weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Looks like SNE/CNE gets 4-6" on Thursday then E SNE gets scraped Thursday night/ early Friday with maybe a few additional inches. 12+ fail 8-10 most of mass per the snow maps. 0.75 qpf Boston SE. Widespread 0.5 with northern extent southern ski areas and CON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 This run blows for most. ?? what are you expecting? still looks looks good for 8+ I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 How was the powdah day? Thigh burner? Not quite powder more like a thick milk shake. This was snowball snow even at the top. Great for their base bad for our quads. Major wind issues today you called that right. Mountain reported 10-12" which tbh seemed reasonable up top. This event will open a lot of terrain for them this week. Jackpot was definitely around and nw of Poland. Anyway onward and upward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 sorry that you cant see things beyond the surface.... h5 looks really good through 48, then it just spazzes out to the E. So where was your bomb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 GFS is probably the most reasonable solution. Yeah I'm not feeling a big 12+ system. I know people are looking for that, but this pattern isn't favorable for it...we have to have everything go right...which it still might, but I put the odds of that under 50/50 for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 PVC to the immediate south shore including Weymouth get the most. 1/94 distribution. This run makes me want to surgically remove m eyeballs with tweezers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Ride the euro? Euro ens yes, op no. Maybe tonight it locks in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 And a bitterly cold Friday. Wow. Looks like upper digits for ALB maybe 10 or 11 and probably -8 to -1 at night. Dacks may get to zero or a bit a bit above ; 25 below at night, potentially lower depending on how extensive the fresh snow pack is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Yeah I'm not feeling a big 12+ system. I know people are looking for that, but this pattern isn't favorable for it...we have to have everything go right...which it still might, but I put the odds of that under 50/50 for sure. Agreed. I could totally see the Thursday/overrunning portion overperforming but the GFS seems reasonable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 South Shore looks primed for a good event here with that NE flow. Likely southeast of me by a few miles. Could get some surprisingly high totals there with this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 8-10 most of mass per the snow maps. 0.75 qpf Boston SE. Widespread 0.5 with northern extent southern ski areas and CON. Exactly the scenario I was dreading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 any thoughts on ratios or to early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Uncle similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 ?? what are you expecting? still looks looks good for 8+ I'll take it. 75" in n nh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Exactly the scenario I was dreading. Subsidence zone? Would prob end up with 5 in Wilmington and 11 in South Weymouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Local OCM have forecasted a foot? Maybe, but having serious doubts. One of those few evening of burning the midnight oil. Jury is still out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Exactly the scenario I was dreading. That euro run last night was unreasonable. Furthermore, you would probably have had exhaust from the cf just east of Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 75" in n nh that would be sweet, maybe jan 6th storm can deliver that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 So where was your bomb? Looked good at h5...and with the pv trying to dive in, i dont believe the surface is accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 8-10 most of mass per the snow maps. 0.75 qpf Boston SE. Widespread 0.5 with northern extent southern ski areas and CON. Yup and I bet Thursday part would do better then modeled. But still, I think the 12+ thrown out on TV is ridiculous. Really interested in Euro. I bet it folds but obviously I hope it doesn't...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Well I thought both the PV look and ridging ahead of the low seemed to argue a better solution to be honest. Both looked better than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Yup and I bet Thursday part would do better then modeled. But still, I think the 12+ thrown out on TV is ridiculous. Really interested in Euro. I bet it folds but obviously I hope it doesn't...lol. Euros been all over the place to be fair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Not quite powder more like a thick milk shake. This was snowball snow even at the top. Great for their base bad for our quads. Major wind issues today you called that right. Mountain reported 10-12" which tbh seemed reasonable up top. This event will open a lot of terrain for them this week. Jackpot was definitely around and nw of Poland. Anyway onward and upward that stuff will set out tonight and be extra sweet tomorrow. You there? 5-10 with tons of blowing and drifting in an insanely cold environment incoming. Love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Euro should probably ramp up tonight.....Beast at h500...GFS is just absolute garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 That euro run last night was unreasonable. Furthermore, you would probably have had exhaust from the cf just east of Boston. I'd take my chances. This run is boring and lame. Hopefully the EURO is still more robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Well I thought both the PV look and ridging ahead of the low seemed to argue a better solution to be honest. Both looked better than 18z.Maybe euro can handle those two pieces better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I'm content with this run. I have always asserted the overrunning is the main show and the impulse Thursday night is just an enhancement of such. Very typical of 20 years ago which is my favorite season in all the years I've lived in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Euro should probably ramp up tonight.....Beast at h500...GFS is just absolute garbage. In JAD I trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Well I thought both the PV look and ridging ahead of the low seemed to argue a better solution to be honest. Both looked better than 18z. I wouldn't be surprised at a bump northwest as we get closer with all the circulation features...its hard to outrun a decent trough like that, but there's some speed divegence out ahead. I do think regardless, that the initial isentropic upglide looks pretty darn good. That could definitely over perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Looked good at h5...and with the pv trying to dive in, i dont believe the surface is accurate. yeah I posted H5 looked good, it just did not deliver the bomb, we will see how it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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