in January. Doesn't look good for next week but we'll see. The 12/30/93 snows were wiped out by the New Years torch, and then we did get 2 cutters in Jan '94...but they weren't enough to wipe out the big snow pack that was laid down in back to back events on 1/4 and 1/7 (like 8-12" in each one). Long way to go this year before generalizing it. Euro ensembles are pretty status quo. I wanted to see a larger trend in Thu night but doesn't happen on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Seems to like the HRV too.. You would think the deeper valleys would be shadowed to some degree in this with the the strong NE flow..but who knows NE low-level flow isn't too bad; there can even be some channelling from north to south in the Hudson valley. It's the strong easterly flow where there is often a significant downsloping effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 15z SREF, albeit garbage, looked better than 09z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 15z SREF, albeit garbage, looked better than 09z. Since the upgrades and changes they've become virtually useless until very short range. It's kind of a bummer because I used to like them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 NE low-level flow isn't too bad; there can even be some channelling from north to south in the Hudson valley. It's the strong easterly flow where there is often a significant downsloping effect. Yeah...on second thought it looked like a valley channeling deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 18 z NAM is far far jucier in the Gulf if that means anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Since the upgrades and changes they've become virtually useless until very short range. It's kind of a bummer because I used to like them Agree with extreme violence. Congrats SE MA though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 18z is pooferating the first shot. Second looks much more pronounced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Where'd all that moisture come from? And looks to be more angled / ridge a smidgen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Looks like a little added enhancement over the northern orh hills and monads too RPM says congrats to Ryan and the entire CT River Valley..12-16 lol.. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The RPM thinks the ORH hills are 5000' above sea level. Ignore it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 18z is pooferating the first shot. Second looks much more pronounced Upstream kicker is helping too. Is it correct? Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 RPM says congrats to Ryan and the entire CT River Valley..12-16 lol.. Enjoy Looks like a little added enhancement over the northern orh hills and monads too Yeah, and a little sucker hole for NE CT of 4-7 if this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The RPM thinks the ORH hills are 5000' above sea level. Ignore it. Its still going hard at 72 and totals would be several inches higher haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The NAM is trying here for SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The NAM is trying here for SE MA. lol gotta love the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The NAM is trying here for SE MA. Will this be the NAM's "Off it's rocker" run that gives us like 2-3'? Definitely looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Nam croaks us. Nam also is an awful model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The NAM is trying here for SE MA. Nice run for SE mass on the Nam, Troff over the west much better more energy dropping in the backside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 It was about time we had an 18z NAM run hit the eggnog hard. Massive hit for BOS and SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Seems to the 18z NAM has been first to sniff last Minute trends. It's done it a couple times in the last few years. Could very well end up being a SE SNE storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Oh NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowlieSnowstormson Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 It's a NAM New Years miracle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The RPM thinks the ORH hills are 5000' above sea level. Ignore it. Haha ok...must think the berks are 10000' then. It seems reasonable though making SE CT a screw zone which it almost always is, even if totals are off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 I don't find it odd that the NAM is doing this.. I'm starting to think a lot of users are learning disabled -- been hammering the data sampling issue and that it was relaying onshore during the day. Then, post come out like it's a big shocker? why bother educating... Now watch it be wrong anyway, HA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The NAM can show whatever it wants at this range. Let's see what the GFS does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The NAM can show whatever it wants at this range. Let's see what the GFS does.Was it better for the whole area or just Boston south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Lol...ray with a mini jackpot on the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Upstream kicker is helping too. Is it correct? Time will tell.[/quoteThis is the way this one is going to go. Focus on part deux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Was it better for the whole area or just Boston south? Lol....you get 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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