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Big Snow threat, what will it do, part II


Typhoon Tip

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Well a certain someone is finding every tweet with the word in it.

I'm not sure of what to make of significant snowstorms that only have moderate impacts, lol.

But hype isn't hype unless there's a word in there that gets people to go "oh my gosh we better panic!"

I don't see anyone hyping anything. I don't think my call of 8+ regionwide in SNE is outlandish by any means. 

 

Sorry you're not jackpotting this time.Let us have some fun

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Not unreasonable by any stretch. As every year this is probably one of the couple times where you want to be in eastern and southeast ma area lol

 

I like my spot for at least 7. I can't see any less unless if I miss some of the initial WAA snows to the north, but even then 6 should be doable. The south shore looks great though

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My concern back this way is missing out on the Thursday day stuff and playing catchup on Thursday night as the snow fills back in. I think this does look better for the Pike and better still for eastern mass with ocean enhancement.

 

I'm going to roll with 6-10 for the early shows this evening but right now I'm leaning toward 3-6 or 4-7. 

 

 

Yeah I can see that. If 18z and 00z start to ramp up the Thu night stuff, then you can stick a bit more bullish, but if not, then back down to lower amounts on the late shows. The overrunning stuff isn't an easy forecast either...they can bust pretty good in either direction. Its definitely trended north today, but I remember 12/14 did that before coming back south a bit in the final 36...a bit different setup obviously, but an example.

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I like my spot for at least 7. I can't see any less unless if I miss some of the initial WAA snows to the north, but even then 6 should be doable. The south shore looks great though

Yeah I think that's a good call. I think in the taunton area we may miss out on some WAA snow, but should do fine thurs day night.

What are your thoughts for my my area?

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Yeah I think that's a good call. I think in the taunton area we may miss out on some WAA snow, but should do fine thurs day night.

What are your thoughts for my my area?

 

Probably in the same 7-11 inch range, but the jackpot has gotta be the climo favored areas 3-7 miles inland on the SS like Hingham So Weymouth and se from there

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Yeah Scooter's area is ground zero for this one. His OES fetish will finally be whetted. You could see that little area there with some 12-15 inch totals

Ha. Well it's not a fetish, but this area to PYM does get enhancement in cold storms. I'm a hair NW of the best area for OES usually, but should do ok. I'm unsure how this will go. I don't want the WAA stuff going north and relying on Messengers favorite snow.

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Ha. Well it's not a fetish, but this area to PYM does get enhancement in cold storms. I'm a hair NW of the best area for OES usually, but should do ok. I'm unsure how this will go. I don't want the WAA stuff going north and relying on Messengers favorite snow.

 

I'm usually at the very NW end with some slight enhancement. Its really Hingham and the lower end of RT 18 in Weymouth points SE

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Yeah Scooter's area is ground zero for this one. His OES fetish will finally be whetted.  You could see that little area there with some 12-15 inch totals

Messenger will clean up also. And Phil and James will do well particularly if they can get the full monty for the overrunning initial burst.

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Probably in the same 7-11 inch range, but the jackpot has gotta be the climo favored areas 3-7 miles inland on the SS like Hingham So Weymouth and se from there

Yeah I agree. I feel the bust potential is pretty high on the low side. If we miss the initial snows, and then the storm gets going late, we may really suffer

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Not unreasonable by any stretch. As every year this is probably one of the couple times where you want to be in eastern and southeast ma area lol

Sit back and enjoy it.  This won't be a blockbuster by any means but a solid snowstorm for us.  We may get in on the ocean enhancement back this way.  Still think 6-10" is likely.  As has been discussed, maybe we get an uptick in the system as we get closer.

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I can picture you with your bathroom window open at night , head stuck out the window shining your flashlight off twds the NE,,,watching the OES snow fly in

Clown lol. Hey it's a real thing. Normally a storm under 30F at the least busts a couple of inches better than most think. It's basic thermodynamics. Added moisture.

But it can be very mesoscale so I am very careful not to go too deep with this. I really hope the weenie WAA stuff stays as modeled and of course an actual CCB is most wanted. I'll be checking in from time to time. Out and about for the day.

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Sit back and enjoy it.  This won't be a blockbuster by any means but a solid snowstorm for us.  We may get in on the ocean enhancement back this way.  Still think 6-10" is likely.  As has been discussed, maybe we get an uptick in the system as we get closer.

I agree, I've been telling everyone the same thing.

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During 1993-94, we had numerous events just like this. Just moderate event after moderate event adding up to huge depths. A lot of KU weenies were probably disappointed but I loved it particularly in my location with enhancements frequently.

Sadly, this year we get moderates followed by significant rains
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What are the thoughts for Northern Berkshire County, MA?

 

Congrats, I think you may be the first poster on here from N Berk. Co. lol

 

It looks like we do alright out this way.  Overrunning snows Thursday and another burst from coastal.  Maybe 6" or a little more for you is my guess as we stand right now.  Mitch the Met from Lenox can better answer.

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