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Big Snow threat, what will it do, part II


Typhoon Tip

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don't let the fact that one poster doesnt understand keep you from posting this type of info. It really is excellent reading, and very informative for 90+% of the readers here

I don't think that Kev was out of line, just a bit misinformed, but its all good now.

 

Thanks for the insight, OceanStWx.

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Going off the high ratio talk...it was 5F in VT for the 12/15 event and we saw 9" off 0.6" LWE...15:1 average which is slightly above the NNE average of 13:1.

I'd say 13-17:1 is a decent first guess. Generally thinking 4-8" right now with more in SE MA. Temper expectations with this progressive flow. Banking on WAA and an inverted trough is not my cup of tea.

J.Spin and I were both near 10:1 ratios in that event in single digit temps. Lots of small arctic dry flakes.

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Euro is going to be pretty good I think for Thu night.

 

You know ... I was looking at the GGEM (which by the way is now backing off the lead seaward low theft ...), and thinking, regardless of whether we get the dreamy coastal or not, that's a solid 30 hours of wintry appeal, with steady light snow and grains in a very cold atmosphere.   That's got to stand for something for winter weather enthusiasts...  Good cocoa weather.

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So much for a teachable moment. The source layer temp for BOS (most handy Bufkit I have right now) is -9 Thursday afternoon. That's all I'm saying.

Not everybody knows that surface temps have nothing to do with snow ratio, I though some might like to hear the discussion. Seeing as it's not all that well received I'll refrain next time.

don't let one poster do that. I learned a lot, plus a lot just lurk here and read and learn. Thanks for lesson I certainly appreciate it.
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i like the changes at h5 compared to 0z. we just need one more baby step in that direction

 

 

Really tries to get the easterly ML component going and a cold conveyor...with that airmass, that would likely verify optimistically if we can get that E flow established.

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